Exam 4: Basic Probability

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If P(A and B)=0\mathrm { P } ( A \text { and } B ) = 0 , then A and B must be collectively exhaustive.

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SCENARIO 4-11 A sample of 300 adults is selected.The contingency table below shows their registration status and their preferred source of information on current events. Preferred source of information Television Newspapers Radio Internet Voting registration status Registered 45 30 45 36 Not registered 35 44 45 20 -Referring to Scenario 4-11, if an adult is selected at random, what is the probability that he/she is a registered voter or prefers to get his/her current information from radio?

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SCENARIO 4-4 Suppose that patrons of a restaurant were asked whether they preferred water or whether they preferred soda.70% said that they preferred water.60% of the patrons were male.80% of the males preferred water. -Referring to Scenario 4-4, the two events "preferring water" and "preferring soda" are independent.

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The employees of a company were surveyed on questions regarding their educational background(college degree or no college degree) and marital status (single or married).Of the 600 employees, 400 had college degrees, 100 were single, and 60 were single college graduates.The probability that an employee of the company is single or has a college degree is:

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If P (A or B) = 1.0, then A and B must be collectively exhaustive.

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Seven passengers are on a waiting list for an overbooked flight.As a result of cancellations, 3 seats become available.How many ways can those 3 available seats be filled regardless of the order?

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SCENARIO 4-9 A survey conducted by the Segal Company of New York found that in a sample of 189 large companies, 40 offered stock options to their board members as part of their non-cash compensation packages.For small- to mid-sized companies, 43 of the 180 surveyed indicated that they offer stock options as part of their noncash compensation packages to their board members. -Referring to Scenario 4-9, is the size of the company independent of whether stock options are offered to their board members and why?

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If two events are independent, what is the probability that they both occur?

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SCENARIO 4-11 A sample of 300 adults is selected.The contingency table below shows their registration status and their preferred source of information on current events. Preferred source of information Television Newspapers Radio Internet Voting registration status Registered 45 30 45 36 Not registered 35 44 45 20 -Referring to Scenario 4-11, if an adult is selected at random, what is the probability that he/she prefers to get his/her current information from the internet?

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All the events in the sample space that are not part of the specified event are called

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SCENARIO 4-8 According to the record of the registrar's office at a state university, 35% of the students are freshman, 25% are sophomore, 16% are junior and the rest are senior.Among the freshmen, sophomores, juniors and seniors, the portion of students who live in the dormitory are, respectively, 80%, 60%, 30% and 20%. -Referring to Scenario 4-8, what proportion of the students live in a dormitory?

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The probability that house sales will increase in the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.25.The probability that the interest rates on housing loans will go up in the same period is estimated to be0.74.The probability that house sales or interest rates will go up during the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.89.The probability that both house sales and interest rates will increase during the next 6 months is:

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If P(A and B)=0\mathrm { P } ( A \text { and } B ) = 0 , then A and B must be mutually exclusive.

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SCENARIO 4-11 A sample of 300 adults is selected.The contingency table below shows their registration status and their preferred source of information on current events. Preferred source of information Television Newspapers Radio Internet Voting registration status Registered 45 30 45 36 Not registered 35 44 45 20 -Referring to Scenario 4-11, if an adult is selected at random, what is the probability that he/she is a registered voter?

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SCENARIO 4-8 According to the record of the registrar's office at a state university, 35% of the students are freshman, 25% are sophomore, 16% are junior and the rest are senior.Among the freshmen, sophomores, juniors and seniors, the portion of students who live in the dormitory are, respectively, 80%, 60%, 30% and 20%. -Referring to Scenario 4-8, determine whether the class status of a student and whether the student lives in a dormitory are independent.

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According to a survey of American households, the probability that the residents own 2 cars if annual household income is over $50,000 is 80%.Of the households surveyed, 60% had incomes over $50,000 and 70% had 2 cars.The probability that annual household income is over $50,000 if the residents of a household do not own 2 cars is:

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SCENARIO 4-10 Are whites more likely to claim bias? It was found that 60% of the workers were white, 30% were black and 10% are other races.Given that a worker was white, the probability that the worker had claimed bias was 30%.Given that a worker was black, the probability that the worker had claimed bias was 40%.Given that a worker was other race, the probability that the worker had claimed bias was 0%. -Referring to Scenario 4-10, what is the probability that a randomly selected worker is not black and had not claimed bias?

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The closing price of a company's stock tomorrow can be lower, higher or the same as today's closing price.Based on the closing price of the stock collected over the last month, 25% of the days the closing price was higher than previous day's closing price, 45% was lower than previous day's and 30% was the same as previous day's.Based on this information, the probability that tomorrow's closing price will be higher than today's is 25%.This is an example of using which of the following probability approach?

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SCENARIO 4-2 An alcohol awareness task force at a Big-Ten university sampled 200 students after the midterm to ask them whether they went bar hopping the weekend before the midterm or spent the weekend studying, and whether they did well or poorly on the midterm.The following result was obtained. Did Well on Midterm Did Poorly on Midterm Studying for Exam 80 20 Went Bar Hopping 30 70 -Referring to Scenario 4-2, what is the probability that a randomly selected student did well on the midterm or went bar hopping the weekend before the midterm? a) 30/20030 / 200 or 15%15 \% b) (80+30)/200( 80 + 30 ) / 200 or (30+80)/200( 30 + 80 ) / 200 or 55%55 \% c) (30+70)/200( 30 + 70 ) / 200 or (70+30)/200( 70 + 30 ) / 200 or 50%50 \% d) (80+30+70)/200( 80 + 30 + 70 ) / 200 or (110+10030)/200( 110 + 100 - 30 ) / 200 or 90%90 \%

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If two equally likely events A and B are mutually exclusive, what is the probability that event Aoccurs?

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