Exam 22: The Short-Run Trade-Off Between Inflation and Unemployment

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Most economists believe that a tradeoff between inflation and unemployment exists

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In the late 1960's, Milton Friedman and Edmund Phelps argued that a tradeoff between inflation and unemployment

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If the Fed were to increase the money supply, inflation would increase and unemployment would decrease in the short run.

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The logic behind the tradeoff between inflation and unemployment is that high aggregate demand puts upward pressure on wages and prices while raising output.

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The natural rate of unemployment

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If the long-run Phillips curve shifts to the right, then for any given rate of money growth and inflation the economy has

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Monetary Policy in Southland In Southland the Department of Finance is responsible for monetary policy. Southland has had an inflation rate of 25% for many years. -Refer to Monetary Policy in Southland. Suppose that the Southland Department of Finance has run a public relations campaign claiming it will reduce inflation to 12.5% but that it actually leaves inflation at 25%. Suppose that the public had expected that the Department of Finance would reduce inflation, but only to 20%. Then

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The equation, Unemployment rate = Natural rate of unemployment - a * ctual inflation - Expected inflation),

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The short-run Phillips curve shows the combinations of

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Monetary Policy in Southland In Southland the Department of Finance is responsible for monetary policy. Southland has had an inflation rate of 25% for many years. -Refer to Monetary Policy in Southland. Suppose that the Southland Department of Finance has run a public relations campaign claiming it will reduce inflation to 12.5% and that it actually reduces inflation to that level. Suppose that the public had expected that the Department of Finance would reduce inflation but only to 22%. Then

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Figure 22-8. The left-hand graph shows a short-run aggregate-supply (SRAS) curve and two aggregate-demand (AD) curves. On the right-hand diagram, "Inf Rate" means "Inflation Rate." Figure 22-8. The left-hand graph shows a short-run aggregate-supply (SRAS) curve and two aggregate-demand (AD) curves. On the right-hand diagram, Inf Rate means Inflation Rate.   -Refer to Figure 22-8. Subsequent to the shift of the Phillips curve from PC<sub>1</sub> to PC<sub>2</sub>, the curve will soon shift back to PC<sub>1</sub> if people perceive the -Refer to Figure 22-8. Subsequent to the shift of the Phillips curve from PC1 to PC2, the curve will soon shift back to PC1 if people perceive the

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Milton Friedman and Edmund Phelps argued in the late 1960s that in the long run the Phillips curve is

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Ultimately, the change in unemployment associated with a change in inflation is due to

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Friedman and Phelps argued

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If people correctly anticipate that inflation will fall by 1%, then

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Other things the same, a country that decides to reduce inflation will

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If a central bank attempts to lower the inflation rate but the public doesn't believe the inflation rate will fall as far as the central bank says, then in the short run unemployment

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An increase in expected inflation shifts the

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France has a higher natural rate of unemployment than the United States. This suggests that

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The Economy in 2008 In the first half of June 2008 the effects of a housing and financial crisis and an increase in world prices of oil and foodstuffs were affecting the economy. -Refer to The Economy in 2008. In the short-run the effects of the housing and financial crises

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