Deck 7: Rational Expectations, Efficient Markets, and the Valuation of Corporate Equities
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Deck 7: Rational Expectations, Efficient Markets, and the Valuation of Corporate Equities
1
Forecasts satisfying rational expectations are unbiased.
True
2
The price of a stock is directly related to the expected future price and earnings.
True
3
Forecasts satisfying rational expectations are too high or too low with equal probability.
True
4
An investor with rational expectations can perfectly forecast future asset prices.
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5
If a market is strongly efficient, insider information does not help investors make profits.
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6
Earnings for a corporation are an example of a fundamental quantity determining the price of that corporation's stock.
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7
If investors have rational expectations, asset markets are strongly efficient.
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8
Forecasts satisfying rational expectations are probably precisely accurate.
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9
All public corporations must pay a fraction of their profits as dividends.
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10
If a market is weakly efficient, insider information does not help investors make profits.
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11
Expectations are rational if they are formed using all relevant information.
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12
The relevant interest rate when pricing a stock is called the required rate of return.
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13
The price of a stock is directly related to earnings and the required rate of return.
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14
Investors using technical analysis have rational expectations.
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15
If a corporation stops paying dividends, its stock price will fall, ceteris paribus.
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16
Markets for financial assets are more efficient than the market for labor.
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17
If investors do not have rational expectations, asset markets are not strongly efficient.
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18
Investors who use trends to make forecasts have rational expectations.
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19
Hedge funds were created to reduce risk for investors.
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20
According to the Gordon Growth Model, the price of a stock is directly related to the expected growth rate of earnings.
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21
If fundamental analysis does not help stock market investors make profits, then the stock market is
A) allocationally efficient.
B) weakly efficient.
C) semi-strongly efficient.
D) all of the above.
A) allocationally efficient.
B) weakly efficient.
C) semi-strongly efficient.
D) all of the above.
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22
Allocational efficiency means that past data on prices and fundamentals are fully reflected in the price.
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23
According to the Gordon Growth Model, an increase in the growth rate of earnings would lead to an increase in the current value of a stock.
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24
If insider information does help investors, the market cannot be
A) allocationally efficient.
B) weakly efficient.
C) strongly efficient.
D) The market can satisfy all these forms of efficiency.
A) allocationally efficient.
B) weakly efficient.
C) strongly efficient.
D) The market can satisfy all these forms of efficiency.
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25
When an asset can be purchased with cheap, borrowed money, it is a good candidate for the development of a bubble.
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26
If the annual earnings for a company are $30, the expected future price of its stock is $100, and the required rate of return is 30%, then the current price of the stock should be
A) $97.
B) $100.
C) $130.
D) $169.
A) $97.
B) $100.
C) $130.
D) $169.
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27
Due to their risk, hedge funds are highly regulated mutual funds.
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28
If technical analysis cannot prove profitable information to investors, markets satisfy
A) weak efficiency.
B) semi-strong efficiency.
C) strong efficiency.
D) all of the above.
A) weak efficiency.
B) semi-strong efficiency.
C) strong efficiency.
D) all of the above.
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29
If a market is semi-strongly efficient, investors cannot use fundamental analysis to make profits.
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30
Sectoral asset allocation is an investment strategy which can be described as not putting all of your eggs in one basket.
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31
Behavioral finance explains how investors form rational expectations.
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32
Markets are efficient if they allocate resources to their most highly valued use and if profit opportunities frequency occur.
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33
Portfolio diversification means investing heavily in stocks and other risky assets when young but shifting into less volatile assets, like short term bonds, as one nears retirement.
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34
Bubbles in financial markets are evidence that they are not strongly efficient.
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35
An analyst says that inside information would not have helped investors forecast the collapse of the stock market in 2008. This is true if markets satisfy
A) weak efficiency.
B) semi-strong efficiency.
C) strong efficiency.
D) all of the above.
A) weak efficiency.
B) semi-strong efficiency.
C) strong efficiency.
D) all of the above.
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36
Mutual funds are inherently more risky than owning shares of a single stock.
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37
If an asset market is not weakly efficient, then it cannot be
A) semi-strongly efficient.
B) strongly efficient.
C) both of the above.
D) neither of the above.
A) semi-strongly efficient.
B) strongly efficient.
C) both of the above.
D) neither of the above.
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38
The small firm effect might be due to high liquidity of those stocks.
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39
The required rate of return measures the opportunity cost of making an investment.
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40
Weakly efficient markets could have bubbles.
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41
If the _____ for a stock rise(s), the current price of the stock rises.
A) earnings
B) volatility
C) required rate of return
D) none of the above
A) earnings
B) volatility
C) required rate of return
D) none of the above
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42
If the annual earnings for a company are $12, the expected future price of its stock is $110, and the current price is $90, then the required rate of return on the stock is
A) 10.9%.
B) 22.2%.
C) 35.6%.
D) none of the above.
A) 10.9%.
B) 22.2%.
C) 35.6%.
D) none of the above.
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43
Behavioral finance uses insights from
A) psychology
B) the neurosciences
C) sociology
D) all of the above
A) psychology
B) the neurosciences
C) sociology
D) all of the above
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44
If the annual earnings for a company are $25, the expected future price of its stock is $100, and the required rate of return is 5%, then the current price of the stock should be
A) $119.05.
B) $123.80.
C) $131.25.
D) none of the above.
A) $119.05.
B) $123.80.
C) $131.25.
D) none of the above.
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45
Which of the following could be examples of inefficiencies in financial markets data?
A) random walk
B) high volatility
C) bubbles
D) all of the above
A) random walk
B) high volatility
C) bubbles
D) all of the above
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46
Which of the following is evidence of irrationality in financial markets?
A) random walk
B) high volatility
C) bubbles
D) none of the above
A) random walk
B) high volatility
C) bubbles
D) none of the above
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47
Earnings for a corporation are $10, its stock price is $550 and the required rate of return is 12%. What is the growth rate of dividends implied by the Gordon Growth Model?
A) 1.8%.
B) 10%.
C) 20%.
D) none of the above.
A) 1.8%.
B) 10%.
C) 20%.
D) none of the above.
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48
While most investors' valuations are incorrect, the market's value is, given the information available at that moment, is always _____, though in a circular way only.
A) incorrect
B) correct
C) about 10% incorrect
D) about 20% incorrect
A) incorrect
B) correct
C) about 10% incorrect
D) about 20% incorrect
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49
If the _____ for a stock rises, the current price of the stock rises.
A) expected future price
B) volatility
C) required rate of return
D) none of the above
A) expected future price
B) volatility
C) required rate of return
D) none of the above
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50
Which of the following could be examples of inefficiencies in financial markets data?
A) January effect
B) small firms effect
C) bubbles
D) all of the above
A) January effect
B) small firms effect
C) bubbles
D) all of the above
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51
If the Gordon Growth Model took the uncertainty about future dividends into account, the price of a stock would be _____, ceteris paribus.
A) higher
B) lower
C) the same
D) less volatile
A) higher
B) lower
C) the same
D) less volatile
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52
The earnings for a company are $10 and they are expected to grow at 2% annually. According to the Gordon Growth Model, if the required rate of return is 5%, then the price of the company's stock should be
A) $210.
B) $510.
C) $525.50.
D) none of the above.
A) $210.
B) $510.
C) $525.50.
D) none of the above.
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53
Transparency laws are intended to reduce
A) efficiency.
B) earnings.
C) asymmetric information.
D) all of the above.
A) efficiency.
B) earnings.
C) asymmetric information.
D) all of the above.
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54
If the annual earnings for a company are $10, the expected future price of its stock is $110, and the current price is $100, then the required rate of return on the stock is
A) 10%.
B) 20%.
C) 30%.
D) none of the above.
A) 10%.
B) 20%.
C) 30%.
D) none of the above.
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55
Forecasting stock prices using trends of past data should not be an effective method for making trading decisions if asset markets are
A) weakly efficient.
B) semi-strongly efficient.
C) strongly efficient.
D) all of the above.
A) weakly efficient.
B) semi-strongly efficient.
C) strongly efficient.
D) all of the above.
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56
Laws that require companies to fully inform investors about debts and loans on their balance sheets are intended to increase
A) transparency.
B) efficiency.
C) volatility.
D) all of the above.
A) transparency.
B) efficiency.
C) volatility.
D) all of the above.
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57
If the annual earnings for a company are $10, the expected future price of its stock is $100, and the required rate of return is 8%, then the current price of the stock should be
A) $100.
B) $102.59.
C) $118.
D) none of the above.
A) $100.
B) $102.59.
C) $118.
D) none of the above.
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58
Earnings for a corporation are $20, its stock price is $525, and the growth rate of dividends is 5%. What is the required rate of return implied by the Gordon Growth Model?
A) 6%.
B) 8%.
C) 9%.
D) None of the above.
A) 6%.
B) 8%.
C) 9%.
D) None of the above.
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59
Increased transparency should lead to increased
A) efficiency.
B) volatility.
C) asymmetric information.
D) all of the above.
A) efficiency.
B) volatility.
C) asymmetric information.
D) all of the above.
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60
If the _____ for a stock fall(s), the current price of the stock rises.
A) earnings
B) expected price
C) required rate of return
D) none of the above
A) earnings
B) expected price
C) required rate of return
D) none of the above
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61
If the annual earnings for a company are $6, the expected future price of its stock is $70, and the current price is $65, what is the implied required rate of return?
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62
If fundamental analysis helps investors to make profits, what does that say about the efficiency of the market?
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63
Why would transparency contribute to asset market efficiency?
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64
Which of the following have experienced bubbles?
A) agricultural commodities
B) precious metals
C) derivatives
D) all of the above
A) agricultural commodities
B) precious metals
C) derivatives
D) all of the above
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65
The earnings for a company are $6 and they required rate of return is 9%. According to the Gordon Growth Model, if the current price of the stock is $100, what is growth rate of dividends?
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66
What is an allocationally efficient market?
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67
If the annual earnings for a company are $15, the expected future price of its stock is $90, and the current price is $100, what is the implied required rate of return?
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68
What is a portfolio diversification investment strategy?
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69
The earnings for a company are $12, and they are expected to grow at 5% annually. According to the Gordon Growth Model, if the required rate of return is 15%, then the price of the company's stock should be
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70
The earnings for a company are $20, and they are expected to grow at 4% annually. According to the Gordon Growth Model, if the required rate of return is 9%, what is the price of the company's stock?
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71
The earnings for a company are $10 and they are expected to grow at 3% annually. According to the Gordon Growth Model, if the current price of the stock is $200, what is the implied required rate of return?
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72
Why are technical analyses useless in a weak form market?
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73
If the annual earnings for a company are $15, the expected future price of its stock is $80, and the required rate of return is 4%, what is the current price of the stock?
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74
If the annual earnings for a company are $10, the expected future price of its stock is $100, and the required rate of return is 6%, what is the current price of the stock?
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75
How do portfolio diversification and sectoral asset allocation help investors earn average market returns?
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76
What is the most compelling evidence for a lack of efficiency in financial markets? Can any type of efficiency be justified?
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77
What is short selling?
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78
Does technical analysis produce forecasts that satisfy rational expectations? Explain.
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79
If insider information helps investors to make profits, what does that say about the efficiency of the market?
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80
What is a sectoral asset allocation investment strategy?
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