Deck 7: Managing Project Risk
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Deck 7: Managing Project Risk
1
The best time to plan for risk is during the project execution phase when risk can be assessed most accurately.
False
2
Learning cycles can be used as a tool for identifying threats and opportunities.
True
3
Project risk management focuses solely on the downside of risk that results from unexpected problems or threats.
False
4
Unknown-unknown risks are residual risks that we cannot even imagine happening.
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5
It never pays to ignore an element of project risk.
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6
Triggers or flags in the form of metrics should be identified to draw attention to a particular risk when it occurs.
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7
Effective project risk management requires that each risk have an owner.
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8
Since IT projects are developed in an environment that changes so rapidly and so extensively, there is little value in using past projects to guide our risk assessment of new ones.
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9
The concept of expected value rests on the notion of a probability-weighted summation of component parts.
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10
Failure to follow a formal risk management plan will often cause organizations to be reactive and find themselves in a state of perpetual crisis, a condition known as crisis management.
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11
Sensitivity analysis is used to determine the joint effects of multiple risky tasks, while Monte Carlo Simulation is used to measure which individual tasks pose the greatest project risk.
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12
The PMBOK definition of project risk suggests that a systematic process is needed to effectively manage the risk of a project.
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13
The deployment of a specific risk management strategy is in part a function of risk tolerance levels of the stakeholders.
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14
The area under the normal distribution curve that lies within 2 standard deviations of the mean (plus or minus) includes about 68% of all the values.
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15
The goal of a sound risk management is to completely avoid all risk.
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16
Since risk arises from uncertainty, there can be no such category as known risks.
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17
In general, because of the similarities in IT projects, one can manage all projects and risks in the same manner.
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18
The fishbone or Ishikawa diagram is a form of cause and effect analysis diagramming.
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19
Qualitative risk analysis has as one of its strengths the ability to include subjective analysis based on experience and judgment.
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20
Nominal Group Technique is a free form, unstructured process similar to Brainstorming.
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21
The Payoff Table would be used with which risk assessment technique ?
A) Qualitative Risk Analysis
B) Quantitative Risk Analysis
C) Cause-and- Effect Diagram
D) Simulations
E) Probability Distributions
A) Qualitative Risk Analysis
B) Quantitative Risk Analysis
C) Cause-and- Effect Diagram
D) Simulations
E) Probability Distributions
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22
Gaining consensus from a group of experts would be most closely associated with:
A) Learning Cycles
B) Brainstorming
C) Nominal Group Technique
D) Delphi Technique
E) Cause-and-Effect Diagrams
A) Learning Cycles
B) Brainstorming
C) Nominal Group Technique
D) Delphi Technique
E) Cause-and-Effect Diagrams
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23
_____ is the core layer in the IT Project Risk Identification Framework.
A) Measurable Organizational Value
B) Project objectives
C) Risk sources
D) Internality / Externality
E) Known / Unknown
A) Measurable Organizational Value
B) Project objectives
C) Risk sources
D) Internality / Externality
E) Known / Unknown
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24
_____requires determining the true problem, or cause, of the risk.
A) risk identification
B) risk assessment
C) risk planning
D) risk monitoring and control
E) risk evaluation
A) risk identification
B) risk assessment
C) risk planning
D) risk monitoring and control
E) risk evaluation
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25
Which of the following distributions has mean which is equal to (a + 4b +c) / 6 where a, b, and c are denote optimistic, most likely, and pessimistic estimates respectively?:
A) Discrete Distribution
B) Normal Distribution
C) Pert Distribution
D) Triangular Distribution
E) Binomial Distribution
A) Discrete Distribution
B) Normal Distribution
C) Pert Distribution
D) Triangular Distribution
E) Binomial Distribution
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26
_____ is an uncertain event that, if it occurs, has a positive or negative effect on project objectives.
A) Risk management
B) Risk response
C) Project risk
D) Risk plan
E) Risk control
A) Risk management
B) Risk response
C) Project risk
D) Risk plan
E) Risk control
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27
_____ involves developing a probability distribution for understanding and responding to identified risks.
A) Plan Risk Management
B) Identify Risks
C) Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis
D) Plan Risk Responses
E) Monitor and Control Risks
A) Plan Risk Management
B) Identify Risks
C) Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis
D) Plan Risk Responses
E) Monitor and Control Risks
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28
A _____ is a structured tool that identifies risks that have occurred in the past.
A) learning cycle
B) brainstorming session
C) Nominal Group Technique
D) Delphi Technique
E) checklist
A) learning cycle
B) brainstorming session
C) Nominal Group Technique
D) Delphi Technique
E) checklist
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29
_____ are the processes of conducting risk management planning, identification, analysis, response planning, and monitoring and control on a project.
A) Project risk management
B) Project risk response
C) Project risk planning
D) Project risk analysis
E) Project risk control
A) Project risk management
B) Project risk response
C) Project risk planning
D) Project risk analysis
E) Project risk control
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30
Successful risk management requires _____
A) misunderstanding the benefits of risk management
B) inadequate time for risk identification
C) use of a non-standard approach to assess risk
D) stakeholder responsibility
E) occasional monitoring of risks to ensure compliance
A) misunderstanding the benefits of risk management
B) inadequate time for risk identification
C) use of a non-standard approach to assess risk
D) stakeholder responsibility
E) occasional monitoring of risks to ensure compliance
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31
_____ focuses on root-cause analysis and determining the cause of risks, as well as the effects of risks on the project.
A) Learning Cycles
B) Brainstorming
C) Nominal Group Technique
D) Delphi Technique
E) Cause-and-Effect Diagrams
A) Learning Cycles
B) Brainstorming
C) Nominal Group Technique
D) Delphi Technique
E) Cause-and-Effect Diagrams
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32
_____ use only integer or whole numbers, where fractional values are not allowed or would not make sense.
A) Discrete Distribution
B) Normal Distribution
C) Pert Distribution
D) Triangular Distribution
E) Binomial Distribution
A) Discrete Distribution
B) Normal Distribution
C) Pert Distribution
D) Triangular Distribution
E) Binomial Distribution
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33
Initial generation of ideas without evaluation would be most closely associated with:
A) Learning Cycles
B) Brainstorming
C) Nominal Group Technique
D) Delphi Technique
E) Cause-and-Effect Diagrams
A) Learning Cycles
B) Brainstorming
C) Nominal Group Technique
D) Delphi Technique
E) Cause-and-Effect Diagrams
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34
Receiving a much larger than usual gas utility bill because of an early spring cold spell is an example of what type of risk?
A) known risk
B) known-unknown risk
C) unknown-unknown risk
D) known-known
E) none of these
A) known risk
B) known-unknown risk
C) unknown-unknown risk
D) known-known
E) none of these
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35
A _____ identifies threats and opportunities in the external environment as well as organizational strengths and weaknesses .
A) Learning Cycle
B) SWOT Analysis
C) Nominal Group Technique
D) Delphi Technique
E) Checklist
A) Learning Cycle
B) SWOT Analysis
C) Nominal Group Technique
D) Delphi Technique
E) Checklist
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36
Identifying what you know, what you think you know, and things you need to find out would be activities most closely associated with:
A) Learning Cycles
B) Brainstorming
C) Nominal Group Technique
D) Delphi Technique
E) Cause-and-Effect Diagrams
A) Learning Cycles
B) Brainstorming
C) Nominal Group Technique
D) Delphi Technique
E) Cause-and-Effect Diagrams
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37
_____ prioritizes risks so that an effective risk strategy can be formulated.
A) Risk mitigation
B) Risk assessment
C) Risk avoidance
D) Risk analysis
E) Risk monitoring and control
A) Risk mitigation
B) Risk assessment
C) Risk avoidance
D) Risk analysis
E) Risk monitoring and control
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38
A structured technique for identifying risks which requires participants to rank and prioritize ideas in round-robin fashion is most closely associated with:
A) Learning Cycles
B) Brainstorming
C) Nominal Group Technique
D) Delphi Technique
E) Cause-and-Effect Diagrams
A) Learning Cycles
B) Brainstorming
C) Nominal Group Technique
D) Delphi Technique
E) Cause-and-Effect Diagrams
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39
The first step in managing IT project risk is _____.
A) risk identification
B) risk assessment
C) risk planning
D) risk monitoring and control
E) risk evaluation
A) risk identification
B) risk assessment
C) risk planning
D) risk monitoring and control
E) risk evaluation
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40
_____ involves deciding which risks can impact the project.
A) Plan Risk Management
B) Identify Risks
C) Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis
D) Plan Risk Responses
E) Monitor and Control Risks
A) Plan Risk Management
B) Identify Risks
C) Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis
D) Plan Risk Responses
E) Monitor and Control Risks
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41
Risks may be positive or negative. For a positive risk, a project manager would want to _____.
A) accept the risk
B) share ownership
C) avoid the risk
D) reduce the impact of the risk
E) transfer the risk
A) accept the risk
B) share ownership
C) avoid the risk
D) reduce the impact of the risk
E) transfer the risk
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42
What is project risk management?
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43
Through _____, the project manager will scan the project environment to watch for risks as they may arise.
A) risk identification
B) risk assessment
C) risk planning
D) risk monitoring and control
E) risk strategies
A) risk identification
B) risk assessment
C) risk planning
D) risk monitoring and control
E) risk strategies
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44
Why can identifying IT project risks be difficult?
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45
What is SWOT analysis? How can this technique be used to identify IT project risks?
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46
What is project risk?
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47
What is the Delphi Technique? How can this technique be used to identify IT project risks?
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48
In a normal distribution we would expect to find _______ of all values with in + or - 2 standard deviation.
A) 13%
B) 34%
C) 68%
D) 95%
E) 99%
A) 13%
B) 34%
C) 68%
D) 95%
E) 99%
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49
Once a risk is made known, _____ will execute the planned risk strategy.
A) risk identification
B) risk assessment
C) risk planning
D) risk response
E) risk strategies
A) risk identification
B) risk assessment
C) risk planning
D) risk response
E) risk strategies
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50
_____ determines each identified risk's probability of occurrence and impact on the project.
A) Risk mitigation
B) Risk assessment
C) Risk avoidance
D) Risk analysis
E) Risk monitoring and control
A) Risk mitigation
B) Risk assessment
C) Risk avoidance
D) Risk analysis
E) Risk monitoring and control
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51
_____ lead to lessons learned to determine how the risk was handled.
A) risk identification
B) risk assessment
C) risk planning
D) risk response
E) risk evaluation
A) risk identification
B) risk assessment
C) risk planning
D) risk response
E) risk evaluation
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52
In a normal distribution we would expect to find _______ of all values with in + or - 1 standard deviation.
A) 13%
B) 34%
C) 68%
D) 95%
E) 99%
A) 13%
B) 34%
C) 68%
D) 95%
E) 99%
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53
_____involves determining the likelihood and project impact of a risk.
A) risk identification
B) risk assessment
C) risk planning
D) risk monitoring and control
E) risk evaluation
A) risk identification
B) risk assessment
C) risk planning
D) risk monitoring and control
E) risk evaluation
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54
_____determines how to deal with the occurrence of a risk.
A) risk identification
B) risk assessment
C) risk planning
D) risk monitoring and control
E) risk strategies
A) risk identification
B) risk assessment
C) risk planning
D) risk monitoring and control
E) risk strategies
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55
_____ randomly generates specific values for a variable with a specific probability distribution.
A) Discrete Distribution
B) Normal Distribution
C) Pert Distribution
D) Monte Carlo Simulation
E) Binomial Distribution
A) Discrete Distribution
B) Normal Distribution
C) Pert Distribution
D) Monte Carlo Simulation
E) Binomial Distribution
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56
Which of the following distributions has mean which is equal to (a +b +c) / 3 where a, b, and c are denote optimistic, most likely, and pessimistic estimates respectively?:
A) Discrete Distribution
B) Normal Distribution
C) Pert Distribution
D) Triangular Distribution
E) Binomial Distribution
A) Discrete Distribution
B) Normal Distribution
C) Pert Distribution
D) Triangular Distribution
E) Binomial Distribution
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57
What is meant by crisis management? And why do many organizations find themselves in this mode?
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58
Reserves and contingency plans would be used in which risk strategy ?
A) accept or ignore
B) avoidance
C) mitigation
D) transfer
E) none of these
A) accept or ignore
B) avoidance
C) mitigation
D) transfer
E) none of these
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59
Describe how learning cycles can be used to identify IT project risks.
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60
What are the six project risk management processes?
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61
What is a risk response plan? What should be included?
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62
The text discusses three common mistakes found in managing project risk.Choose two of them and after stating them, discuss the implications of making that mistake.
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63
Compare the three types of project risk: known, known-unknown, and unknown-unknown.Give an example of each.
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64
Briefly describe the six IT Project Risk Management processes.
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65
What are the strengths and weaknesses of using the Delphi Technique for identifying threats and opportunities?
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66
The text discusses seven main risk response strategies.Briefly describe them and the implications of choosing one over another.
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67
What is risk monitoring and control?
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68
What is the purpose of a risk impact table?
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69
Define and discuss the seven risk strategies described in this chapter.
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70
Describe some of the tools that are typically employed to monitor and control risk.
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71
What factors determine the appropriate risk strategy to deploy?
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72
What should be required of project stakeholders with regard to managing project risk successfully?
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73
What is a Monte Carlo simulation? Describe a situation (other than the one used in this chapter) that could make good use of a Monte Carlo simulation.
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74
What is a contingency plan?
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75
What is a fishbone (Ishikawa) diagram? How can this tool be used to identify IT project risks?
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76
How is a Monte Carlo simulation conducted?
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77
What are the potential advantages that qualitative approaches have over quantitative ones when it comes to risk analysis and assessment?
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