Deck 19: Global Economic Activity and Industry Analysis
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Deck 19: Global Economic Activity and Industry Analysis
1
The U.S.makes up approximately what percent of the global equity market capitalization?
A) 20%
B) 25%
C) 30%
D) 35%
E) 40%
A) 20%
B) 25%
C) 30%
D) 35%
E) 40%
C
2
It has been estimated that "substitution effects" underestimate the Consumer Price Index by approximately how much?
A) 3%
B) 2.5%
C) 1.75%
D) 1.0%
E) 0.5%
A) 3%
B) 2.5%
C) 1.75%
D) 1.0%
E) 0.5%
D
3
The relationship between inflation and real GDP is ________.
A) direct
B) positive
C) negative
D) non-existent
E) inverse
A) direct
B) positive
C) negative
D) non-existent
E) inverse
E
4
The labor force divided by the nonmilitary working age population equals the ________.
A) work force participation rate
B) employable participation rate
C) labor population participation rate
D) labor force participation rate
E) participating employees rate
A) work force participation rate
B) employable participation rate
C) labor population participation rate
D) labor force participation rate
E) participating employees rate
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5
The relationship between GDP and market capitalization for the leading economies of the world is generally ________.
A) weakly related
B) inversely related
C) negatively correlated
D) positively correlated
E) unrelated
A) weakly related
B) inversely related
C) negatively correlated
D) positively correlated
E) unrelated
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6
Which of the following is NOT considered a leading economic indicator?
A) stock prices
B) M2 money supply
C) industrial production
D) interest rate spread
E) consumer expectations index
A) stock prices
B) M2 money supply
C) industrial production
D) interest rate spread
E) consumer expectations index
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7
Which of the following reflects the dollar value of economic output in terms of the current year?
A) current year GDP
B) real GDP
C) nominal GDP
D) adjusted GDP
E) actual GDP
A) current year GDP
B) real GDP
C) nominal GDP
D) adjusted GDP
E) actual GDP
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8
Which of the following combinations describes a "goldilocks" scenario?
A) slow income growth, low unemployment and low inflation
B) rapid income growth, high unemployment and low inflation
C) rapid income growth, low unemployment and low inflation
D) rapid income growth, low unemployment and high inflation
E) rapid income growth, high unemployment and high inflation
A) slow income growth, low unemployment and low inflation
B) rapid income growth, high unemployment and low inflation
C) rapid income growth, low unemployment and low inflation
D) rapid income growth, low unemployment and high inflation
E) rapid income growth, high unemployment and high inflation
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9
Which of the following is not listed as a cause of increased integration of economies around the world?
A) increased technology
B) increased international travel
C) improved supply chain logistic
D) reduced trade barriers
E) none of these
A) increased technology
B) increased international travel
C) improved supply chain logistic
D) reduced trade barriers
E) none of these
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10
All nonmilitary people employed and unemployed,but seeking employment make up the ________.
A) labor force
B) labor population
C) employable population
D) work force participants
E) employable work force
A) labor force
B) labor population
C) employable population
D) work force participants
E) employable work force
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11
Which index measures the average prices paid by urban consumers for a basket of consumer goods and services?
A) Urban Inflation Index (UII)
B) Price Inflation Index (PII)
C) Urban Consumer Index (UCI)
D) Consumer Inflation Index (CII)
E) Consumer Price Index (CPI)
A) Urban Inflation Index (UII)
B) Price Inflation Index (PII)
C) Urban Consumer Index (UCI)
D) Consumer Inflation Index (CII)
E) Consumer Price Index (CPI)
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12
If the number of Euros required to buy $1 (USD)decreases then the Euro has ________ versus the U.S.dollar.
A) depreciated
B) appreciated
C) declined
D) improved
E) increased
A) depreciated
B) appreciated
C) declined
D) improved
E) increased
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13
In the U.S.,what percentage of the GDP is consumer spending?
A) 45%
B) 55%
C) 65%
D) 75%
E) 85%
A) 45%
B) 55%
C) 65%
D) 75%
E) 85%
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14
Which of the following reflects the value of economic output adjusted to remove the effects of inflation?
A) current year GDP
B) real GDP
C) nominal GDP
D) adjusted GDP
E) actual GDP
A) current year GDP
B) real GDP
C) nominal GDP
D) adjusted GDP
E) actual GDP
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15
If the number of Euros required to buy $1 (USD)increases then the Euro has ________ versus the U.S.dollar.
A) depreciated
B) appreciated
C) declined
D) improved
E) increased
A) depreciated
B) appreciated
C) declined
D) improved
E) increased
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16
Economic metrics that tend to rise and fall in advance of the economy are called ________ indicators.
A) predictive
B) forecast
C) leading
D) coincident
E) cyclical
A) predictive
B) forecast
C) leading
D) coincident
E) cyclical
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17
Which one of the following is defined as the market value of goods and services produced over a period of time?
A) Domestic Market Product (DMP)
B) Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
C) Gross Economic Activity (GEA)
D) Gross Market Value (GMV)
E) Market Value Product (MVP)
A) Domestic Market Product (DMP)
B) Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
C) Gross Economic Activity (GEA)
D) Gross Market Value (GMV)
E) Market Value Product (MVP)
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18
Which of the following is NOT one of the four stages of the business cycle?
A) boom
B) peak
C) contraction
D) trough
E) expansion
A) boom
B) peak
C) contraction
D) trough
E) expansion
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19
Which of the following is NOT considered in the first filter or phase of top-down analysis?
A) Domestic spending
B) Fiscal policy
C) Business cycles
D) Monetary Policy
E) Economic indicators
A) Domestic spending
B) Fiscal policy
C) Business cycles
D) Monetary Policy
E) Economic indicators
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20
Which of the following is NOT considered a lagging economic indicator?
A) prime rate
B) change in CPI for services
C) industrial production
D) commercial and industrial loans
A) prime rate
B) change in CPI for services
C) industrial production
D) commercial and industrial loans
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21
Which of the following is NOT one of Michael Porter's Five Forces?
A) threat of new entrants
B) bargaining power of buyers
C) bargaining power of suppliers
D) threat of new technology
E) threat of substitute products
A) threat of new entrants
B) bargaining power of buyers
C) bargaining power of suppliers
D) threat of new technology
E) threat of substitute products
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22
Which sector has a high sensitivity to the business cycle?
A) defensive
B) offensive
C) lagging
D) cyclical
E) leading
A) defensive
B) offensive
C) lagging
D) cyclical
E) leading
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23
Which one of the following is not one of the elements in the industry life cycle?
A) start-up
B) rapid growth
C) consolidation
D) maturity
E) relative decline
A) start-up
B) rapid growth
C) consolidation
D) maturity
E) relative decline
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24
If government expenditures exceed tax revenue the resulting shortfall is termed a ________.
A) budget shortfall
B) taxing deficiency
C) budget deficit
D) revenue shortfall
E) revenue deficiency
A) budget shortfall
B) taxing deficiency
C) budget deficit
D) revenue shortfall
E) revenue deficiency
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25
Which of the following was the largest sector in the S&P as of April 2012?
A) consumer discretionary
B) energy
C) health care
D) technology
E) financials
A) consumer discretionary
B) energy
C) health care
D) technology
E) financials
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26
The power of a "rippling effect" of adding money to the financial system is measured by the ________.
A) ripple ratio
B) money multiplier
C) multiplier ratio
D) money magnifier
E) magnifier ratio
A) ripple ratio
B) money multiplier
C) multiplier ratio
D) money magnifier
E) magnifier ratio
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27
Which of the following describes the "M2" Money Supply?
A) M1 plus time deposits, savings accounts and money markets
B) M1 plus time deposits and savings accounts
C) M1 plus time deposits and money markets
D) M1 plus money markets
E) M1 plus checking and time deposits
A) M1 plus time deposits, savings accounts and money markets
B) M1 plus time deposits and savings accounts
C) M1 plus time deposits and money markets
D) M1 plus money markets
E) M1 plus checking and time deposits
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28
A common rule of thumb on Wall Street says that the sum of the inflation rate plus the market price-earnings ratio equals ________.
A) 10
B) 15
C) 20
D) 25
E) 30
A) 10
B) 15
C) 20
D) 25
E) 30
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29
A breakdown of the S&P 500 into major sectors specifying the relative market weight of components is called a ________.
A) heat map
B) sector chart
C) component map
D) market capitalization chart
E) sector component map
A) heat map
B) sector chart
C) component map
D) market capitalization chart
E) sector component map
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30
Which sector has a low sensitivity to the business cycle?
A) defensive
B) offensive
C) lagging
D) cyclical
E) leading
A) defensive
B) offensive
C) lagging
D) cyclical
E) leading
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31
The process of moving investments between sectors of the economy over time is called ________.
A) sector stagnation
B) sector selection
C) rotational investing
D) sector exchange
E) sector swapping
A) sector stagnation
B) sector selection
C) rotational investing
D) sector exchange
E) sector swapping
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32
The so-called "M1" money supply includes which of the following?
A) currency and checking deposits
B) currency and money markets
C) currency and time deposits
D) currency, time deposits and money markets
E) checking and time deposits
A) currency and checking deposits
B) currency and money markets
C) currency and time deposits
D) currency, time deposits and money markets
E) checking and time deposits
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33
The interest rate the Federal Reserve charges its member banks on loans is called:
A) Fed Funds Rate
B) Federal Reserve Rate
C) Discount Rate
D) Federal Loan Rate
E) Reserve Loan Rate
A) Fed Funds Rate
B) Federal Reserve Rate
C) Discount Rate
D) Federal Loan Rate
E) Reserve Loan Rate
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34
Which of the following is not a Threat of New Entrants according to Porter's Five Forces?
A) economies of scale
B) product differentiation
C) quality of substitutes
D) capital requirements
E) government policies
A) economies of scale
B) product differentiation
C) quality of substitutes
D) capital requirements
E) government policies
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35
The buying and selling of bonds by the Federal Reserve to manage the money supply is called ________.
A) quantitative easing
B) discount window operations
C) open market operations
D) money supply management
E) Federal Reserve operations
A) quantitative easing
B) discount window operations
C) open market operations
D) money supply management
E) Federal Reserve operations
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36
Which of the following is NOT a primary goal of the Federal Reserve?
A) keep inflation in check
B) encourage consumer spending
C) generate full employment
D) moderate the business cycle
E) help achieve long-term economic growth
A) keep inflation in check
B) encourage consumer spending
C) generate full employment
D) moderate the business cycle
E) help achieve long-term economic growth
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37
Government determination of tax rates and spending policies is called ________.
A) tax policy
B) budgetary policy
C) federal spending policy
D) fiscal policy
E) monetary policy
A) tax policy
B) budgetary policy
C) federal spending policy
D) fiscal policy
E) monetary policy
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38
"PIGS" refers to which 4 countries in Europe?
A) Portugal, Ireland, Greece and Spain
B) Portugal, Ireland, Germany and Switzerland
C) Poland, Ireland, Germany and Sweden
D) Poland, Italy, Greece and Spain
E) Poland, Italy, Greece and Slovenia
A) Portugal, Ireland, Greece and Spain
B) Portugal, Ireland, Germany and Switzerland
C) Poland, Ireland, Germany and Sweden
D) Poland, Italy, Greece and Spain
E) Poland, Italy, Greece and Slovenia
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39
The short-term rate at which banks lend to each other is called the ________.
A) Fed Funds Rate
B) Federal Reserve Rate
C) Discount Rate
D) Federal Loan Rate
E) Reserve Loan Rate
A) Fed Funds Rate
B) Federal Reserve Rate
C) Discount Rate
D) Federal Loan Rate
E) Reserve Loan Rate
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40
Which of the following interest rates is directly controlled by the Federal Reserve?
A) the fed funds rate
B) the discount rate
C) the prime rate
D) mortgage rates
E) credit card rates
A) the fed funds rate
B) the discount rate
C) the prime rate
D) mortgage rates
E) credit card rates
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41
Consider the following information on GDP and CPI for an economy over the last 3 years.Calculate nominal GDP growth for 2012. 
A) 2.15%
B) 2.56%
C) 2.95%
D) 3.15%
E) 3.32%

A) 2.15%
B) 2.56%
C) 2.95%
D) 3.15%
E) 3.32%
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42
You invest $50,000 in Germany when the exchange rate is $1.35/€.Your investment gains 13%,and you subsequently exchange the euros back into dollars at a rate of $1.40/€.What is your total percentage return on this investment?
A) 16.48%
B) 16.89%
C) 17.19%
D) 17.35%
E) 17.85%
A) 16.48%
B) 16.89%
C) 17.19%
D) 17.35%
E) 17.85%
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43
The CPI for this year was reported as 164.9,If inflation was 1.25 percent,what must the CPI have been last year?
A) 161.21
B) 161.63
C) 162.47
D) 162.65
E) 162.86
A) 161.21
B) 161.63
C) 162.47
D) 162.65
E) 162.86
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44
If the nominal GDP was reported at $122.3 billion and real GDP was reported at $120.1 billion,what was the inflation rate for the period?
A) 1.59%
B) 1.83%
C) 2.32%
D) 2.62%
E) 2.88%
A) 1.59%
B) 1.83%
C) 2.32%
D) 2.62%
E) 2.88%
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45
If the nominal GDP was reported at $1,305.80 billion and inflation was 2.5%,what is the level of real GDP for the period?
A) $1,179.54
B) $1,191.41
C) $1,212.75
D) $1,255.01
E) $1,273.95
A) $1,179.54
B) $1,191.41
C) $1,212.75
D) $1,255.01
E) $1,273.95
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46
Assume the inflation rate in 2016 is 1.3 percent.If the nominal GDP grew 3.5 percent and nominal wages grew 2.6 percent,what are the approximate real growth rates of GDP and wages?
A) 2.00%; 0.80%
B) 3.05%; 0.90%
C) 2.10%; 1.10%
D) 2.20%; 1.20%
E) 2.20%; 1.30%
A) 2.00%; 0.80%
B) 3.05%; 0.90%
C) 2.10%; 1.10%
D) 2.20%; 1.20%
E) 2.20%; 1.30%
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47
An analyst gathered the following year-end price level data for an economy.What is the economy's annual inflation rate for 2013?

A) 3.07%
B) 3.32%
C) 3.58%
D) 3.87%
E) 3.92%

A) 3.07%
B) 3.32%
C) 3.58%
D) 3.87%
E) 3.92%
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48
Consider the following information on GDP and CPI for an economy over the last 3 years.Calculate nominal GDP growth for 2011. 
A) 2.15%
B) 2.56%
C) 2.95%
D) 3.15%
E) 3.22%

A) 2.15%
B) 2.56%
C) 2.95%
D) 3.15%
E) 3.22%
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49
Suppose you are a U.S.investor who is planning to invest $200,000 in China.Your Chinese investment gains 7.5 percent.If the exchange rate moves from 5.10 Yuan per dollar to 5.20 per dollar over the period,what is your total return on this investment?
A) 4.55%
B) 4.71%
C) 4.98%
D) 5.29%
E) 5.43%
A) 4.55%
B) 4.71%
C) 4.98%
D) 5.29%
E) 5.43%
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50
Assume there are 475 million people in the United States,175 million of which make up the labor force.If 16 million are unemployed,what is the unemployment rate?
A) 8.35%
B) 9.14%
C) 10.91%
D) 11.05%
E) 11.74%
A) 8.35%
B) 9.14%
C) 10.91%
D) 11.05%
E) 11.74%
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51
An analyst gathered the following year-end price level data for an economy.What is the economy's annual compounded inflation rate for 2007-2012?

A) 2.22%
B) 2.49%
C) 2.68%
D) 2.87%
E) 2.92%

A) 2.22%
B) 2.49%
C) 2.68%
D) 2.87%
E) 2.92%
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52
You invest $250,000 in Japan at a starting exchange rate of 101.50×/$.Your Japanese investment gains 5.6 percent,and the ending exchange rate is 102.40×/$.What is your total return on this investment?
A) 3.91%
B) 4.13%
C) 4.67%
D) 4.82%
E) 5.08%
A) 3.91%
B) 4.13%
C) 4.67%
D) 4.82%
E) 5.08%
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53
You invest $150,000 in Germany when the exchange rate is $1.25/€.Your investment gains 10%,and you subsequently exchange the euros back into dollars at a rate of $1.20/€.What is your total percentage return on this investment?
A) 4.48%
B) 4.89%
C) 5.10%
D) 5.35%
E) 5.60%
A) 4.48%
B) 4.89%
C) 5.10%
D) 5.35%
E) 5.60%
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54
Your $785,000 investment in Mexico gained 6 percent.If the exchange rate moves from 13.4 pesos per dollar to 12.5 per dollar over the period,what is your total return on this investment?
A) 12.57%
B) 12.86%
C) 13.12%
D) 13.63%
E) 13.91%
A) 12.57%
B) 12.86%
C) 13.12%
D) 13.63%
E) 13.91%
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55
Assume the inflation rate in 2016 is 1.2 percent.If the nominal GDP grew 3.3 percent and nominal wages grew 2.1 percent,what are the approximate real growth rates of GDP and wages?
A) 2.00%; 0.40%
B) 2.05%; 0.50%
C) 2.10%; 0.50%
D) 2.10%; 0.90%
E) 2.15%; 0.60%
A) 2.00%; 0.40%
B) 2.05%; 0.50%
C) 2.10%; 0.50%
D) 2.10%; 0.90%
E) 2.15%; 0.60%
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56
You are planning to invest $150,000 in Hong Kong.If your Hong Kong investment gains 7.5 percent while the exchange rate moves from 7.75 Hong Kong dollars (HK$)per U.S.dollar to 7.70 per dollar over the period,what is your total return on this investment?
A) 6.8%
B) 7.1%
C) 7.6%
D) 8.2%
E) 8.4%
A) 6.8%
B) 7.1%
C) 7.6%
D) 8.2%
E) 8.4%
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57
An analyst gathered the following year-end price level data for an economy.What is the economy's annual inflation rate for 2016?

A) 2.22%
B) 2.42%
C) 2.68%
D) 2.87%
E) 2.93%

A) 2.22%
B) 2.42%
C) 2.68%
D) 2.87%
E) 2.93%
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58
Suppose you want to convert U.S.dollars to Indian rupees.If you have $120,000 and the exchange rate is $0.0159 per rupee,how many rupees (in millions)will you receive in the conversion?
A) 6.28 million
B) 6.67 million
C) 7.12 million
D) 7.53 million
E) 7.88 million
A) 6.28 million
B) 6.67 million
C) 7.12 million
D) 7.53 million
E) 7.88 million
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59
Assume the CPI increases from 125.9 to 126.4 over the period.What is the inflation rate implied by this CPI change?
A) 0.10%
B) 0.20%
C) 0.30%
D) 0.40%
E) 0.50%
A) 0.10%
B) 0.20%
C) 0.30%
D) 0.40%
E) 0.50%
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60
As a U.S.investor,you decide to invest $110,000 in Switzerland.You do so at a starting exchange rate of 1.093 SwFr/$.Your Swiss investment gains 7 percent,and the ending exchange rate is 1.091SwFr/$.What is your total return on this investment?
A) 6.30%
B) 6.85%
C) 7.20%
D) 7.40%
E) 7.55%
A) 6.30%
B) 6.85%
C) 7.20%
D) 7.40%
E) 7.55%
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61
Assume that the Federal Reserve injects $5 billion into the financial system.If the reserve requirement is 25 percent,what is the maximum increase in money supply (in billions)?
A) $20.00
B) $21.30
C) $21.88
D) $22.10
E) $22.60
A) $20.00
B) $21.30
C) $21.88
D) $22.10
E) $22.60
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62
If the Federal Reserve injects $150 billion into the financial system and the money supply increases by a maximum of $750 billion,what must the reserve requirement be?
A) 15%
B) 18%
C) 20%
D) 22%
E) 25%
A) 15%
B) 18%
C) 20%
D) 22%
E) 25%
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63
Assume that the Federal Reserve injects $45 billion into the financial system.If the money supply increases by a maximum of $300 billion,what must the reserve requirement be?
A) 10%
B) 12%
C) 15%
D) 18%
E) 20%
A) 10%
B) 12%
C) 15%
D) 18%
E) 20%
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64
Assume there are 450 million people in the United States,165 million of which make up the labor force.If 18 million are unemployed,what is the unemployment rate?
A) 8.35%
B) 9.58%
C) 10.91%
D) 11.05%
E) 11.74%
A) 8.35%
B) 9.58%
C) 10.91%
D) 11.05%
E) 11.74%
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65
If the nominal GDP was reported at $1,351.90 billion and inflation was 3.8%,what is the level of real GDP for the period?
A) $1,289.54
B) $1,302.41
C) $1,344.92
D) $1,385.01
E) $1,402.45
A) $1,289.54
B) $1,302.41
C) $1,344.92
D) $1,385.01
E) $1,402.45
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66
Assume the inflation rate in 2016 is 1.5 percent.If the nominal GDP grew 3.1 percent and nominal wages grew 2.0 percent,what are the approximate real growth rates of GDP and wages?
A) 1.00%; 0.40%
B) 1.15%; 0.50%
C) 1.20%; 0.50%
D) 1.40%; 0.90%
E) 1.60%; 0.50%
A) 1.00%; 0.40%
B) 1.15%; 0.50%
C) 1.20%; 0.50%
D) 1.40%; 0.90%
E) 1.60%; 0.50%
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67
Assume that the Federal Reserve injects $3.2 billion into the financial system.If the reserve requirement is 13 percent,what is the maximum increase in money supply (in billions)?
A) $24.00
B) $24.30
C) $24.88
D) $24.10
E) $24.62
A) $24.00
B) $24.30
C) $24.88
D) $24.10
E) $24.62
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68
If wages grew 3.15 percent in 2013,but inflation was 2.75 percent,what was the approximate real increase in wages?
A) 0.10%
B) 0.20%
C) 0.30%
D) 0.40%
E) 0.50%
A) 0.10%
B) 0.20%
C) 0.30%
D) 0.40%
E) 0.50%
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69
If the nominal GDP was reported at $1,677 billion and inflation was 1.25%,what is the level of real GDP for the period?
A) $1,579.54
B) $1,591.41
C) $1,612.75
D) $1,656.30
E) $1,673.95
A) $1,579.54
B) $1,591.41
C) $1,612.75
D) $1,656.30
E) $1,673.95
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70
Suppose you are a U.S.investor who is planning to invest $100,000 in China.Your Chinese investment gains 6 percent.If the exchange rate moves from 7.10 Yuan per dollar to 7.15 per dollar over the period,what is your total return on this investment?
A) 4.52%
B) 4.76%
C) 4.91%
D) 5.26%
E) 5.49%
A) 4.52%
B) 4.76%
C) 4.91%
D) 5.26%
E) 5.49%
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71
If the nominal GDP was reported at $141.8 billion and real GDP was reported at $138.4 billion,what was the inflation rate for the period?
A) 1.54%
B) 1.92%
C) 2.46%
D) 2.67%
E) 2.81%
A) 1.54%
B) 1.92%
C) 2.46%
D) 2.67%
E) 2.81%
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72
Assume that the Federal Reserve injects $2.8 billion into the financial system.If the reserve requirement is 14 percent,what is the maximum increase in money supply (in billions)?
A) $20.00
B) $21.30
C) $21.88
D) $22.10
E) $22.60
A) $20.00
B) $21.30
C) $21.88
D) $22.10
E) $22.60
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73
You invest $75,000 in Germany when the exchange rate is $1.25/€.Your investment gains 10%,and you subsequently exchange the euros back into dollars at a rate of $1.30/€.What is your total percentage return on this investment?
A) 13.48%
B) 13.89%
C) 14.19%
D) 14.40%
E) 14.85%
A) 13.48%
B) 13.89%
C) 14.19%
D) 14.40%
E) 14.85%
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