Deck 6: The Role of Financial Information in Valuation and Credit Risk Assessment
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Deck 6: The Role of Financial Information in Valuation and Credit Risk Assessment
1
One popular approach used to estimate a firm's equity cost of capital is the capital asset pricing model,which expresses the equity cost of capital as the sum of the return on a riskless asset plus an equity risk premium multiplied by the company's systematic risk.
True
2
Business valuation involves estimating the intrinsic value of a company,or one of its operating units.
True
3
The FASB believes that the most useful predictor of future cash flows is accrual accounting earnings.
True
4
The amount available to finance planned expansion of operating capacity,reduce debt,pay dividends,or repurchase stock is distributable (or free)cash flow.
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5
When determining the discount rate to apply to a firm's expected future cash flows,analysts should select a rate that reflects the risk (or uncertainty)associated with these cash flows.
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6
Pro forma financial statements of a business,prepared by a credit analyst,would include constructing worst-case scenarios that incorporate alternative assumptions about sales,costs,competitor behavior,etc.
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7
Accrual accounting produces an earnings number that smoothes out the unevenness in year-to-year cash flows,and provides an estimate of sustainable annualized long-run future free cash flows.
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8
The details of free cash flow valuation are important only for stock analysts and investors.
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9
In applying the discounted free cash flow valuation model,the discount rate used is the average cost of capital.
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10
The "free cash flow valuation approach" expresses current stock price as the discounted present value of expected future distributable cash flows.
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11
Cash flow assessment plays a central role in analyzing the credit risk of a company.
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12
Operating cash flow minus cash outlays to replace existing operating capacity is free cash flow.
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13
Lenders compare their cash flow projections for a company to the firm's future dividend commitment as stated in the firm's dividend policy.
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14
A simplified version of the discounted free cash flow valuation model assumes a zero-growth perpetuity for future cash flows.This assumption is best applied to growth companies with stable cash flow patterns.
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15
The cost of capital,expressed in dollars,reflects the level of earnings investors demand from the company as compensation for the risks of investment.
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16
Earnings are a proxy-imperfect but the best we have-for free cash flow.
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17
Fundamental valuation uses basic accounting measures to assess the amount,timing,and uncertainty of a firm's future operating cash flows or earnings.
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18
Stock valuation involves estimating the worth of a company,one of its operating units,or its ownership shares.
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19
If a company is currently generating a free cash flow of $10 per share,which is expected to continue indefinitely,and if the discount rate is 10%,the estimated share price would be $100.
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20
In theory,the abnormal earnings approach and the free cash flow approach never produce the same valuation estimate.
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21
Return on assets (ROA)can be used to assess whether a firm is likely to earn a return on reinvested earnings that exceeds its cost of equity capital.
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22
Riskier firms have a lower risk-adjusted cost of capital resulting in lower share prices for those companies.
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23
In addition to valuing earnings generated from existing assets,the market values growth opportunities.
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24
The growth rate in earnings generally depends on the earnings retention rate and the rate of return earned on new investment.
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25
Income (or loss)from discontinued operations is viewed as a transitory component of earnings.
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26
A component that is valuation-relevant and expected to persist into the future is a permanent earnings component.
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27
As transitory components become a more important part of a firm's reported earnings,the reported earnings are more quality-enhanced.
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28
Based on a number of research studies,current earnings explain virtually 100% of the variation in current stock prices between companies.
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29
Using simplifying assumptions,the current stock price estimate can be expressed as a capitalization rate (1 × r)multiplied by a perpetuity equal to current earnings.
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30
A component that is unrelated to future free cash flows or future earnings and is not pertinent to assessing current share price is a noise component.
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31
Firms that earn less than the cost of equity capital have a share price below book value.
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32
Analysts combine information about the company's current earnings,its business strategy,and the industry's competitive dynamics to forecast future free cash flows.
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33
If a firm can earn a return on net assets (common equity book value)that exceeds its cost of equity capital,it will generate positive abnormal earnings.
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34
The value of the future growth opportunities of a firm can be determined considering the firm's potential earnings from reinvesting current earnings in new projects that will eventually earn a rate of return in excess of the cost of equity capital.
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35
The two most significant explanations for variations in the earnings multiple are risk differences and maturity of the firm.
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36
Research shows that stock returns correlate better with accrual earnings than with realized operating cash flows.
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37
Companies with ROEs that consistently exceed the industry average generally will have shares that sell for book value.
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38
Extraordinary gains and losses are regarded as value-irrelevant earnings.
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39
Earnings are considered high quality when they are reliable.
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40
A transitory earnings component is unrelated to future free cash flows or future earnings and,therefore,is not pertinent to assessing current share price.
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41
If securities markets are rational and efficient in the sense that they fully and correctly impound all available information into a company's stock price,then the price will reflect investors' unbiased expectations about the company's future earnings and cash flows.
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42
A term lending agreement has an original maturity of more than 1 year with maturities ranging from two to five years being the most common.
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43
GAAP defines fair value as "the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date."
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44
Much of the information needed for assessing the quality and value-relevance of a company's reported accounting numbers cannot be found in the company's Form 10-K.
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45
Earnings are deemed to be of high quality when they are sustainable;earnings quality is also affected by management's choice of accounting methods.
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46
Companies that report bad news earnings surprises tend to have an upward drift in stock returns before the actual earnings announcement date followed by a sharp decrease in stock returns at the announcement date.
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47
Stock prices only move up or down when financial reports are released and used by investors to update their expectations about the company's future earnings and cash flows.
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48
"Unbiased" means that,on average,the market's earnings expectations will be correct.
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49
There is more than one possible approach to measuring fair value.
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50
Companies that report good news earnings surprises tend to have an upward drift in stock returns before the actual earnings announcement date followed by an increase in stock returns at the announcement date.
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51
Fair value of an asset must reflect its "highest and best use" by others and not how it is used by the company.
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52
The degree of conservatism associated with a firm's accounting choices will have a direct bearing on the relationship among share price,earnings,and the firm's equity book value.
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53
Today's GAAP balance sheet contains a mixture of historical cost and other measurements to include fair value measurements.
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54
Critics of mark-to-model fair value accounting claim that it is a license for management to invent the financial statements to be whatever they want them to be.
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55
Firms must disclose at each reporting date the hierarchy level at which the fair values were determined.
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56
An earnings surprise results from incorrect estimates of future earnings.
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57
For accounting purposes,"fair value" is an entry price,not an exit price.
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58
Companies that report good news earnings tend to have an upward drift in stock returns before the actual earnings announcement date.
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59
The IASB and FASB are working on a joint convergence project on fair value measurement and disclosure and are in general agreement on what fair value means and how to measure it.
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60
Under the GAAP hierarchy that prioritizes the information used to arrive at fair value,Level 3 uses quoted prices from active markets for identical assets or liabilities to determine fair value.
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61
The fundamental valuation approach to business valuation uses basic accounting measures to assess the amount,timing,and
A)certainty of a company's past operating cash flows or earnings.
B)certainty of a company's future non-operating cash flows or earnings.
C)uncertainty of a company's future operating cash flows or earnings.
D)uncertainty of a company's future non-operating cash flows or earnings.
A)certainty of a company's past operating cash flows or earnings.
B)certainty of a company's future non-operating cash flows or earnings.
C)uncertainty of a company's future operating cash flows or earnings.
D)uncertainty of a company's future non-operating cash flows or earnings.
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62
An estimate of the company's future financial condition is indispensable to most lending decisions.
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63
There is no need for an analyst to develop plausible predictions about future economic conditions in the target company's industry as these are readily available from the U.S.Commerce Department.
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64
The written agreement between the borrowing company and its creditors is referred to as the indenture.
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65
The starting point for developing comprehensive financial statement forecasts is a detailed understanding of the company,its recent financial performance,and health.
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66
A comprehensive risk analysis involves evaluating and summarizing the various individual risks associated with a loan.
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67
Greater default risk is believed to exist when there is significant organizational reliance on an individual,especially one who may be nearing retirement.
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68
A lender is protected against anticipated credit risks by the loan's covenant provisions as interest rates are fixed by the Federal Reserve Bank.
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69
A more streamlined approach to credit analysis than costly scrutiny of financial statement details,ratios,etc.is to rely on credit reports issued by third-parties.
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70
Commercial paper consists of short-term notes sold directly to investors by large and financially sound companies.
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71
High-quality financial statements help credit analysts see what is really going on at a company;low-quality statements mask true performance and financial condition.
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72
Certain financial statement ratios are quite useful in predicting loan default.
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73
In the U.S.,there are a large number of companies that assess and grade the credit-worthiness of companies and public entities that sell debt to investors by issuing letter-based grades that express the rating agency's opinion about default risk.
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74
Seasonal lines of credit are used by companies with seasonal sales cycles and provide the cash needed to support increases in current assets during the peak selling period.
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75
Credit risk is unaffected by aggressive application of accounting standards as cash flows are unaffected by financial reporting choices.
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76
Preparing comprehensive financial statement forecasts involves six steps,the first one being to forecast depreciation expense and tax expense each period.
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77
A bond that has collateral to protect the bondholder is referred to as a debenture bond.
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78
Lenders form opinions about a company's credit risk by comparing current and future debt-service requirements to estimates of the company's current and expected future cash flows.
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79
While analysts may forecast only a single financial statement item,such forecasts may prove highly unreliable.
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80
Creditors are primarily concerned with determining the value of a firm's shares.
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