Deck 6: The Economics of Information and Choice Under Uncertainty
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Deck 6: The Economics of Information and Choice Under Uncertainty
1
In general, a firm sends a signal to consumers that their product is high quality when
A)it has high level of fixed costs
B)it has low level fixed costs
C)it spends very little in advertising campaigns
D)it gives huge discounts to large sellers
A)it has high level of fixed costs
B)it has low level fixed costs
C)it spends very little in advertising campaigns
D)it gives huge discounts to large sellers
A
2
A gamble in which you win D dollars if the coin comes up heads, but lose D dollars if the coin comes up tails has an expected value of
A)1/2D
B)-1 /2D
C)D
D)0
A)1/2D
B)-1 /2D
C)D
D)0
D
3
The extensive sunk costs of heavily advertised products suggest a reason for believing that those products will
A)Turn out to have higher quality than unadvertised products
B)Turn out to have lower quality than unadvertised products
C)Cause consumers to question their intrinsic value
D)Be hard to sell to the consumer without heavy persuasion
A)Turn out to have higher quality than unadvertised products
B)Turn out to have lower quality than unadvertised products
C)Cause consumers to question their intrinsic value
D)Be hard to sell to the consumer without heavy persuasion
A
4
The "Lemon's" argument helps to explain why
A)Physical depreciation is the only reason for the sharp price differential between new and used cars
B)Physical depreciation is an insufficient reason for the sharp price differential between new and used cars
C)Used cars fail to satisfy consumer demands for transportation
D)New and used cars sell for more than their intrinsic value would suggest
A)Physical depreciation is the only reason for the sharp price differential between new and used cars
B)Physical depreciation is an insufficient reason for the sharp price differential between new and used cars
C)Used cars fail to satisfy consumer demands for transportation
D)New and used cars sell for more than their intrinsic value would suggest
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5
A person's incentive to spend additional money on conspicuous consumption goods will be ____to the amount and reliability of independent information that people have about his abilities.
A)Unrelated
B)Positively related
C)Inversely related
D)Equal
A)Unrelated
B)Positively related
C)Inversely related
D)Equal
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6
A risk-neutral consumer
A)Will always refuse a fair gamble
B)Will always accept a fair gamble
C)Is indifferent between accepting and refusing a fair gamble
D)Avoids all risks
A)Will always refuse a fair gamble
B)Will always accept a fair gamble
C)Is indifferent between accepting and refusing a fair gamble
D)Avoids all risks
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7
Where important decisions involving people we do not know well are involved,
A)Even weak signals of ability are often decisive
B)Weak signals of ability are never decisive
C)We are more likely to be risk neutral
D)We are less likely to self-insure
A)Even weak signals of ability are often decisive
B)Weak signals of ability are never decisive
C)We are more likely to be risk neutral
D)We are less likely to self-insure
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8
Which of the following gambles should be consider more attractive:
A)If heads, you win $200; if tails, you lose $198
B)If heads, you win $5; if tails, you lose $10
C)If heads, you win $6; if tails, you lose $4
D)If heads, you win $9; if tails, you lose $6
A)If heads, you win $200; if tails, you lose $198
B)If heads, you win $5; if tails, you lose $10
C)If heads, you win $6; if tails, you lose $4
D)If heads, you win $9; if tails, you lose $6
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9
Conspicuous consumption as an ability signal
A)Completely different from a prisoner's dilemma
B)Is more effective if the positional goods nature of consumption causes everyone to consume elaborately
C)Will likely continue even if it is wasteful for all involved
D)Characterized by lower levels of consumption
A)Completely different from a prisoner's dilemma
B)Is more effective if the positional goods nature of consumption causes everyone to consume elaborately
C)Will likely continue even if it is wasteful for all involved
D)Characterized by lower levels of consumption
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10
When a job applicant discloses information that could be seen as favorable by potential employers, other job candidates:
A)must do the same in order to get hired
B)will be seen as more unfavorable by potential employers
C)will earn less compensation
D)will be seen as more favorable by potential employers
A)must do the same in order to get hired
B)will be seen as more unfavorable by potential employers
C)will earn less compensation
D)will be seen as more favorable by potential employers
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11
For a signal between two adversaries to be credible, it must
A)Be verified by a third party
B)Be costly to fake or duplicate
C)Be part of a sequence of transactions
D)Have both a good news-bad news component
A)Be verified by a third party
B)Be costly to fake or duplicate
C)Be part of a sequence of transactions
D)Have both a good news-bad news component
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12
Persons whose utility functions are concave with respect to wealth are said to be
A)Risk-seekers
B)Risk-neutral
C)Risk-averse
D)Fair gamblers
A)Risk-seekers
B)Risk-neutral
C)Risk-averse
D)Fair gamblers
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13
For the average person, insurance is a
A)Fair gamble
B)An unfair gamble
C)Not a gamble
D)Useless option
A)Fair gamble
B)An unfair gamble
C)Not a gamble
D)Useless option
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14
Assuming there is no pleasure in the gambling process, a risk-averse person with perfect information will
A)Always refuse a fair gamble
B)Consider all gambles unfair
C)Always accept a fair gamble
D)Sometimes refuse a fair gamble
A)Always refuse a fair gamble
B)Consider all gambles unfair
C)Always accept a fair gamble
D)Sometimes refuse a fair gamble
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15
Competitive pressure in the insurance market will, in general,
A)Make insurance premiums unattractive to drivers who are much riskier than average
B)Make insurance premiums attractive to low risk drivers
C)Induce risky drivers to self-insure
D)Induce the least risky drivers to self-insure
A)Make insurance premiums unattractive to drivers who are much riskier than average
B)Make insurance premiums attractive to low risk drivers
C)Induce risky drivers to self-insure
D)Induce the least risky drivers to self-insure
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16
The utility function of wealth for a risk-seeker has
A)An increasing slope as wealth rises
B)A decreasing slope as wealth rises
C)A constant slope as wealth rises
D)A slope that could be any of the above since utility of wealth is unrelated to risk-seeking
A)An increasing slope as wealth rises
B)A decreasing slope as wealth rises
C)A constant slope as wealth rises
D)A slope that could be any of the above since utility of wealth is unrelated to risk-seeking
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17
Adverse selection is the process by which
A)"Undesirable" members of a particular market are more likely to participate in exchange
B)"Undesirable" members of a particular market are less likely to participate in exchange
C)Adversaries communicate negative messages
D)Full-disclosure becomes impossible
A)"Undesirable" members of a particular market are more likely to participate in exchange
B)"Undesirable" members of a particular market are less likely to participate in exchange
C)Adversaries communicate negative messages
D)Full-disclosure becomes impossible
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18
When the size of the potential loss is small, most people will
A)Insure because insurance costs less than the expected loss
B)Self-insure because they can afford it and the expected loss < the insurance premium
C)Self-insure because the expected loss can not be calculated
D)Self-insure because insurance companies do not like to insure for small losses
A)Insure because insurance costs less than the expected loss
B)Self-insure because they can afford it and the expected loss < the insurance premium
C)Self-insure because the expected loss can not be calculated
D)Self-insure because insurance companies do not like to insure for small losses
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19
The general message of the full disclosure principle is that
A)Information is costly to fake
B)Producers should offer lifetime warranties for low quality products
C)The lack of evidence that something resides in a favored category will often suggest that it belongs to a less favored one
D)Information is symmetric
A)Information is costly to fake
B)Producers should offer lifetime warranties for low quality products
C)The lack of evidence that something resides in a favored category will often suggest that it belongs to a less favored one
D)Information is symmetric
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20
In insurance markets, adverse selection often
A)Creates exchange possibilities that are beneficial to consumers and insurance companies
B)Creates an abundance of lawsuits
C)Brings down prices for insurance premiums
D)Eliminates exchange possibilities that would be beneficial to both consumers and insurance companies alike
A)Creates exchange possibilities that are beneficial to consumers and insurance companies
B)Creates an abundance of lawsuits
C)Brings down prices for insurance premiums
D)Eliminates exchange possibilities that would be beneficial to both consumers and insurance companies alike
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21
Next suppose your utility function for value is U = 100(money).Are you risk averse, a risk lover, or risk neutral.
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22
One thousand tickets are sold at $1 each for a color television valued at $350.What is the expected value of the gain if a person purchases one ticket?
A)$-349
B)$-0.65
C)$-0.001
D)$-0.80
A)$-349
B)$-0.65
C)$-0.001
D)$-0.80
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23
Faced with the gamble: heads you win $100; tails you lose $50, we would predict that a risk-neutral person would
A)Take the gamble
B)Refuse the gamble
C)Be indifferent between taking and not taking the gamble
D)Take the gamble but insure against any loses
A)Take the gamble
B)Refuse the gamble
C)Be indifferent between taking and not taking the gamble
D)Take the gamble but insure against any loses
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24
Consider John, who purchases an insurance policy on a racquetball racket that he has acquired.He then proceeds to hit his racket against the wall every time he losses a point .This is an example of
A)An adverse selection problem
B)A moral hazard problem
C)Signaling
D)Co-insurance
A)An adverse selection problem
B)A moral hazard problem
C)Signaling
D)Co-insurance
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25
(Appendix) The winner in an auction bidding process will
A)Get less value than was paid in the bidding
B)Get more value than was paid in the bidding
C)On average pay an amount equal to the product's true value
D)Win the bid if he takes the average of his best estimate of the starting bid and the items true value
A)Get less value than was paid in the bidding
B)Get more value than was paid in the bidding
C)On average pay an amount equal to the product's true value
D)Win the bid if he takes the average of his best estimate of the starting bid and the items true value
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26
Your utility function is given by U = M1/2.What is the expected utility of the following coin toss: heads you win $81, tails you win $100?
A)90.5
B)19
C)9.5
D)0
A)90.5
B)19
C)9.5
D)0
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27
For a large group of individuals, the proportion of people who will have accidents is
A)extremely predictable.
B)extremely unpredictable
C)always constant
D)extremely unstable
A)extremely predictable.
B)extremely unpredictable
C)always constant
D)extremely unstable
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28
What is the maximum you would pay security to check in your bike?
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29
Your bike is worth $100 and if you park it outside at school there is a 25% chance that it will be stolen.Your utility function for money is U = (money)2.Are you a risk taker?
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30
Megan is trying to decide whether to buy house insurance for her home in Miami.Her house is worth $200,000 and analysts have determined that the average loss from a Hurricane could be $45,000.They have also determined there is a 50 percent chance that she will face a hurricane.Suppose Megan is a risk averse person with a utility-of-income function such as the one given above.If the policy costs $22,500, Megan will
A)Buy the insurance
B)Not buy the insurance
C)Be indifferent between buying or not buying the insurance
D)We can't say
A)Buy the insurance
B)Not buy the insurance
C)Be indifferent between buying or not buying the insurance
D)We can't say
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31
Your utility function is given by U = M2.You are
A)Risk averse
B)Risk neutral
C)A risk seeker
D)At is impossible to say
A)Risk averse
B)Risk neutral
C)A risk seeker
D)At is impossible to say
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32
(Appendix) If the cost of search is $3, and wages are uniformly distributed between $20 and $50, what is the smallest wage you should accept if you are risk neutral?
A)$36.58
B)$33.42
C)$46.58
D)28.73
A)$36.58
B)$33.42
C)$46.58
D)28.73
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33
Your utility function is given by U = M1/2.You have a choice: take $100 in cash or flip a coin.If you flip a coin, the outcomes are as follows: heads, you win $225; tails, you win $49.You will
A)Take the $100 in cash
B)Take the gamble
C)Be indifferent between the cash and the gamble
D)It is impossible to say with the information given
A)Take the $100 in cash
B)Take the gamble
C)Be indifferent between the cash and the gamble
D)It is impossible to say with the information given
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34
What is the expected value of your bike in the scenario described in the question above?
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35
(Appendix) If you have an offer of $10/hour and the relevant range of offers is $5/hour to $15/hour with the offers proportionately distributed across the range, what is your expected gain from engaging in a search for another offer?
A)$2.50
B)$1.25
C)Zero
D)$5.00
A)$2.50
B)$1.25
C)Zero
D)$5.00
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36
You are given the following gamble: behind one door is $500; behind another is $100; behind another is $0.What is the expected value of the gamble?
A)$600
B)$200
C)$300
D)We need more information in order to answer
A)$600
B)$200
C)$300
D)We need more information in order to answer
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37
When a trading opportunity is presented to a heterogeneous group of potential traders, those who accept it will be often:
A)worse-on the average, than those who do not accept it.
B)better, on average, than those who do not accept it
C)no different than those who do not.
D)smarter, on average, than those who do not accept it than those who do not.
A)worse-on the average, than those who do not accept it.
B)better, on average, than those who do not accept it
C)no different than those who do not.
D)smarter, on average, than those who do not accept it than those who do not.
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38
You are thinking of buying a new computer.Before purchasing a particular model, you have decided to gather some information about all the computer models available to you.The amount of information you collect should only be dependent on:
A)The cost of the information
B)How much you want the computer
C)How much information you are able to find
D)The cost of the information and on how much you want the computer
A)The cost of the information
B)How much you want the computer
C)How much information you are able to find
D)The cost of the information and on how much you want the computer
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39
Campus security has a bike check in that will guard your bike for $15 so there will be no risk of loss.Do you take the campus security deal?
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40
If the slope of a person's utility function for different money prizes is linear, the person
A)Is risk averse
B)Is a risk lover
C)Is indifferent to risk
D)We can't really say
A)Is risk averse
B)Is a risk lover
C)Is indifferent to risk
D)We can't really say
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41
Now suppose your utility function for money is
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42
What is the maximum you will pay the campus security for the safekeeping service now?
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43
What is the maximum you will pay for the bike check-in now?
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44
Evaluate computer database dating services in terms of efficiency.Why have many people avoided these services despite their vast amounts of information? Why might these services become more popular in the future?
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45
Using the simple supply and demand model for the information market, show what the full disclosure principle does to the market.Start from an equilibrium point and apply the concept.
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