Deck 7: Valuation of the Individual Firm
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Deck 7: Valuation of the Individual Firm
1
In the formula Po= D1/(Ke-g),one limiting factor is that Kemust always be smaller than
False
2
Under a non-constant growth model,the growth rate (g)is varied from time period to time period.
True
3
In the formula Po= D1/(Ke-g),if Kerises while dividends and growth stay the same,the stock price will decline.
True
4
All dividend valuation models are based on the present value of a future income stream.
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5
Under most dividend valuation models,a stock with an expected level dividend (zero dividend growth)would have no value.
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6
The final value calculated in dividend valuation models is typically very accurate.
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7
The first step in using the income statement method of estimating EPS,is to develop an accurate sales forecast.
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8
The strong inverse relationship between P/E ratios and changes in the Consumer Price Index can be directly traced to investors' required rate of return.
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9
In the formula Po= D1/(Ke-g),if g decreases,the price of the stock will go down.
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10
A growth stock is sometimes defined as the common stock of a company which is growing faster than the economy in general.
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11
In general,young,rapidly expanding firms are more likely to carry higher P/E ratios than mature firms.
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12
Least squares trend analysis is the only method of obtaining a completely objective estimate of future earnings per share.
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13
Under a non-constant growth model,Ke(required rate of return)is varied from time period to time period.
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14
Under the constant dividend growth model,it is possible for a negative stock value to result.
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15
The general dividend model assumes the value of a firm is equal to the present value of future dividends.
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16
The current price of a stock should equal the future value of the expected dividend stream.
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17
F 18.Empirical evidence indicates that rising dividends are no guarantee that the associated common stock price will also rise in the short run.
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18
Dividend valuation models are best suited for firms in the expansion or maturity phase of their life cycle.
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19
In the formula Po= D1/(Ke-g),if D1= $2.00,Ke= .10 and g = .06,Pois equal to $55.
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20
The appropriate P/E ratio to be used for stock valuation can be calculated at any time by dividing the current stock price by the last twelve months of earnings per share.
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21
As inflation increases,the required rate of return on common stocks falls as well as the prices.
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22
Hidden assets refer to assets that are not readily apparent to investors in a traditional sense,but add substantial value to the firm.
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23
There is little relationship between R&D expenditures as a percent of sales and growth of earnings per share.
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24
Valuation models using average price ratios and 10-year averages can be more useful with cyclical companies because valuation of cyclical companies benefit from an analysis of longer time periods including at least one business cycle.
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25
When using the combined earnings and dividend model,the longer the time period used is,the more risky the forecast of future earnings is.
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26
In general,if the market perceives that the direction of interest rates and inflation is down,this perception will have a positive effect on price earning ratios.
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27
Economic Value Added is based on the concept that decisions should only be made on projects accepted only if net operating profit after taxes exceeds the expected cost to finance the project
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28
Mathematically,the price-earnings ratio (P/E)is simply the price per share divided by earnings per share.
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29
With the income statement method of forecasting EPS,you start with a forecast of profits.
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30
For cyclical companies,the most accurate price-earnings ratio would be derived by dividing the current stock price by the latest 12 months earnings.
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31
Least squares trend analysis is used to take a simple average of past data.
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32
Inflation has an indirect effect on price-earnings ratios through its impact on Ke.
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33
All things being equal,the more rapid growth a firm enjoys the higher the P/E ratio.
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34
It is thought that historical growth rates have more impact on an individual company's P/E ratio than expected future growth rate.
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35
The key to firms having assets as sources of value is their current return on these assets.
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36
Every valuation method has its limitations.
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37
The combined earnings and dividend model considers the present value of dividends plus the present value of a future P/E ratio times future projected earnings.
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38
Firms with highly liquid cash positions may be attractive merger candidates mainly because their cash can be used to pay dividends.
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39
History shows that as inflation increases,price earnings ratios increase along with inflation.
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40
All things being equal,the less debt that a firm has,the more likely it is to be highly valued in the marketplace.
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41
Which of the following would most likely affect the P/E ratio of the market in general?
A)A significant change in government fiscal policy
B)Declining earnings of the S&P 500 companies
C)investors' expectations about inflation changes and becomes either more positive or more negative
D)All of the above could have a significant impact.
A)A significant change in government fiscal policy
B)Declining earnings of the S&P 500 companies
C)investors' expectations about inflation changes and becomes either more positive or more negative
D)All of the above could have a significant impact.
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42
The required rate of return is intended to provide
A)Compensation for expected inflation
B)A premium for risk assumed
C)A minimum real rate of return
D)All of the above
A)Compensation for expected inflation
B)A premium for risk assumed
C)A minimum real rate of return
D)All of the above
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43
If the equity risk premium (ERP)expands,Kewill
A)Increase by Beta times the equity risk premium
B)Not be affected
C)Go down
D)Decrease by Beta times the equity risk premium
E)Increase by Beta minus the equity risk premium
A)Increase by Beta times the equity risk premium
B)Not be affected
C)Go down
D)Decrease by Beta times the equity risk premium
E)Increase by Beta minus the equity risk premium
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44
The primary difference between dividend valuation models and earnings valuation models is.
A)Selecting the appropriate discount rate
B)Dividends are not considered in earnings models
C)Whether the investor's income stream or the firm's income stream is measured
D)More than one of the above
A)Selecting the appropriate discount rate
B)Dividends are not considered in earnings models
C)Whether the investor's income stream or the firm's income stream is measured
D)More than one of the above
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45
In general,the P/E ratio of a stock _______________ as inflation ______________.
A)Increases; decreases
B)Increases; increases
C)Decreases; decreases
D)None of the above
A)Increases; decreases
B)Increases; increases
C)Decreases; decreases
D)None of the above
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46
A high P/E ratio for any individual stock may be misleading
A)In an inflationary economy
B)If the firm is in a cyclical industry like automobiles
C)If the firm has a strong future growth rate
D)More than one of the above
A)In an inflationary economy
B)If the firm is in a cyclical industry like automobiles
C)If the firm has a strong future growth rate
D)More than one of the above
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47
When an analyst uses the income statement method of forecasting earnings,she has a limited amount of flexibility in adjusting the inputs.
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48
In order for any dividend valuation model to reflect a valid stock price for a company,
A)The company must pay dividends
B)The dividend growth rate must remain constant
C)The required rate of return (discount rate)must remain constant
D)More than one of the above is true
A)The company must pay dividends
B)The dividend growth rate must remain constant
C)The required rate of return (discount rate)must remain constant
D)More than one of the above is true
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49
The problem with the pure short-term earnings model is that the stock value is highly sensitive to short-term swings in
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50
If the treasury-bill rate (Rf)increases,then Kewill
A)Decrease
B)Increase
C)Stay the same
D)Go up by beta times the treasury-bill rate
A)Decrease
B)Increase
C)Stay the same
D)Go up by beta times the treasury-bill rate
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51
One way of calculating Keis to use the Capital Asset Pricing model as follows:
A)Ke= Rf+ (Km- Rf)
B)Ke = RR + IP + ERP
C)Ke= Rf+ b (Km- Rf)
D)Ke= D1/P0+ g
E)Ke= Rf+ b (Km)
A)Ke= Rf+ (Km- Rf)
B)Ke = RR + IP + ERP
C)Ke= Rf+ b (Km- Rf)
D)Ke= D1/P0+ g
E)Ke= Rf+ b (Km)
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52
Short-term speculators would probably NOT use _________ to develop a stock value.
A)Dividend growth rates
B)Discount rates
C)A stream of earnings or dividends
D)The income statement method
E)Any of the above
A)Dividend growth rates
B)Discount rates
C)A stream of earnings or dividends
D)The income statement method
E)Any of the above
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53
One basic problem with the application of the Capital Asset Pricing Model when computing Keis that
A)(Km- Rf)is not observable in the market
B)The analyst needs to forecast dividends for next year
C)Beta is a historical number
D)The risk-free rate changes every day
A)(Km- Rf)is not observable in the market
B)The analyst needs to forecast dividends for next year
C)Beta is a historical number
D)The risk-free rate changes every day
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54
What is the value of a stock which has a current dividend (D0)of $1.50 and is growing at the rate of 7%.The investor's required rate of return is 12%.
A)$26.75
B)$30.00
C)$32.10
D)$21.42
E)$13.38
A)$26.75
B)$30.00
C)$32.10
D)$21.42
E)$13.38
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55
If an analyst were analyzing a small company,a small stock equity risk premium would be more appropriate than using a large-stock equity risk premium.
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56
The relative P/E model assumes that a company will keep its historical relationship to the market's price-earnings ratio.
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57
The constant growth dividend valuation model assumes
A)A constant annual dividend
B)A constant dividend growth rate for no more than the first 10 years
C)That the discount rate must be greater than the dividend growth rate
D)That the dividend growth rate must be greater that the discount rate
E)(A.and (B.are true assumptions
A)A constant annual dividend
B)A constant dividend growth rate for no more than the first 10 years
C)That the discount rate must be greater than the dividend growth rate
D)That the dividend growth rate must be greater that the discount rate
E)(A.and (B.are true assumptions
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58
In the non-constant growth model where the first phase of growth is 5 years followed by a second phase of constant growth
A)P5= D6/(Ke-g)
B)P0= the present value of dividends from years 1 - 5 plus the present value of P5
C)The company's growth rate is probably higher than Keduring the first 5 years
D)All of the above are correct
A)P5= D6/(Ke-g)
B)P0= the present value of dividends from years 1 - 5 plus the present value of P5
C)The company's growth rate is probably higher than Keduring the first 5 years
D)All of the above are correct
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59
The general dividend valuation model assumes the investor knows the _______ and the discount rate.
A)Exact dividend to be paid in each and every year
B)Current year's dividend,the anticipated annual dividend growth rate
C)Investor's required rate of return
D)Book value per share of the company
A)Exact dividend to be paid in each and every year
B)Current year's dividend,the anticipated annual dividend growth rate
C)Investor's required rate of return
D)Book value per share of the company
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60
The purpose of stock valuation is
A)To set the fair market price for a given common stock
B)To determine whether the common stock's value is fairly represented by its market price
C)Of limited value since the efficient market hypothesis proves that all common stock is always fairly priced
D)Find common stocks whose market price equals its intrinsic value
A)To set the fair market price for a given common stock
B)To determine whether the common stock's value is fairly represented by its market price
C)Of limited value since the efficient market hypothesis proves that all common stock is always fairly priced
D)Find common stocks whose market price equals its intrinsic value
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61
Forecasts for companies that follow economic cycles are best based on analysis of
A)2 economic peaks and troughs
B)1 economic peak and trough
C)The last 3 to 5 years of data
D)None of the above
A)2 economic peaks and troughs
B)1 economic peak and trough
C)The last 3 to 5 years of data
D)None of the above
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62
Dividend models are best suited for those companies that are in the:
A)Introduction phase of the life cycle
B)Expansion phase of the life cycle
C)Maturity phase of the life cycle
D)Both b and c
A)Introduction phase of the life cycle
B)Expansion phase of the life cycle
C)Maturity phase of the life cycle
D)Both b and c
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63
P/E ratios are influenced by a company's
A)Growth rate
B)Risk
C)Capital structure
D)Management
E)All of the above and more
A)Growth rate
B)Risk
C)Capital structure
D)Management
E)All of the above and more
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64
Which of the following is NOT a characteristic of a growth company?
A)The company has a relatively high average expenditure on research and development
B)The company usually pays a dividend equal to 40 to 50 percent of earnings
C)The company has consistently stable and high profit margins
D)The company has a growth rate that is significantly higher than the growth of GDP.
A)The company has a relatively high average expenditure on research and development
B)The company usually pays a dividend equal to 40 to 50 percent of earnings
C)The company has consistently stable and high profit margins
D)The company has a growth rate that is significantly higher than the growth of GDP.
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65
The pure,short-term earnings model
A)Ignores present value analysis and it's long-term forecasts of dividends and earnings per share
B)Uses the past three months to estimate earnings per share
C)Disregards the long-term growth forecasts for earnings per share
D)Uses the payout ratio and return on equity to derive the P/E ratio
A)Ignores present value analysis and it's long-term forecasts of dividends and earnings per share
B)Uses the past three months to estimate earnings per share
C)Disregards the long-term growth forecasts for earnings per share
D)Uses the payout ratio and return on equity to derive the P/E ratio
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66
The value of common stock can be viewed as:
A)A dividend stream plus a market price at the end of the dividend stream
B)A present value of a dividend stream plus a market price at the end of the dividend stream
C)The terminal value of the dividend stream
D)The sum of the dividend stream taken to infinity
A)A dividend stream plus a market price at the end of the dividend stream
B)A present value of a dividend stream plus a market price at the end of the dividend stream
C)The terminal value of the dividend stream
D)The sum of the dividend stream taken to infinity
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67
The best time period for use in the combined earnings and dividend valuation model is
A)2 years
B)5 years
C)10 years
D)Any time period is acceptable
A)2 years
B)5 years
C)10 years
D)Any time period is acceptable
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68
The value of the price-earnings ratio is affected by
A)The earnings period used for it's calculation
B)Expected growth in earnings per share
C)Overall conditions in the stock market
D)Inflationary expectations
E)All of the above
A)The earnings period used for it's calculation
B)Expected growth in earnings per share
C)Overall conditions in the stock market
D)Inflationary expectations
E)All of the above
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69
Application of the Economic Value Added (EVA.concept should
A)Help companies maximize stockholders wealth
B)Tell the market which management teams add the most value to their companies' stock
C)Not be used in growth
D)A and b
A)Help companies maximize stockholders wealth
B)Tell the market which management teams add the most value to their companies' stock
C)Not be used in growth
D)A and b
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70
The basis of stock valuation includes an analysis of
A)Economic variables
B)Industry variables
C)Financial statements
D)All of the following
A)Economic variables
B)Industry variables
C)Financial statements
D)All of the following
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71
Least squares trend analysis involves fitting a straight line through a series of data which,by definition,
A)Minimizes the distance of each data point from the line and minimizes the squared area above and below the trendline
B)Minimizes the distance between each data point
C)Must include at least one peak and at least one trough
D)Must include a minimum of 20 points to get a usable trendline
A)Minimizes the distance of each data point from the line and minimizes the squared area above and below the trendline
B)Minimizes the distance between each data point
C)Must include at least one peak and at least one trough
D)Must include a minimum of 20 points to get a usable trendline
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72
The P/E ratio of a particular firm would probably be affected by which of the following
A)Investors' perception of the quality of the firm's management
B)The firm's accounting practices
C)Supply and demand for the security
D)All of the above
A)Investors' perception of the quality of the firm's management
B)The firm's accounting practices
C)Supply and demand for the security
D)All of the above
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73
Beta measures
A)The relationship of the P/E ratio to the earnings growth rate
B)Individual company stock price risk relative to the market
C)The risk within a portfolio than cannot be diversified away
D)Stock price growth of one company to that of a second company
A)The relationship of the P/E ratio to the earnings growth rate
B)Individual company stock price risk relative to the market
C)The risk within a portfolio than cannot be diversified away
D)Stock price growth of one company to that of a second company
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74
Which of the following statements about stock valuation based on asset value is NOT ?
A)Natural resources often give a company value even if an income stream is not produced
B)The value of the assets may not even appear on the balance sheet
C)Current assets are usually excluded from the valuation process since they will be used up in the next business cycle
D)Hidden assets can add substantial value to the firm
A)Natural resources often give a company value even if an income stream is not produced
B)The value of the assets may not even appear on the balance sheet
C)Current assets are usually excluded from the valuation process since they will be used up in the next business cycle
D)Hidden assets can add substantial value to the firm
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75
A good example of an industry that has a lot of growth companies in it is the:
A)Automobile industry
B)Biotechnology industry
C)Food and beverage industry
D)Consumer products industry
A)Automobile industry
B)Biotechnology industry
C)Food and beverage industry
D)Consumer products industry
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76
Stock valuation based on the relationship between a stock's P/E ratio and the market may result in superior returns if
A)The firm is riskier than the market
B)The firm has a high P/E ratio relative to the market
C)The stock is trading at the low end of its P/E relative
D)More than one of the above
A)The firm is riskier than the market
B)The firm has a high P/E ratio relative to the market
C)The stock is trading at the low end of its P/E relative
D)More than one of the above
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77
Using pro-forma income statements to estimate earnings per share over using regression analysis has several advantages except which one of the following?
A)The analyst is able to study profitability and the effects of taxes on profit margins
B)Interest expense,and debt and equity financing can be factored into the analysis
C)Hidden problems in stable growth firms would be brought out
D)Effects of the business cycle on profit margins can be included in the forecast
A)The analyst is able to study profitability and the effects of taxes on profit margins
B)Interest expense,and debt and equity financing can be factored into the analysis
C)Hidden problems in stable growth firms would be brought out
D)Effects of the business cycle on profit margins can be included in the forecast
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78
The P/E ratio approach to stock valuation is based on
A)A yearly range of historical P/E ratios resulting in an average expected P/E,an earnings forecast derived from expected growth rates in earnings,and the stock's current P/E
B)The average yearly P/E ratio relative to the market,a yearly range of P/E ratios,and earnings based on an assumed constant growth rate
C)An increasing yearly range of P/E ratios and an earnings forecast based on the EPS of previous years
D)The current P/E ratio compared to the P/E ratio of some market index.
A)A yearly range of historical P/E ratios resulting in an average expected P/E,an earnings forecast derived from expected growth rates in earnings,and the stock's current P/E
B)The average yearly P/E ratio relative to the market,a yearly range of P/E ratios,and earnings based on an assumed constant growth rate
C)An increasing yearly range of P/E ratios and an earnings forecast based on the EPS of previous years
D)The current P/E ratio compared to the P/E ratio of some market index.
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79
In developing a least squares trend line,the analyst should
A)Include several business cycles
B)Fit the trendline between a peak and a trough or vice versa
C)Use as many data points as are practical
D)All of the above
A)Include several business cycles
B)Fit the trendline between a peak and a trough or vice versa
C)Use as many data points as are practical
D)All of the above
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80
An individual investor could rely on earnings forecasts from any of the following except
A)Standard and Poor's earnings forecaster
B)A firm's annual report
C)Value Line Investment Survey
D)Zacks,I/B/E/S,or other professional consensus reporting firms
A)Standard and Poor's earnings forecaster
B)A firm's annual report
C)Value Line Investment Survey
D)Zacks,I/B/E/S,or other professional consensus reporting firms
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k this deck