Deck 4: Introduction to Probability
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Deck 4: Introduction to Probability
1
When the results of experimentation or historical data are used to assign probability values,the method used to assign probabilities is referred to as the
A)relative frequency method
B)subjective method
C)classical method
D)posterior method
A)relative frequency method
B)subjective method
C)classical method
D)posterior method
A
2
The range of probability is
A)any value larger than zero
B)any value between minus infinity to plus infinity
C)zero to one
D)any value between -1 to 1
A)any value larger than zero
B)any value between minus infinity to plus infinity
C)zero to one
D)any value between -1 to 1
C
3
Which of the following statements is always true?
A)-1P(Ei)1
B)P(A)= 1 - P(Ac)
C)P(A)+ P(B)= 1
D) P1
A)-1P(Ei)1
B)P(A)= 1 - P(Ac)
C)P(A)+ P(B)= 1
D) P1
P(A)= 1 - P(Ac)
4
Events that have no sample points in common are
A)independent events
B)posterior events
C)mutually exclusive events
D)complements
A)independent events
B)posterior events
C)mutually exclusive events
D)complements
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5
When the assumption of equally likely outcomes is used to assign probability values,the method used to assign probabilities is referred to as the
A)relative frequency method
B)subjective method
C)probability method
D)classical method
A)relative frequency method
B)subjective method
C)probability method
D)classical method
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6
The sample space refers to
A)any particular experimental outcome
B)the sample size minus one
C)the set of all possible experimental outcomes
D)an event
A)any particular experimental outcome
B)the sample size minus one
C)the set of all possible experimental outcomes
D)an event
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7
From a group of six people,two individuals are to be selected at random.How many possible selections are there?
A)12
B)36
C)15
D)8
A)12
B)36
C)15
D)8
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8
A graphical method of representing the sample points of an experiment is
A)a frequency polygon
B)a histogram
C)an ogive
D)a tree diagram
A)a frequency polygon
B)a histogram
C)an ogive
D)a tree diagram
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9
The counting rule that is used for counting the number of experimental outcomes when n objects are selected from a set of N objects where order of selection is important is called
A)permutation
B)combination
C)multiple step experiment
D)None of these alternatives is correct.
A)permutation
B)combination
C)multiple step experiment
D)None of these alternatives is correct.
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10
The counting rule that is used for counting the number of experimental outcomes when n objects are selected from a set of N objects where order of selection is not important is called
A)permutation
B)combination
C)multiple step experiment
D)None of these alternatives is correct.
A)permutation
B)combination
C)multiple step experiment
D)None of these alternatives is correct.
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11
A method of assigning probabilities based upon judgment is referred to as the
A)relative method
B)probability method
C)classical method
D)subjective method
A)relative method
B)probability method
C)classical method
D)subjective method
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12
A graphical device used for enumerating sample points in a multiple-step experiment is a
A)bar chart
B)pie chart
C)histogram
D)None of these alternatives is correct.
A)bar chart
B)pie chart
C)histogram
D)None of these alternatives is correct.
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13
Any process that generates well-defined outcomes is
A)an event
B)an experiment
C)a sample point
D)a sample space
A)an event
B)an experiment
C)a sample point
D)a sample space
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14
The collection of all possible sample points in an experiment is
A)the sample space
B)a sample point
C)an experiment
D)the population
A)the sample space
B)a sample point
C)an experiment
D)the population
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15
In statistical experiments,each time the experiment is repeated
A)the same outcome must occur
B)the same outcome can not occur again
C)a different outcome may occur
D)a different out come must occur
A)the same outcome must occur
B)the same outcome can not occur again
C)a different outcome may occur
D)a different out come must occur
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16
An experiment consists of selecting a student body president and vice president.All undergraduate students (freshmen through seniors)are eligible for these offices.How many sample points (possible outcomes as to the classifications)exist?
A)4
B)16
C)8
D)32
A)4
B)16
C)8
D)32
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17
Two events are mutually exclusive
A)if their intersection is 1
B)if they have no sample points in common
C)if their intersection is 0.5
D)None of these alternatives is correct.
A)if their intersection is 1
B)if they have no sample points in common
C)if their intersection is 0.5
D)None of these alternatives is correct.
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18
The intersection of two mutually exclusive events
A)can be any value between 0 to 1
B)must always be equal to 1
C)must always be equal to 0
D)can be any positive value
A)can be any value between 0 to 1
B)must always be equal to 1
C)must always be equal to 0
D)can be any positive value
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19
Each individual outcome of an experiment is called
A)the sample space
B)a sample point
C)an experiment
D)an individual
A)the sample space
B)a sample point
C)an experiment
D)an individual
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20
A sample point refers to the
A)numerical measure of the likelihood of the occurrence of an event
B)set of all possible experimental outcomes
C)individual outcome of an experiment
D)sample space
A)numerical measure of the likelihood of the occurrence of an event
B)set of all possible experimental outcomes
C)individual outcome of an experiment
D)sample space
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21
The set of all possible outcomes of an experiment is
A)an experiment
B)an event
C)the population
D)the sample space
A)an experiment
B)an event
C)the population
D)the sample space
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22
If P(A)= 0.4,P(B | A)= 0.35,P(A B)= 0.69,then P(B)=
A)0.14
B)0.43
C)0.75
D)0.59
A)0.14
B)0.43
C)0.75
D)0.59
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23
Given that event E has a probability of 0.31,the probability of the complement of event E
A)cannot be determined with the above information
B)can have any value between zero and one
C)0.69
D)is 0.31
A)cannot be determined with the above information
B)can have any value between zero and one
C)0.69
D)is 0.31
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24
Assume your favorite football team has 2 games left to finish the season.The outcome of each game can be win,lose or tie.The number of possible outcomes is
A)2
B)4
C)6
D)9
A)2
B)4
C)6
D)9
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25
Assuming that each of the 52 cards in an ordinary deck has a probability of 1/52 of being drawn,what is the probability of drawing a black ace?
A)1/52
B)2/52
C)3/52
D)4/52
A)1/52
B)2/52
C)3/52
D)4/52
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26
Events A and B are mutually exclusive if their joint probability is
A)larger than 1
B)less than zero
C)zero
D)infinity
A)larger than 1
B)less than zero
C)zero
D)infinity
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27
Two events with nonzero probabilities
A)can be both mutually exclusive and independent
B)can not be both mutually exclusive and independent
C)are always mutually exclusive
D)are always independent
A)can be both mutually exclusive and independent
B)can not be both mutually exclusive and independent
C)are always mutually exclusive
D)are always independent
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28
Two events,A and B,are mutually exclusive and each have a nonzero probability.If event A is known to occur,the probability of the occurrence of event B is
A)one
B)any positive value
C)zero
D)any value between 0 to 1
A)one
B)any positive value
C)zero
D)any value between 0 to 1
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29
Three applications for admission to a local university are checked,and it is determined whether each applicant is male or female.The number of sample points in this experiment is
A)2
B)4
C)6
D)8
A)2
B)4
C)6
D)8
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30
Initial estimates of the probabilities of events are known as
A)sets
B)posterior probabilities
C)conditional probabilities
D)prior probabilities
A)sets
B)posterior probabilities
C)conditional probabilities
D)prior probabilities
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31
Since the sun must rise tomorrow,then the probability of the sun rising tomorrow is
A)much larger than one
B)zero
C)infinity
D)None of these alternatives is correct.
A)much larger than one
B)zero
C)infinity
D)None of these alternatives is correct.
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32
Of five letters (A,B,C,D,and E),two letters are to be selected at random.How many possible selections are there?
A)20
B)7
C)5!
D)10
A)20
B)7
C)5!
D)10
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33
An experiment consists of three steps.There are four possible results on the first step,three possible results on the second step,and two possible results on the third step.The total number of experimental outcomes is
A)9
B)14
C)24
D)36
A)9
B)14
C)24
D)36
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34
Each customer entering a department store will either buy or not buy some merchandise.An experiment consists of following 3 customers and determining whether or not they purchase any merchandise.The number of sample points in this experiment is
A)2
B)4
C)6
D)8
A)2
B)4
C)6
D)8
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35
If a six sided die is tossed two times and "3" shows up both times,the probability of "3" on the third trial is
A)much larger than any other outcome
B)much smaller than any other outcome
C)1/6
D)1/216
A)much larger than any other outcome
B)much smaller than any other outcome
C)1/6
D)1/216
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36
The addition law is potentially helpful when we are interested in computing the probability of
A)independent events
B)the intersection of two events
C)the union of two events
D)conditional events
A)independent events
B)the intersection of two events
C)the union of two events
D)conditional events
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37
If a dime is tossed four times and comes up tails all four times,the probability of heads on the fifth trial is
A)smaller than the probability of tails
B)larger than the probability of tails
C)1/2
D)1/32
A)smaller than the probability of tails
B)larger than the probability of tails
C)1/2
D)1/32
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38
If A and B are independent events with P(A)= 0.65 and P(A B)= 0.26,then,P(B)=
A)0.400
B)0.169
C)0.390
D)0.650
A)0.400
B)0.169
C)0.390
D)0.650
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39
The sum of the probabilities of two complementary events is
A)Zero
B)0.5
C)0.57
D)1.0
A)Zero
B)0.5
C)0.57
D)1.0
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40
An experiment consists of tossing 4 coins successively.The number of sample points in this experiment is
A)16
B)8
C)4
D)2
A)16
B)8
C)4
D)2
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41
Of the last 100 customers entering a computer shop,25 have purchased a computer.If the classical method for computing probability is used,the probability that the next customer will purchase a computer is
A)0.25
B)0.50
C)1.00
D)0.75
A)0.25
B)0.50
C)1.00
D)0.75
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42
If P(A)= 0.5 and P(B)= 0.5,then P(A B)
A)is 0.00
B)is 1.00
C)is 0.5
D)None of these alternatives is correct.
A)is 0.00
B)is 1.00
C)is 0.5
D)None of these alternatives is correct.
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43
One of the basic requirements of probability is
A)for each experimental outcome Ei,we must have P(Ei)1
B)P(A)= P(Ac)- 1
C)if there are k experimental outcomes,then P(Ei)= 1
D) P(Ei)1
A)for each experimental outcome Ei,we must have P(Ei)1
B)P(A)= P(Ac)- 1
C)if there are k experimental outcomes,then P(Ei)= 1
D) P(Ei)1
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44
If a coin is tossed three times,the likelihood of obtaining three heads in a row is
A)zero
B)0.500
C)0.875
D)0.125
A)zero
B)0.500
C)0.875
D)0.125
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45
Bayes' theorem is used to compute
A)the prior probabilities
B)the union of events
C)intersection of events
D)the posterior probabilities
A)the prior probabilities
B)the union of events
C)intersection of events
D)the posterior probabilities
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46
A lottery is conducted using three urns.Each urn contains chips numbered from 0 to 9.One chip is selected at random from each urn.The total number of sample points in the sample space is
A)30
B)100
C)729
D)1,000
A)30
B)100
C)729
D)1,000
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47
On a December day,the probability of snow is .30.The probability of a "cold" day is .50.The probability of snow and "cold" weather is .15.Are snow and "cold" weather independent events?
A)only if given that it snowed
B)no
C)yes
D)only when they are also mutually exclusive
A)only if given that it snowed
B)no
C)yes
D)only when they are also mutually exclusive
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48
If two events are mutually exclusive,then their intersection
A)will be equal to zero
B)can have any value larger than zero
C)must be larger than zero,but less than one
D)will be one
A)will be equal to zero
B)can have any value larger than zero
C)must be larger than zero,but less than one
D)will be one
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49
If two events are independent,then
A)they must be mutually exclusive
B)the sum of their probabilities must be equal to one
C)their intersection must be zero
D)None of these alternatives is correct.
A)they must be mutually exclusive
B)the sum of their probabilities must be equal to one
C)their intersection must be zero
D)None of these alternatives is correct.
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50
If a penny is tossed three times and comes up heads all three times,the probability of heads on the fourth trial is
A)zero
B)1/16
C)1/2
D)larger than the probability of tails
A)zero
B)1/16
C)1/2
D)larger than the probability of tails
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51
The symbol shows the
A)union of events
B)intersection of two events
C)sum of the probabilities of events
D)sample space
A)union of events
B)intersection of two events
C)sum of the probabilities of events
D)sample space
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52
The union of events A and B is the event containing
A)all the sample points belonging to B or A
B)all the sample points belonging to A or B
C)all the sample points belonging to A or B or both
D)all the sample points belonging to A or B,but not both
A)all the sample points belonging to B or A
B)all the sample points belonging to A or B
C)all the sample points belonging to A or B or both
D)all the sample points belonging to A or B,but not both
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53
The union of two events with nonzero probabilities
A)cannot be less than one
B)cannot be one
C)could be larger than one
D)None of these alternatives is correct.
A)cannot be less than one
B)cannot be one
C)could be larger than one
D)None of these alternatives is correct.
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54
If A and B are mutually exclusive events with P(A)= 0.3 and P(B)= 0.5,then P(A B)=
A)0.00
B)0.15
C)0.8
D)0.2
A)0.00
B)0.15
C)0.8
D)0.2
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55
If A and B are independent events with P(A)= 0.05 and P(B)= 0.65,then P(A | B)=
A)0.05
B)0.0325
C)0.65
D)0.8
A)0.05
B)0.0325
C)0.65
D)0.8
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56
If A and B are independent events with P(A)= 0.4 and P(B)= 0.6,then P(A B)=
A)0.76
B)1.00
C)0.24
D)0.20
A)0.76
B)1.00
C)0.24
D)0.20
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57
The symbol shows the
A)union of events
B)intersection of two events
C)sum of the probabilities of events
D)sample space
A)union of events
B)intersection of two events
C)sum of the probabilities of events
D)sample space
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58
The multiplication law is potentially helpful when we are interested in computing the probability of
A)mutually exclusive events
B)the intersection of two events
C)the union of two events
D)conditional events
A)mutually exclusive events
B)the intersection of two events
C)the union of two events
D)conditional events
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59
If A and B are mutually exclusive events with P(A)= 0.3 and P(B)= 0.5,then P(A B)=
A)0.30
B)0.15
C)0.00
D)0.20
A)0.30
B)0.15
C)0.00
D)0.20
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60
If A and B are independent events with P(A)= 0.2 and P(B)= 0.6,then P(A B)=
A)0.62
B)0.12
C)0.60
D)0.68
A)0.62
B)0.12
C)0.60
D)0.68
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61
If X and Y are mutually exclusive events with P(X)= 0.295,P(Y)= 0.32,then P(X | Y)=
A)0.0944
B)0.6150
C)1.0000
D)0.0000
A)0.0944
B)0.6150
C)1.0000
D)0.0000
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62
If P(A)= 0.50,P(B)= 0.60,and P(A B)= 0.30,then events A and B are
A)mutually exclusive events
B)not independent events
C)independent events
D)not enough information is given to answer this question
A)mutually exclusive events
B)not independent events
C)independent events
D)not enough information is given to answer this question
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63
Events A and B are mutually exclusive with P(A)= 0.3 and P(B)= 0.2.Then,P(Bc)=
A)0.00
B)0.06
C)0.7
D)0.8
A)0.00
B)0.06
C)0.7
D)0.8
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64
If P(A)= 0.62,P(B)= 0.47,and P(A B)= 0.88,then P(A B)=
A)0.2914
B)1.9700
C)0.6700
D)0.2100
A)0.2914
B)1.9700
C)0.6700
D)0.2100
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65
If P(A)= 0.68,P(A B)= 0.91,and P(A B)= 0.35,then P(B)=
A)0.22
B)0.09
C)0.65
D)0.58
A)0.22
B)0.09
C)0.65
D)0.58
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66
A six-sided die is tossed 3 times.The probability of observing three ones in a row is
A)1/3
B)1/6
C)1/27
D)1/216
A)1/3
B)1/6
C)1/27
D)1/216
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67
A method of assigning probabilities based on historical data is called the
A)classical method
B)subjective method
C)relative frequency method
D)historical method
A)classical method
B)subjective method
C)relative frequency method
D)historical method
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68
The probability assigned to each experimental outcome must be
A)any value larger than zero
B)smaller than zero
C)at least one
D)between zero and one
A)any value larger than zero
B)smaller than zero
C)at least one
D)between zero and one
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69
Events A and B are mutually exclusive.Which of the following statements is also true?
A)A and B are also independent.
B)P(A B)= P(A)P(B)
C)P(A B)= P(A)+ P(B)
D)P(A B)= P(A)+ P(B)
A)A and B are also independent.
B)P(A B)= P(A)P(B)
C)P(A B)= P(A)+ P(B)
D)P(A B)= P(A)+ P(B)
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70
The probability of the occurrence of event A in an experiment is 1/3.If the experiment is performed 2 times and event A did not occur,then on the third trial event A
A)must occur
B)may occur
C)could not occur
D)has a 2/3 probability of occurring
A)must occur
B)may occur
C)could not occur
D)has a 2/3 probability of occurring
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71
If A and B are independent events with P(A)= 0.38 and P(B)= 0.55,then P(A | B)=
A)0.209
B)0.000
C)0.550
D)0.38
A)0.209
B)0.000
C)0.550
D)0.38
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72
If A and B are independent events with P(A)= 0.4 and P(B)= 0.25,then P(A B)=
A)0.65
B)0.55
C)0.10
D)0.75
A)0.65
B)0.55
C)0.10
D)0.75
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73
If P(A)= 0.58,P(B)= 0.44,and P(A B)= 0.25,then P(A B)=
A)1.02
B)0.77
C)0.11
D)0.39
A)1.02
B)0.77
C)0.11
D)0.39
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74
In an experiment,events A and B are mutually exclusive.If P(A)= 0.6,then the probability of B
A)cannot be larger than 0.4
B)can be any value greater than 0.6
C)can be any value between 0 to 1
D)cannot be determined with the information given
A)cannot be larger than 0.4
B)can be any value greater than 0.6
C)can be any value between 0 to 1
D)cannot be determined with the information given
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75
The set of all possible sample points (experimental outcomes)is called
A)a sample
B)an event
C)the sample space
D)a population
A)a sample
B)an event
C)the sample space
D)a population
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76
If a penny is tossed three times and comes up heads all three times,the probability of heads on the fourth trial is
A)smaller than the probability of tails
B)larger than the probability of tails
C)1/16
D)1/2
A)smaller than the probability of tails
B)larger than the probability of tails
C)1/16
D)1/2
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77
If P(A)= 0.50,P(B)= 0.40,then,and P(A B)= 0.88,then P(B | A)=
A)0.02
B)0.03
C)0.04
D)0.05
A)0.02
B)0.03
C)0.04
D)0.05
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78
A method of assigning probabilities which assumes that the experimental outcomes are equally likely is referred to as the
A)objective method
B)classical method
C)subjective method
D)experimental method
A)objective method
B)classical method
C)subjective method
D)experimental method
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79
A perfectly balanced coin is tossed 6 times and tails appears on all six tosses.Then,on the seventh trial
A)tails can not appear
B)heads has a larger chance of appearing than tails
C)tails has a better chance of appearing than heads
D)None of these alternatives is correct.
A)tails can not appear
B)heads has a larger chance of appearing than tails
C)tails has a better chance of appearing than heads
D)None of these alternatives is correct.
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80
An experiment consists of four outcomes with P(E1)= 0.2,P(E2)= 0.3,and P(E3)= 0.4.The probability of outcome E4 is
A)0.500
B)0.024
C)0.100
D)0.900
A)0.500
B)0.024
C)0.100
D)0.900
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