Deck 11: Project Risk Management
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Deck 11: Project Risk Management
1
Contingency plans are predefined actions that the project team will take if an identified risk event occurs.
True
Explanation: Contingency plans are predefined actions that the project team will take if an identified risk event occurs.
Explanation: Contingency plans are predefined actions that the project team will take if an identified risk event occurs.
2
A risk-seeking person prefers outcomes that are more uncertain and is often willing to pay a penalty to take risks.
True
Explanation: A risk-seeking person prefers outcomes that are more uncertain and is often willing to pay a penalty to take risks.
Explanation: A risk-seeking person prefers outcomes that are more uncertain and is often willing to pay a penalty to take risks.
3
Risk utility rises at a decreasing rate for a _____ person.
A) risk-seeking
B) risk-averse
C) risk-neutral
D) risk-indifferent
A) risk-seeking
B) risk-averse
C) risk-neutral
D) risk-indifferent
B
Explanation: Utility rises at a decreasing rate for a risk-averse person. In other words, when more payoff or money is at stake, a person or organization that is risk-averse gains less satisfaction from the risk, or has lower tolerance for the risk.
Explanation: Utility rises at a decreasing rate for a risk-averse person. In other words, when more payoff or money is at stake, a person or organization that is risk-averse gains less satisfaction from the risk, or has lower tolerance for the risk.
4
One possible response to managing negative risk it to accept the potential effects from the risk.
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5
The lower the earned monetary value calculation for a project, the chances of project success is higher.
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6
Risk events refer to specific, certain events that may occur to the detriment or enhancement of the project.
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7
The main output of qualitative risk analysis is updating the risk register.
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8
Large, complex projects involving leading-edge technologies often require extensive quantitative risk analysis.
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9
Identified risks may not materialize, or their probabilities of occurrence or loss may diminish.
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10
Top Ten Risk Item Tracking is a quantitative risk analysis tool.
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11
Unknown risks can be managed proactively.
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12
Brainstorming is a systematic, interactive forecasting procedure based on independent and anonymous input regarding future events.
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13
The psychology literature shows that individuals, working alone, produce fewer ideas than the same individuals produce through brainstorming in small, face-to-face groups.
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14
Those who are _____ have a higher tolerance for risk, and their satisfaction increases when more payoff is at stake.
A) risk-seeking
B) risk-averse
C) risk-neutral
D) risk-indifferent
A) risk-seeking
B) risk-averse
C) risk-neutral
D) risk-indifferent
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15
A probability/impact matrix or chart lists the relative probability of a risk occurring on one side of a matrix or axis on a chart and the relative impact of the risk occurring on the other.
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16
The last step in project risk management is deciding how to address the knowledge area for a particular project by performing risk management planning.
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17
The risk register can be created with a simple Microsoft Word or Excel file.
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18
The Monte Carlo analysis can predict the probability of finishing by a certain date or the probability that the cost will be equal to or less than a certain value.
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19
Risks can have both negative and positive effects on meeting project objectives.
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20
The Delphi technique is a systematic, interactive forecasting procedure based on independent and anonymous input regarding future events.
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21
Which process involves prioritizing risks based on their probability of occurrence and impact?
A) performing qualitative risk analysis
B) planning risk management
C) monitoring and controlling risks
D) project closing
A) performing qualitative risk analysis
B) planning risk management
C) monitoring and controlling risks
D) project closing
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22
Identifying risks is a subprocess of the _____ process of project risk management.
A) planning
B) executing
C) monitoring and controlling
D) closing
A) planning
B) executing
C) monitoring and controlling
D) closing
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23
Which technique is used to show the effects of changing one or more variables on an outcome?
A) sensitivity analysis
B) decision tree
C) Monte Carlo analysis
D) systems analysis
A) sensitivity analysis
B) decision tree
C) Monte Carlo analysis
D) systems analysis
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24
The _____ lists the relative probability of a risk occurring and the relative impact of the risk occurring.
A) Top Ten Risk Item Tracking chart
B) requirements traceability matrix
C) probability/impact matrix
D) expectations management matrix
A) Top Ten Risk Item Tracking chart
B) requirements traceability matrix
C) probability/impact matrix
D) expectations management matrix
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25
_____ is a qualitative risk analysis tool that maintains an awareness of risks throughout the life of a project in addition to identifying risks.
A) A SharePoint portal
B) A probability/impact matrix or chart
C) An expectations management matrix
D) Top Ten Risk Item Tracking
A) A SharePoint portal
B) A probability/impact matrix or chart
C) An expectations management matrix
D) Top Ten Risk Item Tracking
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26
Which process involves numerically estimating the effects of risks on project objectives?
A) performing qualitative risk analysis
B) planning risk responses
C) identifying risks
D) performing quantitative risk analysis
A) performing qualitative risk analysis
B) planning risk responses
C) identifying risks
D) performing quantitative risk analysis
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27
Which diagramming technique is used to help select the best course of action in situations in which future outcomes are uncertain?
A) decision tree
B) activity-on-arrow
C) workaround
D) backward pass
A) decision tree
B) activity-on-arrow
C) workaround
D) backward pass
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28
Which document contains results of various risk management processes; it is often displayed in a table or spreadsheet format?
A) risk register
B) influence diagram
C) process flow chart
D) work breakdown structure
A) risk register
B) influence diagram
C) process flow chart
D) work breakdown structure
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29
Which type of person achieves a balance between risk and payoff?
A) risk-seeking
B) risk-averse
C) risk-fearing
D) risk-neutral
A) risk-seeking
B) risk-averse
C) risk-fearing
D) risk-neutral
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30
Which analysis technique simulates a model's outcome many times to provide a statistical distribution of the calculated results?
A) sensitivity
B) systems
C) Monte Carlo
D) NPV
A) sensitivity
B) systems
C) Monte Carlo
D) NPV
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31
Unenforceable conditions or contract clauses and adversarial relations are risk conditions associated with the project _____ management knowledge area.
A) integration
B) quality
C) procurement
D) human resources
A) integration
B) quality
C) procurement
D) human resources
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32
Which is a fact-finding technique that can be used for collecting information in face-to-face, phone, e-mail, or instant-messaging discussions?
A) brainstorming
B) Monte Carlo analysis
C) the Delphi technique
D) interviewing
A) brainstorming
B) Monte Carlo analysis
C) the Delphi technique
D) interviewing
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33
Which process involves monitoring identified and residual risks, identifying new risks, carrying out risk response plans, and evaluating the effectiveness of risk strategies throughout the life of the project?
A) performing quantitative risk analysis
B) planning risk responses
C) monitoring risk
D) performing qualitative risk analysis
A) performing quantitative risk analysis
B) planning risk responses
C) monitoring risk
D) performing qualitative risk analysis
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34
What is the first step in a Monte Carlo analysis?
A) Determine the probability distribution of each variable.
B) For each variable, such as the time estimate for a task, select a random value based on the probability distribution for the occurrence of the variable.
C) Collect the most likely, optimistic, and pessimistic estimates for the variables in the model.
D) Run a deterministic analysis or one pass through the model using the combination of values selected for each one of the variables.
A) Determine the probability distribution of each variable.
B) For each variable, such as the time estimate for a task, select a random value based on the probability distribution for the occurrence of the variable.
C) Collect the most likely, optimistic, and pessimistic estimates for the variables in the model.
D) Run a deterministic analysis or one pass through the model using the combination of values selected for each one of the variables.
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35
Which process involves determining what risks are likely to affect a project and documenting the characteristics of each?
A) identifying risks
B) planning risk management
C) performing qualitative risk analysis
D) performing quantitative risk analysis
A) identifying risks
B) planning risk management
C) performing qualitative risk analysis
D) performing quantitative risk analysis
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36
Which process involves prioritizing risks based on their probability and impact of occurrence?
A) performing qualitative risk analysis
B) identifying risks
C) planning risk responses
D) performing quantitative risk analysis
A) performing qualitative risk analysis
B) identifying risks
C) planning risk responses
D) performing quantitative risk analysis
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37
The main outputs of which process include a risk register, risk report, and project documents updates?
A) identifying risks
B) planning risk management
C) planning risk response
D) monitoring risk
A) identifying risks
B) planning risk management
C) planning risk response
D) monitoring risk
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38
Which process involves taking steps to enhance opportunities and reduce threats to meeting project objectives?
A) performing quantitative risk analysis
B) planning risk responses
C) controlling risk
D) performing qualitative risk analysis
A) performing quantitative risk analysis
B) planning risk responses
C) controlling risk
D) performing qualitative risk analysis
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39
What process involves deciding how to approach and plan the risk management activities for the project?
A) identifying risks
B) planning risk management
C) performing qualitative risk analysis
D) performing quantitative risk analysis
A) identifying risks
B) planning risk management
C) performing qualitative risk analysis
D) performing quantitative risk analysis
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40
_____ are predefined actions that the project team will take if an identified risk event occurs.
A) Secondary risks
B) Workarounds
C) Contingency plans
D) Management reserves
A) Secondary risks
B) Workarounds
C) Contingency plans
D) Management reserves
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41
Which action involves reducing the impact of a risk event by reducing the probability of its occurrence?
A) risk avoidance
B) risk acceptance
C) risk transference
D) risk mitigation
A) risk avoidance
B) risk acceptance
C) risk transference
D) risk mitigation
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42
The term _____ is used to describe risks that the project team has identified and analyzed.
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43
A project _____ is an uncertainty that can have a negative or positive effect on meeting project objectives.
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44
_____ is a technique by which a group attempts to generate ideas or find a solution for a specific problem by amassing ideas spontaneously and without judgment.
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45
Risk utility rises at a decreasing rate for a(n) _____ person.
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46
_____ is the process of understanding what potential events might hurt or enhance a particular project.
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47
Which action involves changing the size of the opportunity by identifying and maximizing key drivers of the positive risk?
A) risk exploitation
B) risk sharing
C) risk enhancement
D) risk acceptance
A) risk exploitation
B) risk sharing
C) risk enhancement
D) risk acceptance
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48
Which action applies to positive risks when the project team cannot or chooses not to take any actions toward a risk?
A) risk enhancement
B) risk acceptance
C) risk sharing
D) risk exploitation
A) risk enhancement
B) risk acceptance
C) risk sharing
D) risk exploitation
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49
_____ are unplanned responses to risk events used when project teams do not have contingency plans in place.
A) Workarounds
B) Fallback plans
C) Contingency plans
D) Triggers
A) Workarounds
B) Fallback plans
C) Contingency plans
D) Triggers
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50
Which action involves allocating ownership of the risk to another party?
A) risk exploitation
B) risk sharing
C) risk enhancement
D) risk acceptance
A) risk exploitation
B) risk sharing
C) risk enhancement
D) risk acceptance
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51
Which action involves eliminating a specific threat, usually by eliminating its causes?
A) risk avoidance
B) risk acceptance
C) risk transference
D) risk mitigation
A) risk avoidance
B) risk acceptance
C) risk transference
D) risk mitigation
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52
One main output of the _____ process is a risk register.
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53
Which risks are direct results of implementing risk responses?
A) architectural
B) primary
C) residual
D) secondary
A) architectural
B) primary
C) residual
D) secondary
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54
Which action involves shifting the consequence of a risk and responsibility for its management to a third party?
A) risk avoidance
B) risk acceptance
C) risk transference
D) risk mitigation
A) risk avoidance
B) risk acceptance
C) risk transference
D) risk mitigation
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55
Potential problems that might occur on the project and how they might impede project success are _____ risks.
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56
Which action involves doing whatever you can to make sure the positive risk happens?
A) risk exploitation
B) risk sharing
C) risk enhancement
D) risk acceptance
A) risk exploitation
B) risk sharing
C) risk enhancement
D) risk acceptance
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57
_____ is the amount of satisfaction or pleasure received from a potential payoff.
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58
The basic concept of the _____ technique is to derive a consensus among a panel of experts who make predictions about future developments.
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59
A(n) _____ is a hierarchy of potential risk categories for a project.
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60
A(n) _____ documents the procedures for managing risk throughout the project.
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61
_____ helps professionals to see the effects of changing one or more variables on an outcome.
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62
Project teams sometimes use _____, which are unplanned responses to risk events, when they do not have contingency plans in place.
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63
List and briefly describe four methods for identifying risks.
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64
List and briefly describe the major processes involved in risk management.
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65
The _____ is the person who will own or take responsibility for the risk.
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66
_____ is the product of a risk event probability and the risk event's monetary value.
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67
_____ are indicators or symptoms of actual risk events.
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68
A(n) _____ is a document that contains results of various risk management processes.
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69
_____ involves accepting the consequences should a risk occur.
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70
Explain decision trees and expected monetary value.
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71
_____ is a fact-finding technique for collecting information in face-to-face, phone, e-mail, or virtual discussions.
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72
Risk _____ refers to reducing the impact of a risk event by reducing the probability of its occurrence.
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73
_____ risks are risks that remain after all of the response strategies have been implemented.
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74
_____ are funds included in the cost baseline that can be used to mitigate cost or schedule overruns if known risks occur.
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75
What are the basic response strategies for negative risks? Describe each strategy.
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76
_____ are numbers that represent the overall risk of specific events, based on their probability of occurring and the consequences to the project if they do occur.
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77
A(n) _____ is a list of risks that are low priority, but are still identified as potential risks.
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78
The main output of qualitative risk analysis is updating the _____.
.
.
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79
Explain the basic steps involved in performing a Monte Carlo analysis.
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