Environmental Science 12th Edition by William Cunningham,Mary Ann Cunningham

Exercise 3

Uncertainty is a key idea in science. We can rarely have absolute proof in experimental results, because our conclusions rest on observations, but we only have a small sample of all possible observations. Because uncertainty is always present, it's useful to describe how much uncertainty you have, relative to what you know. It might seem ironic, but in science, knowing about uncertainty increases our confidence in our conclusions.
The graph at right is from a landmark field study by D. Tilman, et al. It shows change in biomass within, experimental plots containing varying numbers of native prairie plants after a severe drought. Because more than 200 replicate (repeated test) plots were used, this study was able to give an estimate of uncertainty. This uncertainty is shown with error bars. In this graph, dots show means for groups of test plots; the error bars show the range in which that mean could have fallen, if there had been a slightly different set of test plots.
Let's examine the error bars in this graph. To begin, as always, make sure you understand what the axes show. This graph is a relatively complex one, so be patient.

What is the axis label on the Y-axis What does a value of 0.75 mean A value of 1.0
(Note: the Y-axis doesn't change at a constant rate. It changes logarithmically. This means values at the low end are more visible.)