Deck 23: Credit Risk and the Value of Corporate Debt
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Deck 23: Credit Risk and the Value of Corporate Debt
1
The interest rate on a one-year risk-free bond is 5 percent.BAC Company issued a 5 percent coupon bond with a face value of $1,000, maturing in one year.If the bond is considered risk-free, what is the price of the bond?
A)$1,050
B)$1,000
C)$985
D)$950
A)$1,050
B)$1,000
C)$985
D)$950
$1,000
2
The U.S.federal government has guaranteed loans to the following industries:
A)housing.
B)housing and airlines.
C)housing, airlines, ship owners and shipyards, and steel companies.
D)housing, airlines, ship owners and shipyards, steel companies, and oil and gas companies.
A)housing.
B)housing and airlines.
C)housing, airlines, ship owners and shipyards, and steel companies.
D)housing, airlines, ship owners and shipyards, steel companies, and oil and gas companies.
housing, airlines, ship owners and shipyards, steel companies, and oil and gas companies.
3
What is the most important difference between a corporate bond and an equivalent U.S.Treasury bond?
A)Corporate cash flow is relatively smooth, whereas U.S.government revenue is more variable.
B)Corporate bonds are traded on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, and Treasury bonds trade in the over-the-counter market.
C)In the case of corporate bonds, firms have sometimes defaulted, whereas the U.S.government has not.
D)The beta of corporate bonds is usually less than the beta of a U.S.Treasury bond.
A)Corporate cash flow is relatively smooth, whereas U.S.government revenue is more variable.
B)Corporate bonds are traded on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, and Treasury bonds trade in the over-the-counter market.
C)In the case of corporate bonds, firms have sometimes defaulted, whereas the U.S.government has not.
D)The beta of corporate bonds is usually less than the beta of a U.S.Treasury bond.
In the case of corporate bonds, firms have sometimes defaulted, whereas the U.S.government has not.
4
Suppose that a bond with one-year maturity, a coupon rate of 5 percent, and face value of $1,000 sells for $881.94.Calculate the promised yield on the bond.
A)5.42 percent
B)8.07 percent
C)19.06 percent
D)5.67 percent
A)5.42 percent
B)8.07 percent
C)19.06 percent
D)5.67 percent
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5
Which of the following rated bonds has the most risk?
A)Aaa
B)Aa
C)Baa
D)Ba
A)Aaa
B)Aa
C)Baa
D)Ba
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6
A corporate bond matures in one year.The bond promises a $50 coupon and a principal payment of $1,000 at maturity.If an investor buys the bond for $938.10, calculate the promised yield on the bond.
A)6.60 percent
B)11.93 percent
C)5 percent
D)5.33 percent
A)6.60 percent
B)11.93 percent
C)5 percent
D)5.33 percent
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7
If the discount rate on a bond is 7 percent and the expected payment in year 1 is $952.50, calculate the price of the bond.
A)$1,050
B)$985
C)$890
D)$935
A)$1,050
B)$985
C)$890
D)$935
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8
The value of a bond is given by
A)bond value = asset value - value of call option on assets.
B)bond value = asset value - value of call option on assets and bond value = value of an equivalent default-free bond + value of put option on assets.
C)bond value = value of an equivalent default-free bond + value of put option on the stock and bond value = asset value + value of call option on the stock.
D)bond value = asset value + value of call option on the stock.
A)bond value = asset value - value of call option on assets.
B)bond value = asset value - value of call option on assets and bond value = value of an equivalent default-free bond + value of put option on assets.
C)bond value = value of an equivalent default-free bond + value of put option on the stock and bond value = asset value + value of call option on the stock.
D)bond value = asset value + value of call option on the stock.
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9
If the discount rate on a bond is 8 percent and the expected payment in year 1 is $952.50, calculate the price of the bond.
A)$1,050
B)$985
C)$907.14
D)$881.94
A)$1,050
B)$985
C)$907.14
D)$881.94
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10
A corporate bond matures in one year.The bond promises a $50 coupon and principal of $1,000 at maturity.Suppose the bond has a 10 percent probability of default and payment under default is $400.If an investor buys the bond for $907.14, calculate the promised yield on the bond.
A)6.6 percent
B)15.75 percent
C)5 percent
D)8.58 percent
A)6.6 percent
B)15.75 percent
C)5 percent
D)8.58 percent
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11
The average yield spread based on promised yield on Aaa bonds rated by Moody's and the yield on Treasuries is about
A)1 percent.
B)2 percent.
C)3 percent.
D)4 percent.
A)1 percent.
B)2 percent.
C)3 percent.
D)4 percent.
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12
If the discount rate on a bond is 5 percent and the expected payment in year 1 is $985, calculate the price of the bond.
A)$1,050
B)$985
C)$938.10
D)$1,000
A)$1,050
B)$985
C)$938.10
D)$1,000
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13
A corporate bond matures in one year.The bond promises a coupon of $50 and principal of $1,000 at maturity.If the bond has a 10 percent probability of default and payment under default is $400, calculate the expected payment from the bond.
A)$1,050
B)$400
C)$985
D)$1,000
A)$1,050
B)$400
C)$985
D)$1,000
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14
The value of a corporate bond can be thought of as
A)bond value without default - value of put.
B)bond value without default + value of put.
C)bond value without default + value of a stock.
D)bond value without default - value of call.
A)bond value without default - value of put.
B)bond value without default + value of put.
C)bond value without default + value of a stock.
D)bond value without default - value of call.
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15
The U.S.government agrees to guarantee a bond issue planned by Demurrage Associates (DA).The value of this guarantee
A)is a subsidy to DA's equity investors.
B)equals the value of the guaranteed loan minus the value of the loan without a guarantee, is a subsidy to DA's equity investors, and equals the value of a put option on the firm's assets with an exercise price equal to the bond's promised payments.
C)equals the value of the guaranteed loan minus the value of the loan without a guarantee.
D)is a windfall gain to the buyers of the bonds.
A)is a subsidy to DA's equity investors.
B)equals the value of the guaranteed loan minus the value of the loan without a guarantee, is a subsidy to DA's equity investors, and equals the value of a put option on the firm's assets with an exercise price equal to the bond's promised payments.
C)equals the value of the guaranteed loan minus the value of the loan without a guarantee.
D)is a windfall gain to the buyers of the bonds.
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16
Which of the following rated bonds has the least risk?
A)AAA
B)AA
C)A
D)BBB
A)AAA
B)AA
C)A
D)BBB
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17
Generally, you can insure corporate bonds through a(n)
A)arrangement with the Treasury department.
B)arrangement with the state government.
C)credit default swap.
D)back-dated options contract.
A)arrangement with the Treasury department.
B)arrangement with the state government.
C)credit default swap.
D)back-dated options contract.
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18
A corporate bond matures in one year.The bond promises a $50 coupon and a principal payment of $1,000 at maturity.If the bond has a 15 percent probability of default and payment under default is $400, calculate the expected payment from the bond.
A)$1,050
B)$400
C)$952.50
D)$892.50
A)$1,050
B)$400
C)$952.50
D)$892.50
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19
The value of a corporate bond can be thought of as
A)asset value - value of call option on assets.
B)asset value + value of call option on assets.
C)asset value + value of a default-free bond.
D)asset value - value of put option on assets.
A)asset value - value of call option on assets.
B)asset value + value of call option on assets.
C)asset value + value of a default-free bond.
D)asset value - value of put option on assets.
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20
A corporate bond matures in one year.The bond promises interest of $50 and principal of $1,000 at maturity.Suppose the bond has a 10 percent probability of default and payment under default is $400.If an investor buys the bond for $890.19, calculate the promised yield on the bond.
A)6.6 percent
B)18 percent
C)7 percent
D)10.7 percent
A)6.6 percent
B)18 percent
C)7 percent
D)10.7 percent
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21
Investors can insure corporate bonds through an arrangement called a credit default swap.
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22
Use the following data: ROA = 10%; Total liabilities = 90% of assets; EBITDA = 10% of liabilities.Calculate the relative chance of failure using the following model: Log (relative chance of failure) = -6.445 - 1.192 ROA + 2.307 (liabilities/assets) - 0.346(EBITDA/liabilities).
A)1.70 percent
B)1.09 percent
C)0.16 percent
D)None of the options are correct.
A)1.70 percent
B)1.09 percent
C)0.16 percent
D)None of the options are correct.
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23
Generally, a corporate bond has a higher promised yield than the yield on a similar government bond.
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24
The value of a risky bond equals asset value - value of call option on assets.
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25
Generally, promised yields are at least as great as expected yields.
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26
An analyst predicts that at the 95 percent confidence level a bank could lose 7 percent of its asset value.Given assets of $30 million, what is the value at risk?
A)$2.1 million
B)$27.9 million
C)$28.5 million
D)$30 million
A)$2.1 million
B)$27.9 million
C)$28.5 million
D)$30 million
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27
Bonds rated below BBB (Baa) are termed junk bonds.
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28
The Z-score model was developed by Altman using
A)multiple discriminant analyses.
B)real options analysis.
C)hazard analysis.
D)None of the options are correct.
A)multiple discriminant analyses.
B)real options analysis.
C)hazard analysis.
D)None of the options are correct.
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29
During the period 1983-2012, the percentage of bonds that were rated AAA and remained AAA was
A)86.48 percent.
B)85.94 percent.
C)87.29 percent.
D)84.55 percent.
A)86.48 percent.
B)85.94 percent.
C)87.29 percent.
D)84.55 percent.
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30
The median total debt ratio (Total debt/(total debt + equity in %) for industrial firms with an A rating is
A)12.4 percent.
B)28.3 percent.
C)37.5 percent.
D)38.6 percent.
A)12.4 percent.
B)28.3 percent.
C)37.5 percent.
D)38.6 percent.
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31
The value of a government guarantee of a bond equals the value of a put option on the firm's assets.
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32
Bonds rated below BBB (Baa) are called
A)investment-grade bonds.
B)junk bonds.
C)default-free bonds.
D)intermediate bonds.
A)investment-grade bonds.
B)junk bonds.
C)default-free bonds.
D)intermediate bonds.
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33
It is extremely rare for a corporate bond to have a higher expected yield than a government bond.
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34
Floating-rate bonds have adjustable coupons to protect investors against changes in interest rates.The rates paid may be limited by
A)the put provisions of the issue.
B)a floor rate that sets the minimum.
C)a cap rate that sets the maximum.
D)both a floor rate that sets the minimum and a cap rate that sets the maximum.
A)the put provisions of the issue.
B)a floor rate that sets the minimum.
C)a cap rate that sets the maximum.
D)both a floor rate that sets the minimum and a cap rate that sets the maximum.
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35
The three main bond rating agencies in the United States are
A)Moody's, Standard and Poor's, and A.M.Best.
B)Moody's, Standard and Poor's, and Dominion Bond.
C)Moody's, Standard and Poor's, and Fitch.
D)Moody's, Standard and Poor's, A.M.Best, Dominion Bond, and Fitch.
A)Moody's, Standard and Poor's, and A.M.Best.
B)Moody's, Standard and Poor's, and Dominion Bond.
C)Moody's, Standard and Poor's, and Fitch.
D)Moody's, Standard and Poor's, A.M.Best, Dominion Bond, and Fitch.
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36
Beaver, McNichols, and Rhie have developed the following model to predict the chance of failing during the next year relative to the chance of not failing for firms: log(relative chance of failure) = -6.445 - 1.192 ROA + 2.307 (liabilities/assets) - 0.346(EBITDA/liabilities), using
A)multiple discriminant analyses.
B)real options analysis.
C)hazard analysis.
D)None of the options are correct.
A)multiple discriminant analyses.
B)real options analysis.
C)hazard analysis.
D)None of the options are correct.
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37
The value of a risky bond equals value of a bond without default - value of a put option on assets.
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38
In 2012, the Greek government strong-armed private investors into replacing their existing bonds with new securities worth what percentage of their original bonds?
A)30 percent
B)40 percent
C)50 percent
D)60 percent
A)30 percent
B)40 percent
C)50 percent
D)60 percent
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39
The default rate on B rated bonds 10 years after issue is less than (choose best response)
A)5 percent.
B)10 percent.
C)20 percent.
D)45 percent.
A)5 percent.
B)10 percent.
C)20 percent.
D)45 percent.
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40
Commercial banks and several other financial institutions are not permitted to invest in bonds unless they are investment grade.What is the definition of an investment-grade bond?
A)One with a triple-A rating.
B)One with a rating of Baa or better.
C)One with a rating of B or better.
D)One with a rating of C or better.
A)One with a triple-A rating.
B)One with a rating of Baa or better.
C)One with a rating of B or better.
D)One with a rating of C or better.
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41
Briefly explain the model developed by Beaver, McNichols, and Rhie to predict the chance of failure of a firm.
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42
Briefly explain how the option pricing model can be used for pricing risky debt.
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43
Briefly describe bond ratings.
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44
Bonds rated BBB (Baa) and above are called junk bonds.
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45
What is a credit default swap? Briefly explain.
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46
Briefly explain how governmental loan guarantees can be valued using the option pricing model.
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47
Investment-grade bonds can usually be entered at face value on the books of banks and life insurance companies.
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48
The value of a firm's right to default on a bond generally increases with the maturity of the bond.
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49
Briefly explain the term credit scoring.
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50
Briefly explain the term junk bonds.
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51
What is a major drawback to value-at-risk calculations?
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52
Suppose that the possibility of default on a firm's bond is totally unrelated to other events in the economy.In this case, the beta of the bond will equal zero and the discount rate will equal the risk-free rate.
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53
Define the term credit risk.
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