Exam 9: Forecasting Exchange Rates

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Assume that the U.S. interest rate is 11 percent, while Australia's one-year interest rate is 12 percent. Assume interest rate parity holds. If the one-year forward rate of the Australian dollar was used to forecast the future spot rate, the forecast would reflect an expectation of:

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If the foreign exchange market is ____ efficient, then historical and current exchange rate information is not useful for forecasting exchange rate movements.

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​Which of the following forecasting techniques would be most likely to use relationships between economic factors and exchange rate movements to forecast the future exchange rate?

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