Exam 10: Measuring Exposure to Exchange Rate Fluctuations

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A firm produces products for which substitute products are produced in all countries. Depreciation of the firm's local currency should:

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The ____ the percentage of an MNC's business conducted by its foreign subsidiaries, the ____ the percentage of a given financial statement item that is susceptible to translation exposure.

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Which of the following operations benefits from appreciation of the firm's local currency?

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​Consider an MNC that is exposed to the Bulgarian lev (BGL) and the Romanian leu (ROL); 30 percent of the MNC's funds are lev and 70 percent are leu. The standard deviation of exchange movements is 10 percent for lev and 15 percent for leu. The correlation coefficient between movements in the value of the lev and the leu is .85. Based on this information, the standard deviation of this two-currency portfolio is approximately:

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Economic exposure can affect:

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Treck Co. expects to pay €200,000 in one month for its imports from Spain. It also expects to receive €250,000 for its exports to Italy in one month. Treck Co. estimates the standard deviation of monthly percentage changes of the euro to be 3 percent over the last 40 months. Assume that these percentage changes are normally distributed. Using the value-at-risk (VaR) method based on a 95 percent confidence level, what is the maximum one-month loss in dollars if the expected percentage change of the euro during next month is -2 percent? Assume that the current spot rate of the euro (before considering the maximum one-month loss) is $1.23.

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If the U.S. dollar appreciates, an MNC's:

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Economic exposure refers to:

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The Canadian dollar's volatility has changed over time but is normally less than the volatility of other currencies.

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Jacko Co. is a U.S.-based MNC with net cash inflows of euros and net cash inflows of Sunland francs. These two currencies are highly negatively correlated in their movements against the dollar. Kriner Co. is a U.S.-based MNC that has the same exposure as Jacko Co. in these currencies, except that its Sunland francs represent cash outflows. Which firm has a higher exposure to exchange rate risk?

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One argument why exchange rate risk is irrelevant to corporations is that shareholders may be able to hedge this risk individually.

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The exposure of an MNC's consolidated financial statements to exchange rate fluctuations is known as transaction exposure.

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In general, translation exposure is larger with MNCs that have a larger proportion of earnings generated by foreign subsidiaries.

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Assume that your firm is an importer of Mexican chairs denominated in pesos. Your competition is mainly U.S. producers of chairs. You wish to assess the relationship between the percentage change in the firm's stock price (SPt) and the percentage change in the peso's value relative to the dollar (PESOt). SPt is the dependent variable. You apply the regression model to an earlier subperiod and a more recent subperiod. In the recent subperiod, you increased your importing volume. You should expect that the regression coefficient in the PESOt variable would be ____ in the first subperiod and ____ in the second subperiod.

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Lazer Co. is a U.S. firm that exports computers to Belgium, invoiced in euros, and to Italy, invoiced in dollars. Additionally, Lazer Co. has a subsidiary in South Korea that produces computers and sells them there. Lazer also has competitors in different countries. Lazer Co. is subject to:

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Since earnings can affect stock prices, many MNCs are concerned about translation exposure.

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A reduction in hedging will probably reduce transaction exposure.

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Transaction exposure reflects:

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A U.S. MNC has the equivalent of $1 million cash outflows in each of two highly negatively correlated currencies. During ____ dollar cycles, cash outflows are ____.

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The transaction exposure of two inflow currencies is offset when the correlation between the currencies is high.

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