Exam 6: Correlation Vs Causality in Regression Analysis

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Suppose you estimate the following regression of a firm's Sales and number of employees at each location across the country: Sales = 95,342 + 0.76 Number of Employees. You are willing to believe you have a random sample of store locations, and a sufficiently large sample size. Which statements are not yet justified by the regression results?

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C

Consider the following proposed determining function for a student's grade on the econometrics final, FinalGradei = 68 + 4 HoursStudiedi - 2 Num Other Finalsi + Ui, where hours studied is the number of hours studied during finals week by student i, and number of other finals is the number of other finals student i has during finals week. Derive the formula for the change in a student's final grade with respect to a unit change in the number of other finals the student has in finals week.

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C

Suppose that the following regression equation best describes the co-movement between Sales, Price and Number of Competitors: Salesi = B + M1Pricei + M2NumCompi. What moment condition would not be used to yield a consistent estimate of B, M1, M2?

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D

After estimating a regression of each employee's number of contracts sold and their tenure (in number of years) at the company as follows: Contracts = 30.5 + 4.5 Tenure. You are willing to believe you have a random sample of employees, and a sufficiently large sample size. Given these results, is it appropriate to make the following claim, "Our more tenured employees at the company on average get awarded more contracts"?

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If you are comfortable with assumptions required for causal analysis and you have estimated the relationship between Sales and running a promotion together with a price discount to be Salesi = 140.3(60) + 4.3(0.7) Promo with standard errors reported in parenthesis. What would you predict to occur in the event of running a discount next week?

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If the determining function for Sales is given by Salesi = α0 + α1Pricei + Ui, what will the correlation between Sales and Price be?

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If the t-stat for the sample estimate of a coefficient, M1 calculated as the following, t = m11Sm1\frac { m _ { 1 } - 1 } { S _ { m _ { 1 } } } , where m1 is the estimated coefficient and S m1m _ { 1 } is the properly estimated standard error for the coefficient, comes out to be 2.7, what is the appropriate conclusion?

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The assumption of no correlation between the error term (U) and treatment(s) (X) is similar to the assumption of what aspect used in the scientific method?

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When making passive predictions, which type of relationship must you believe continues to hold when you move your estimation sample to your forecasting sample?

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Suppose the regression of Output per Hour on employee Age yields a coefficient of -4.3 with a standard error of 1.2. Which of the following equations would properly report the 95% confidence interval for the population coefficient?

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If the residuals of a regression model, Yi = B + MXi + Ei, are such that their variances vary across all values of X, then they are said to be:

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In calculating the partial correlation between two variables holding one other variable constant, how many sets of residuals will be created?

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If the determining function for the likelihood of a mortgage application receiving a loan is given by, Loan Successful = 0.60 + 0.01 Credit Score. What would be the causal effect of increasing your credit score by 10 points?

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In making passive predictions, it is usually sufficient to (consistently) estimate what sort of relationships?

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A consistent estimator is an estimator whose:

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Which of the following conditions ensures that the estimates of the coefficients for the population regression equation are distributed normally?

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If the residuals of a regression model, Yi = B + MXi + Ei, satisfy the condition that their variances are constant across all values of X, then they are said to be:

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Suppose you've run a regression relating Revenues to TV Ads and Online Ads. You are willing to make the necessary assumptions to deduce causality and run hypothesis tests. Your results are as follows: Coefficients Stardard Error t-Stat P-value Iratercept 5988.043107 2202.136765 2.719196738 0.006881952 IV Ads 199.6320212 27.82658673 7.174146912 4.63154-12 Orline Ads 53.52092429 41.0818115 1.302788809 0.193533758 If you tested the null hypothesis that Online Ads have no impact on Revenues at the 90% confidence level (i.e., 90% degree of support), you would:

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The part of the outcome that we can explicitly determine, fi (X1i, X2i, ..., Xki), is known as the:

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Why can't the regression coefficients in correlation analysis be interpreted as the causal effect of a treatment on the outcome?

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