Exam 17: Expectations, Output and Policy
Exam 1: A Tour of the World40 Questions
Exam 2: A Tour of the Book67 Questions
Exam 3: The Goods Market56 Questions
Exam 4: Financial Markets62 Questions
Exam 5: Goods and Financial Markets: the Islm Model83 Questions
Exam 6: The Labour Market70 Questions
Exam 7: Putting All Markets Together: the Asad Model68 Questions
Exam 8: The Phillips Curve, the Natural Rate of Unemployment and Inflation68 Questions
Exam 9: The Crisis56 Questions
Exam 10: The Facts of Growth58 Questions
Exam 11: Saving, Capital Accumulation and Output63 Questions
Exam 12: Technological Progress and Growth66 Questions
Exam 13: Technological Progress: the Short, the Medium and the Long Run59 Questions
Exam 14: Expectations: the Basic Tools65 Questions
Exam 15: Financial Markets and Expectations67 Questions
Exam 16: Expectations, Consumption and Investment59 Questions
Exam 17: Expectations, Output and Policy58 Questions
Exam 18: Openness in Goods and Financial Markets69 Questions
Exam 19: The Goods Market69 Questions
Exam 20: Output, the Interest Rate and the Exchange Rate60 Questions
Exam 21: Exchange Rate Regimes54 Questions
Exam 22: Should Policy-Makers Be Restrained45 Questions
Exam 23: Fiscal Policy: a Summing up77 Questions
Exam 24: Monetary Policy: a Summing up66 Questions
Exam 25: Epilogue: the Story of Macroeconomics54 Questions
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Explain the determinants of aggregate private spending.
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Correct Answer:
Aggregate private spending (A) equals consumption (C) plus investment (I). So, A is a function of current income, future expected income, current taxes, future expected taxes, current interest rates, and future expected interest rates.
Suppose the central bank implements monetary expansion in the current period and is expected to continue this monetary expansion in the future. Use the IS- LM model to illustrate graphically and explain the effects of this policy on current output and the current interest rate.
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(Essay)
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Correct Answer:
In the current period, the LM curve will shift down causing the current interest rate to fall and current output to rise. The expectation that this will continue will cause individuals to expect lower future rates and higher future output. The lower future rates will raise current consumption and current investment. The higher future output will do the same. So, we will also see a rightward shift in the current IS curve. This will tend to raise current interest rate and current output as well.
Assume individuals consider only the long- run effects of changes in future macro variables when forming expectations of future output and future interest rates. Suppose current government spending increases and that individuals expect future government spending to increase. Given this information, we know with certainty that:
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(Multiple Choice)
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Correct Answer:
D
Assume individuals consider only the short- run effects of changes in future macro variables when forming expectations of future output and future interest rates. Suppose individuals expect the central bank to pursue monetary expansion in the future. Given this information, we know with certainty that:
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Assume individuals consider only the short- run effects of changes in future macro variables when forming expectations of future output and future interest rates. Suppose individuals expect future government spending to increase. Given this information, individuals will expect:
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Assume individuals consider only the medium- run effects of changes in future macro variables when forming expectations of future output and future interest rates. Suppose individuals expect future government spending to increase. Given this information, individuals will expect:
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Compare the following three ways to model expectations: animal spirits, adaptive expectations, and rational expectations.
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Which of the following will cause a rightward shift of the IS curve?
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A decrease in the expected future interest rate will cause:
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Assume individuals consider only the short- run effects of changes in future macro variables when forming expectations of future output and future interest rates. A permanent decrease in the interest rate, with no other policy change implemented or anticipated, will most likely cause:
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Suppose individuals expect that interest rates will fall in the future. Also assume that the RBA wants to prevent any change in current output. Given this goal of the RBA, the RBA should implement a policy in the current period that:
(Multiple Choice)
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Suppose there is a decrease in the expected future interest rate. This will cause which of the following to occur?
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Suppose there is an increase in expected future taxes. This will cause which of the following to occur?
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Changes in future expected interest rates can affect current consumption. Suppose individuals expect future interest rates to increase. Consumption will change as a result of this expectation when which of the following change?
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Explain whether a policy that results in a larger budget deficit in the current period can lead to a reduction in current output.
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Explain what effect an increase in future expected output will have on the IS curve and LM curve in the current period.
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