Exam 7: Random Variables and Discrete Probability Distributions

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A Poisson distribution with = .60 is a:

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An analysis of the stock market produces the following information about the returns of two stocks: Stock 1 Stock 2 Expected Returns 15\% 18\% Standard Deviations 20 32 Assume that the returns are positively correlated, with 12 = 0.80. a. Find the mean and standard deviation of the return on a portfolio consisting of an equal investment in each of the two stocks. b. Suppose that you wish to invest $1 million. Discuss whether you should invest your money in stock 1, stock 2, or a portfolio composed of an equal amount of investments on both stocks.

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a. The expected return on the portfolio is E(0.5X1 + 0.5X2) = 0.5E(X1) + 0.5E(X2)= 16.5%.
The variance of the portfolio's return is (0.5 20)2 + (0.5 32)2 + 2(0.5)2 0.80 20 32 = 612.
The standard deviation of the portfolio's return when 12 = 0.80 is therefore 24.74%.
b. Your choice of investment in stock 1, the portfolio, or stock 2 depends on your desired level of risk (variance of return). The higher the risk you choose, the higher will be the expected return.

State whether or not each of the following are valid probability distributions, and if not, explain why not. a. x 0 1 2 3 p(x) .15 .25 .35 .45 b. x 2 3 4 5 p(x) -.10 .40 .50 .25 c. x -2 -1 0 1 2 p(x) .10 .20 .40 .20 .10

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a. Not valid because the probabilities don't sum to one.
b. Not valid because it contains a negative probability.
c. Valid.

The weighted average of the possible values that a random variable X can assume, where the weights are the probabilities of occurrence of those values, is referred to as the:

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Phone calls arrive at the rate of 30 per hour at the reservation desk for a hotel. a. Find the probability of receiving two calls in a five-minute interval of time. b. Find the probability of receiving exactly eight calls in 15 minutes. c. If no calls are currently being processed, what is the probability that the desk employee can take a four-minute break without being interrupted?

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A table, formula, or graph that shows all possible countable values a random variable can assume, together with their associated probabilities, is called a:

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The Poisson random variable is a:

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A bivariate distribution is a distribution is a joint probability distribution of two variables.

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Given that X is a binomial random variable, the binomial probability P(X \geq x) is approximated by the area under a normal curve to the right of:

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The probability distribution for X ,daily demand of a particular newspaper at a local newsagency,( in hundreds) is as follows: x 1 2 3 4 p(x) 0.05 0.42 0.44 0.09 a. Find and interpret the expected value of X. b. Find V(X). c. Find .

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Let X be a Poisson random variable with = 6. Use the table of Poisson probabilities to find: a. P(X<8)P ( X < 8 ) b. P(X=8)P ( X = 8 ) c. P(X5)P ( X \geq 5 ) d. P(6X10)P ( 6 \leq X \leq 10 )

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A recent survey in Victoria revealed that 60% of the vehicles travelling on highways, where speed limits are posted at 100 kilometres per hour, were exceeding the limit. Suppose you randomly record the speeds of 10 vehicles travelling on the Hume Highway, where the speed limit is 100 kilometres per hour. Let X denote the number of vehicles that were exceeding the limit. Find the following probabilities. a. P(X=10). b. P(4<X<9)P ( 4 < X < 9 ) C. P(X=2). d. P(3X6)P ( 3 \leq X \leq 6 )

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The probability distribution for X is as follows: x -1 0 1 2 p(x) 0.1 0.25 0.55 0.1 Find the expected value of Y = X + 10.

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The number of people winning a lottery ticket each week is an example of a Poisson variable.

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The probability distribution for X is as follows: x -1 0 1 2 p(x) 0.1 0.25 0.55 0.1 a. Find E[5X + 1]. b. Find V[5X + 1].

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Given a binomial random variable with n =15 and p = 0.40, find the exact probabilities of the following events and their normal approximations. a. X = 6. b. X \geq 9. c. X \leq 10.

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The P(X ≤ x) is an example of a cumulative probability.

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Which of the following best describes a discrete random variable?

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Let X represent the number of computers in an Australian household, for those that own a computer. x 1 2 3 4 5 p(x) 0.25 0.33 0.17 0.15 0.10 a. Find and interpret the expected number of computers in a randomly selected Australian household. b. Find the variance of the number of computers in a randomly selected Australian household.

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The expected value, E(X), of a binomial probability distribution is:

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