Exam 3: Prediction, Bail, and Tarasoff Duty

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In 1974, the California Supreme Court ruled, in light of the Tarasoff case, that

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What are static, dynamic, and environmental variables? On which type of variables do actuarial approaches usually rely?

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Static variables are constants that do not change over time, such as a person's date of birth. Dynamic variables, on the other hand, can change over time, such as a person's income or health status. Environmental variables are external factors that can impact a situation, such as economic conditions or natural disasters.

Actuarial approaches usually rely on dynamic variables, as they involve predicting future events and their financial impact, such as projecting future mortality rates or healthcare costs. By analyzing dynamic variables, actuaries can make informed decisions and manage risk effectively. Environmental variables may also be taken into account, as they can have a significant impact on the outcomes being predicted. Static variables may also be used in actuarial approaches, but they are typically not the main focus as they do not provide information on future changes or trends.

Giving a potential victim a warning

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Because bail bondspersons who provide bail bonds have a strong financial interest in whether the person makes an appearance

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One concerned raised by the outcome of the Tarasoff case was

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One characteristic of actuarial prediction models

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What is a false positive, a false negative? How does the adjustment of a cutoff score affect the percentage of false positives and false negatives?

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Under Tarasoff, mental health professionals have a duty to

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Predictions of dangerousness

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To formally label someone dangerous

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The Tarasoff decision revealed a difference in thinking between courts and mental health specialists subject to the rule. Courts are concerned

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Under the Constitution, the purpose of bail is to

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The amount of bail that is set

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A majority of mental health professionals

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In studies pertaining to the validity of predictions of violence among mentally ill people treated in psychiatric hospitals, it was shown that

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If an individual has a high re-arrest rate, do you think it is justifiable to deny him or her bail?

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The values behind granting bail include:

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Research comparing statistical and clinical methods of risk assessment has typically shown that

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Is the gain in public safety by detaining people thought to be dangerous great enough to justify the dollar and human costs of perhaps accidentally detaining someone who is not dangerous? Do you think there is reason for concern about racial and ethnic discrimination?

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The Vera Institute Bail project demonstrated that

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