Exam 26: Value at Risk

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What is a default swap and what is its use?

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A default swap pays very small amounts and a large amount during default.They are used to protect bondholders against default by a bond issuer.

Your portfolio is worth $200,000.The standard deviation of its annual returns is 0.20 and the expected return is 11.0%.What is the probability of a loss over 10 business days?

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Matt owns 5,000 share of Matrix at $52.50.To arbitrage this he shorts 5,000 calls and longs 5,000 puts at a strike of $50.00.Assume Matt owns 5,000 share of Matrix at $52.50.To arbitrage this he shorts 5,000 calls and longs 5,000 puts at a strike of $50.00.Assume   = 0.16,σ = 0.30,rf = 0.06,and the options expire in 170 days.What is the value at risk for 1 week at a 95% confidence level? = 0.16,σ = 0.30,rf = 0.06,and the options expire in 170 days.What is the value at risk for 1 week at a 95% confidence level?

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You own two bonds; 25% of a 30-year bond with σ = 0.02 and 75% of a 20-year bond with ?σ = 0.015.The correlation coefficient is 0.82.What is the 2-week value at risk at a 95% confidence level? (Assume portfolio value = $15 million.)

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Why is VaR an important tool in measuring risk? What are some of its shortcomings? Ask the class to explain the rationale for a company to rely heavily on VaR in the absence of other measurement tools.

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Harold owns 10,000 shares of IBM at $54.50 per share.He writes $55 strike covered call on all the shares.Assume Harold owns 10,000 shares of IBM at $54.50 per share.He writes $55 strike covered call on all the shares.Assume   = 0.14,σ = 0.18,rf = 0.04,and the options expire in 90 days.What is the value at risk for 1 day,using the delta approximation at a 95% confidence level? = 0.14,σ = 0.18,rf = 0.04,and the options expire in 90 days.What is the value at risk for 1 day,using the delta approximation at a 95% confidence level?

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A stock has a price of $50 and pays no dividend.The historical standard deviation of the stock is 25% and the expected return on the stock is 12%.At the 95% confidence level,what is the Tail VaR over the next 6 months?

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How is VaR used in credit risk scenarios?

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What is bootstrapping and what is its use?

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Kelly owns 50,000 shares of Microsoft at $63.60 per share.She buys 20,000 $60 strike calls.Assume Kelly owns 50,000 shares of Microsoft at $63.60 per share.She buys 20,000 $60 strike calls.Assume   = 0.12,σ = 0.23,rf = 0.05,and the options expire in 170 days.What is the value at risk for 2 weeks,using the delta approximation at a 99% confidence level? = 0.12,σ = 0.23,rf = 0.05,and the options expire in 170 days.What is the value at risk for 2 weeks,using the delta approximation at a 99% confidence level?

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Your $2 million portfolio consists of 25% Evans stock with Your $2 million portfolio consists of 25% Evans stock with   = 0.16,σ = 0.22 and 75% Indy stock with   = 0.09,σ = 0.12.The correlation coefficient is 0.65.What is the value at risk over 1 day at a 99% confidence level? Assume 252 days per year. = 0.16,σ = 0.22 and 75% Indy stock with Your $2 million portfolio consists of 25% Evans stock with   = 0.16,σ = 0.22 and 75% Indy stock with   = 0.09,σ = 0.12.The correlation coefficient is 0.65.What is the value at risk over 1 day at a 99% confidence level? Assume 252 days per year. = 0.09,σ = 0.12.The correlation coefficient is 0.65.What is the value at risk over 1 day at a 99% confidence level? Assume 252 days per year.

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What is implied volatility?

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Your portfolio is worth $200,000.The standard deviation of its annual returns is 0.20 and the expected return is 11.0%.What is the 2-week value at risk at a 95% confidence level?

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Why is recent data more relevant than older data when calculating volatility?

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A bond maturing in 5 years has a YTM = 0.065 and an annual yield volatility of 2.0%.Given a $15 million portfolio,what is the value at risk over 2 weeks at a 95% confidence level?

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A stock has a price of $42.63 and pays no dividend.The historical standard deviation of the stock is 18% and the expected return on the stock is 11%.At the 95% confidence level,what is the Tail VaR over the next 270 days?

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Use VaR techniques to determine the cost of insurance on a risky investment.The investment asset has a value of $150 and pays no dividend.The historical standard deviation of the asset is 20% and the expected return on the asset is 15%.At the 95% confidence level,what is the price of a put option that insures the asset over the next 6 months?

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Your $2 million portfolio consists of 25% Evans stock with Your $2 million portfolio consists of 25% Evans stock with   = 0.16,σ = 0.22 and 75% Indy stock with   = 0.09,σ = 0.12.The correlation coefficient is 0.13.What is the value at risk over 1 day at a 99% confidence level? Assume 252 days per year. = 0.16,σ = 0.22 and 75% Indy stock with Your $2 million portfolio consists of 25% Evans stock with   = 0.16,σ = 0.22 and 75% Indy stock with   = 0.09,σ = 0.12.The correlation coefficient is 0.13.What is the value at risk over 1 day at a 99% confidence level? Assume 252 days per year. = 0.09,σ = 0.12.The correlation coefficient is 0.13.What is the value at risk over 1 day at a 99% confidence level? Assume 252 days per year.

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You own $4 million of Jacko Corp.The expected return is 14.0% and σ = 0.20.What is the value at risk over 4 weeks at a 99% confidence level?

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Your $1 million portfolio consists of 50% of Jacko with Your $1 million portfolio consists of 50% of Jacko with   = 0.14,σ = 0.20 and 50% of Macko with   = 0.10,σ = 0.15.The correlation coefficient is 0.25.What is the value at risk over 1 week at a 95% confidence level? = 0.14,σ = 0.20 and 50% of Macko with Your $1 million portfolio consists of 50% of Jacko with   = 0.14,σ = 0.20 and 50% of Macko with   = 0.10,σ = 0.15.The correlation coefficient is 0.25.What is the value at risk over 1 week at a 95% confidence level? = 0.10,σ = 0.15.The correlation coefficient is 0.25.What is the value at risk over 1 week at a 95% confidence level?

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