Exam 14: Managerial Decision-Making Under Uncertainty

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Probability

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A fair game is a game in which the chances are 50-50 that you win or lose.

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Although he is very poor,Al plays the million-dollar lottery everyday because he is certain that one day he will win.Al makes this calculation based upon

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According to ________,people are often risk averse when it comes to gains and risk preferring when it comes to losses.

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People in a certain group have a 0.3% chance of dying this year.If a person in this group buys a life insurance policy for $3,300 that pays $1,000,000 to her family if she dies this year and $0 otherwise,what is the expected value of a policy to the insurance company?

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A fair bet is one where

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Someone who is risk-preferring has

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If an event is unlikely to occur,which probability is a reasonable estimate?

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Risk-averse individuals make risky investments

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If a person is entertained by gambling,then

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If Stock A and Stock B both increase in value at the same time,they are

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A jar has 20 red jelly beans and 40 black jelly beans.If you pick a red jelly bean and put it back,what are the odds of picking a red jelly bean next?

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  -The above figure shows Bob's utility function.He currently has $100 of wealth,but there is a 50% chance that it could all be stolen.Bob will buy theft insurance to cover the full $100 -The above figure shows Bob's utility function.He currently has $100 of wealth,but there is a 50% chance that it could all be stolen.Bob will buy theft insurance to cover the full $100

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A stock mutual fund's primary advantage is to allow

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If a person is risk averse,then she has negative marginal utility of wealth.

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If an event is certain to occur,it has a probability (pr)of

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If a person willingly plays an unfair game that is not in his favor,he is risk loving.

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On any given day we know a salesman can earn $0 with a 30% probability,$100 with a 20% probability or $300 with 40% probability.His expected earnings equal

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If an event is likely to occur,which probability is a reasonable estimate?

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Sarah buys little stuffed animals for $5 each.They come in different varieties.If the producer stops making (retires)a certain variety,a stuffed animal of that variety will be worth $100; otherwise it is worth $0.There is 50% chance that any variety will be retired.For the purchase of an individual stuffed animal,what is the value to Sarah of knowing ahead of time whether the variety will be retired?

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