Exam 15: Risk and Information

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In a second-price sealed-bid auction with private values,the winner of the auction is

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Consider a lottery with four possible outcomes,A,B,C,and D.The associated payoffs are: A - $10,B - $30,C - $70,and D - $150.The probabilities are Consider a lottery with four possible outcomes,A,B,C,and D.The associated payoffs are: A - $10,B - $30,C - $70,and D - $150.The probabilities are   ,   ,   ,and   The expected value of this lottery is , Consider a lottery with four possible outcomes,A,B,C,and D.The associated payoffs are: A - $10,B - $30,C - $70,and D - $150.The probabilities are   ,   ,   ,and   The expected value of this lottery is , Consider a lottery with four possible outcomes,A,B,C,and D.The associated payoffs are: A - $10,B - $30,C - $70,and D - $150.The probabilities are   ,   ,   ,and   The expected value of this lottery is ,and Consider a lottery with four possible outcomes,A,B,C,and D.The associated payoffs are: A - $10,B - $30,C - $70,and D - $150.The probabilities are   ,   ,   ,and   The expected value of this lottery is The expected value of this lottery is

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Suppose you purchase a collectible baseball card from an acquaintance for $50.You think it could be worth $1,000 with a 10% probability and $0 with a 90% probability.What is your expected value for the baseball card?

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Which of the following statements is correct for a decision maker facing a choice between a sure thing and a lottery when the sure thing had the expected payoff of the lottery are equal?

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Consider an insurance policy with $15,000 worth of coverage.If there is a 10% chance the owner of the policy will file a claim for the $15,000 (and a 90% chance they will not file a claim),a fair price for this policy is

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Suppose a decision maker has a utility function Suppose a decision maker has a utility function   and is faced with a lottery where there is a 30% chance of earning $30 and a 70% chance of earning $80.What is the expected utility of this lottery? and is faced with a lottery where there is a 30% chance of earning $30 and a 70% chance of earning $80.What is the expected utility of this lottery?

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In economics,a lottery is

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**Reference: Use the decision tree along with the given probabilities to answer the next six questions (49-54). Probability Event A = 30% Probability Event B = 70% Probability Event 1 = 58% Probability Event 2 = 42% Probability of Event A given that Event 1 occurs = 16% Probability of Event B given that Event 1 occurs = 84% Probability of Event A given that Event 2 occurs = 50% Probability of Event B given that Event 2 occurs = 50% **Reference: Use the decision tree along with the given probabilities to answer the next six questions (49-54). Probability Event A = 30% Probability Event B = 70% Probability Event 1 = 58% Probability Event 2 = 42% Probability of Event A given that Event 1 occurs = 16% Probability of Event B given that Event 1 occurs = 84% Probability of Event A given that Event 2 occurs = 50% Probability of Event B given that Event 2 occurs = 50%   -*If the decision maker chooses Decision A and Event 2 occurs,which decision alternative should the decision maker choose at node E? -*If the decision maker chooses Decision A and Event 2 occurs,which decision alternative should the decision maker choose at node E?

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A decision-maker is faced with a choice between a lottery with a 30% chance of a payoff of $30 and a 70% chance of a payoff of $80,and a guaranteed payoff of $65.If the decision maker's utility function is U = A decision-maker is faced with a choice between a lottery with a 30% chance of a payoff of $30 and a 70% chance of a payoff of $80,and a guaranteed payoff of $65.If the decision maker's utility function is U =   ,what is the risk premium associated with this choice? ,what is the risk premium associated with this choice?

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Your current disposable income is $10,000.There is a 10% chance you will get in a serious car accident,incurring damage of $1,900.(There is a 90% chance that nothing will happen.) Your utility function is Your current disposable income is $10,000.There is a 10% chance you will get in a serious car accident,incurring damage of $1,900.(There is a 90% chance that nothing will happen.) Your utility function is   ,where I is income.What is the most you would be willing to pay for this policy (rather than no insurance)? ,where I is income.What is the most you would be willing to pay for this policy (rather than no insurance)?

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A good way to deal with moral hazard faced by an insurance company would be to

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What would be the expected value,variance and standard deviation of an event that always took the value one as its outcome?

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Would you expect an insurance company in the "real world" to sell an insurance policy for exactly the "fairly-priced" level as defined in the text?

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In a second-price sealed-bid auction the best bidding strategy is to bid

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A fairly-priced insurance policy is one in which

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Given the possible outcomes to a lottery being only the values 2,6 with equal probabilities,calculate the expected value,variance and standard deviation?

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Lotteries A and B have the same expected value,but B has larger variance.Which of the following statements is true,all else equal?

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With common values in an auction

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Consider a lottery with four equally likely outcomes,A,B,C,and D.The associated payoffs are: A - $10,B - $30,C - $70,and D - $150.The expected value of this lottery is

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A decision maker can be described with utility which is only a function of income and which exhibits diminishing marginal utility of income.This decision maker is

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