Exam 22: Understanding Business Cycle Fluctuations

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Does an increase in the rate of inflation always imply that aggregate demand is increasing? Explain.

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No, not always.While rightward shifts in the dynamic aggregate demand curve can cause increases in the rate of inflation, higher inflation rates can also occur even if the dynamic aggregate demand curve is stable.Negative inflation shocks that shift the short-run aggregate supply curve to the left will also cause higher rates of inflation.

Which of the following would be classified as a negative supply shock?

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A

Use the long-run model presented in Chapter 22 to answer this question.If there is a decrease in aggregate demand, and monetary policymakers counter the decrease in aggregate demand, what will be the impact on output and inflation? Explain.

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If aggregate demand decreases, there will be a temporary recessionary output gap.Eventually the self-correcting mechanism would cause the short-run aggregate supply curve to shift to the right as the inflation rate decreases and the output would grow to the potential level, but at a lower rate of inflation than what existed before the decrease in aggregate demand.If monetary policymakers counter the demand decrease, the output gap potentially is avoided but at the cost of not having the lower rate of inflation.

Suppose that consumer and business confidence fall.What is the ultimate outcome for the economy if monetary policymakers respond to keep inflation on an unchanged target?

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The effect of a decrease in import prices on overall inflation can be best described as:

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Explain why understanding short-run fluctuations in output and inflation requires that we study shifts in dynamic aggregate demand and short-run aggregate supply.

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Increases in potential output shift:

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Disinflation occurs when:

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If monetary policymakers respond aggressively to current inflation above the target inflation rate, the:

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When a negative supply shock occurs it is extremely important for monetary policymakers to discern whether or not potential output has decreased.Why does that matter?

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Monetary policymakers can take advantage of the impact that positive inflation shocks have on output by shifting the:

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If an economy is initially at a state of long-run equilibrium, the short-run effect(s) from a decrease in aggregate demand will include:

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During the Great Moderation experienced in the United States during the 1990s the volatility of inflation and growth:

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Permanent declines in inflation such as those seen in Chile and Sweden must have been a result of:

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In 2001 a combination of tax cuts and increased defense spending did not have the same inflationary effect as the similar policy in the 1960s.Explain the difference.

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During the Great Moderation experienced in the United States during the 1990s:

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Opportunistic disinflation occurs when policymakers:

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Describe a scenario where a negative supply shock (that raises the rate of inflation) results in a permanently higher rate of inflation.

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If monetary policymakers do not change their inflation target and aggregate demand shifts left:

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Which of the following statements is most correct?

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