Exam 16: Expectations Theory and the Economy

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Although the possibility exists for an economy to experience stagflation,it has never actually happened in the United States.

(True/False)
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As the price level rises,real wage ____________and people choose to work ___________.

(Multiple Choice)
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New classical economists believe that it is possible under certain circumstances for an increase in the money supply to lead to a decrease in Real GDP in the short run.

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The original Phillips curve depicted an inverse relationship between wage inflation and unemployment.

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In the real business cycle theory,business cycle contractions begin as a result of changes in

(Multiple Choice)
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According to new Keynesian theory,if policy is correctly anticipated,increases in aggregate demand will stimulate the economy to higher levels of Real GDP and lower levels of unemployment in

(Multiple Choice)
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A fall in the expected price level leads to an expectation that real wages will ____________,which will cause people to work __________,shifting the SRAS curve _______________.

(Multiple Choice)
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The concept of rational expectations first appeared on the economic scene in _______,but it wasn't until the _____________ that it received more significant notice in the economics profession.

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The original (1958)Phillips curve differed from the Samuelson-Solow Phillips curve in that

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The economy is in long-run equilibrium when there is an incorrectly anticipated increase in aggregate demand brought about by expansionary monetary policy.Specifically,aggregate demand increases by more than people anticipate (bias downward).According to new classical theory,the price level will __________ and Real GDP will __________ in the short run.In the long run,the price level will be __________ than it was before aggregate demand increased.

(Multiple Choice)
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The short-run Phillips curve holds that

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Exhibit 16-5 Exhibit 16-5   -Refer to Exhibit 16-5.If the economy is at point 3,and the natural unemployment rate exists at points 1,4,and 5,it follows that -Refer to Exhibit 16-5.If the economy is at point 3,and the natural unemployment rate exists at points 1,4,and 5,it follows that

(Multiple Choice)
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In real business cycle theory,business cycle expansions begin as a result of changes in

(Multiple Choice)
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Describe the sequence of events that real business cycle theorists would use to explain how an adverse supply shock would impact the economy.Use your answer to explain why it is easy to confuse cause and effect between changes originating on the supply side and those that begin on the demand side.

(Essay)
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Stagflation is the simultaneous occurrence of

(Multiple Choice)
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The main difference between new classical and new Keynesian theory is with respect to the assumption of

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Milton Friedman argued that there

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An unexpected decrease in aggregate demand will cause

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The economy is in long-run equilibrium when government unexpectedly increases aggregate demand.The expected inflation rate is slow to adjust to the higher (actual)inflation rate.If follows that in the short run,according to the Friedman natural rate theory,__________ rises and the __________ falls.

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A person's real wage will fall if the nominal wage falls,the price level rises,or both.

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