Exam 13: Risk Analysis and Project Evaluation

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When evaluating projects with real options,businesses must consider the probability that the option will be exercised.

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DNATECH has developed a hair growth treatment at a cost of $10 million.They can license the technology to another company for a period of 10 years.What is the minimum annual free cash flow they could accept in order to reach break-even NPV on this product? Use a discount rate of 8%.

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There is a 30% probability that an office building will be sold after 5 years for $30 million,a 50% probability that it will be sold for $20 million and a 20% probability that it will be sold for $10 million.What is the expected value of the office building in 5 years?

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Which of the following costs is NOT covered in an accounting break-even analysis?

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Enchanted Hearth expects to sell 1,200 wood pellet stoves in 2011 at an average price of $2,400 each.It believes that unit sales will grow between -5% and +5% per year and prices will rise or fall by as much as 5% per year.Forecast sales revenue for 2013 if both price and the number of units sold increase by 5% per year.

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One advantage of simulation is that it can differentiate between unsystematic and systematic risk.

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Klaus Nicholas plans to sell Christmas trees from a vacant lot in downtown Springfield.The trees will cost him $12 each.It will cost Klaus $1,500 to rent the lot from November 1 through December 30.If Klaus sells the trees for $20 each,how many trees must he sell to break even? Assume that he makes an initial,non-refundable purchase of 200 trees but can buy more trees in any quantity after that for $12 each.

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What is the approximate five year survival rate for new businesses?

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Which of the following are reasons to analyze the risk of capital projects?

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Approximately what percentage of new businesses survive their first year?

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In the 4th year of project M,expected revenues will be $4,750,000,variable costs will be $4,000,000,depreciation expense $180,000,and fixed cash costs $570,000.Which of the following is true?

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Which of the following is a reason why risk analysis is an important part of capital budgeting?

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Briefly explain what is meant by a real option in capital budgeting.Give 2 concrete examples.

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A would be entrepreneur is considering buying a franchise from a national chain of fitness centers.Identify some of the risks she might face.

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Briefly distinguish between sensitivity analysis,scenario analysis,and simulation.

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Sensitivity analysis shows how the distribution of possible net present values is affected by a change in one input variable.

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An appropriate tool to analyze the interaction of various value drivers for Orange Electronics would be

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An appropriate tool to analyze the interaction of various value drivers for Destroya Extermination Services would be

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There is a 20% probability that the NPV of a project will be $20 million,a 50% probability that it will be sold for $45 million and a 30% probability that it will be for $15 million.What is the expected NPV of the project?

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When Charles River Publisher's sales revenue increased from $25 million to $27.5 million,net operation income increased from $3,750,000 to $3,937,500.Quineboag's degree of operating leverage (DOL)is ________.

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