Exam 17: Decision Making
Exam 1: Introduction and Data Collection131 Questions
Exam 2: Presenting Data in Tables and Charts178 Questions
Exam 3: Numerical Descriptive Measures148 Questions
Exam 4: Basic Probability146 Questions
Exam 5: Some Important Discrete Probability Distributions169 Questions
Exam 6: The Normal Distribution and Other Continuous Distributions187 Questions
Exam 7: Sampling Distributions183 Questions
Exam 8: Confidence Interval Estimation176 Questions
Exam 9: Fundamentals of Hypothesis Testing: One-Sample Tests167 Questions
Exam 10: Hypothesis Testing: Two Sample Tests160 Questions
Exam 11: Analysis of Variance141 Questions
Exam 12: Simple Linear Regression196 Questions
Exam 13: Introduction to Multiple Regression256 Questions
Exam 14: Time-Series Forecasting and Index Numbers203 Questions
Exam 15: Chi-Square Tests135 Questions
Exam 16: Multiple Regression Model Building92 Questions
Exam 17: Decision Making111 Questions
Exam 18: Statistical Applications in Quality and Productivity Management127 Questions
Exam 19: Further Non-Parametric Tests51 Questions
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Look at the utility function graphed below and select the type of decision maker that corresponds to the graph.
Free
(Multiple Choice)
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Correct Answer:
B
Instruction 17-1
A student wanted to find out the optimal strategy to study for a Business Statistics exam.He constructed the following payoff table based on the mean amount of time he needed to put in every week studying for the course and the degree of difficulty of the exam.From the information that he gathered from students who had taken the course,he concluded that there was a 40% probability that the exam would be easy.
16 hours 8 hours 4 hours Easy Exam 40 60 80 Difficult Exam 100 50 0
-Referring to Instruction 17-1,what is the expected monetary value of spending 16 hours per week on average studying for the exam?
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(Short Answer)
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Correct Answer:
76
Instruction 17-2
The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of three alternatives under two possible events.
States A1 A2 A3 1 12 -2 8 2 4 10 5
where: is event is action alternative 1
is event is action alternative 2
is action alternative 3
-Referring to Instruction 17-2,if the probability of S1 is 0.2 and S2 is 0.8,then the expected opportunity loss (EOL)for A1 is
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(Multiple Choice)
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Correct Answer:
A
Instruction 17-3
The following payoff matrix is given in dollars.
Suppose the probability of Event 1 is 0.5 and Event 2 is 0.5.
-Referring to Instruction 17-3,the return to risk ratio (RTRR)for Action B is
(Multiple Choice)
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Instruction 17-2
The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of three alternatives under two possible events.
States A1 A2 A3 1 12 -2 8 2 4 10 5
where: is event is action alternative 1
is event is action alternative 2
is action alternative 3
-Referring to Instruction 17-2,if the probability of S1 is 0.4,then the probability of S2 is
(Multiple Choice)
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Instruction 17-1
A student wanted to find out the optimal strategy to study for a Business Statistics exam.He constructed the following payoff table based on the mean amount of time he needed to put in every week studying for the course and the degree of difficulty of the exam.From the information that he gathered from students who had taken the course,he concluded that there was a 40% probability that the exam would be easy.
16 hours 8 hours 4 hours Easy Exam 40 60 80 Difficult Exam 100 50 0
-Referring to Instruction 17-1,what is the opportunity loss of spending 4 hours per week on average studying for the exam when the exam turns out to be easy?
(Short Answer)
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(38)
Instruction 17-1
A student wanted to find out the optimal strategy to study for a Business Statistics exam.He constructed the following payoff table based on the mean amount of time he needed to put in every week studying for the course and the degree of difficulty of the exam.From the information that he gathered from students who had taken the course,he concluded that there was a 40% probability that the exam would be easy.
16 hours 8 hours 4 hours Easy Exam 40 60 80 Difficult Exam 100 50 0
-Referring to Instruction 17-1,what is the expected monetary value of spending 8 hours per week on average studying for the exam?
(Short Answer)
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(28)
Instruction 17-3
The following payoff matrix is given in dollars.
Suppose the probability of Event 1 is 0.5 and Event 2 is 0.5.
-Referring to Instruction 17-3,what is the optimal action using the expected monetary value (EMV)criterion?
(Multiple Choice)
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Instruction 17-6
A student wanted to find out the optimal strategy to study for a Business Statistics exam.He constructed the following payoff table based on the mean amount of time he needed to put in every week studying for the course and the degree of difficulty of the exam.From the information that he gathered from students who had taken the course,he concluded that there was a 40% probability that the exam would be easy.
16 hours 8 hours 4 hours Easy Exam 40 60 80 Difficult Exam 100 50 0
-Referring to Instruction 17-6,the optimal strategy using the expected opportunity loss (EOL)criterion is to study 16 hours per week on average for the exam.
(True/False)
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The curve for the ________ will show a rapid increase in utility for initial amounts of money followed by a gradual levelling off for increasing dollar amounts.
(Multiple Choice)
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For a potential investment of $5,000,a portfolio has an expected monetary value (EMV)of $1,000 and a standard deviation of $100.What is the rate of return?
(Multiple Choice)
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Instruction 17-6
A student wanted to find out the optimal strategy to study for a Business Statistics exam.He constructed the following payoff table based on the mean amount of time he needed to put in every week studying for the course and the degree of difficulty of the exam.From the information that he gathered from students who had taken the course,he concluded that there was a 40% probability that the exam would be easy.
16 hours 8 hours 4 hours Easy Exam 40 60 80 Difficult Exam 100 50 0
-Referring to Instruction 17-6,the optimal strategy using the return-to-risk ratio (RTRR)criterion is to study 8 hours per week on average for the exam.
(True/False)
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Instruction 17-7
The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of two alternatives under three possible events.
Event Action A Action B 1 1000 1200 2 500 700 3 300 -200
-Referring to Instruction 17-7,what is the standard deviation for Action A?
(Short Answer)
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A company that manufactures designer jeans is contemplating whether to increase its advertising budget by $1 million for next year.If the expanded advertising campaign is successful,the company expects sales to increase by $1.6 million next year.If the advertising campaign fails,the company expects sales to increase by only $400,000 next year.If the advertising budget is not increased,the company expects sales to increase by $200,000.Identify the payoff in this decision-making problem.
(Multiple Choice)
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Instruction 17-4
The following information is from two investment opportunities.
A B Expected monetary value \ 900 \ 600 Standard deviation 100 50
-Referring to Instruction 17-4,what is the coefficient of variation for investment A?
(Multiple Choice)
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Instruction 17-2
The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of three alternatives under two possible events.
States A1 A2 A3 1 12 -2 8 2 4 10 5
where: is event is action alternative 1
is event is action alternative 2
is action alternative 3
-Referring to Instruction 17-2,if the probability of S1 is 0.5,then the coefficient of variation for A2 is
(Multiple Choice)
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In portfolio analysis,the ________ is the reciprocal of the return to risk ratio.
(Short Answer)
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A company that manufactures designer jeans is contemplating whether to increase its advertising budget by $1 million for next year.If the expanded advertising campaign is successful,the company expects sales to increase by $1.6 million next year.If the advertising campaign fails,the company expects sales to increase by only $400,000 next year.If the advertising budget is not increased,the company expects sales to increase by $200,000.Identify the events in this decision-making problem.
(Multiple Choice)
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Blossom's Flowers purchases roses for sale for Valentine's Day.The roses are purchased for $10 a dozen and are sold for $20 a dozen.Any roses not sold on Valentine's Day can be sold for $5 per dozen.The owner will purchase 1 of 3 amounts of roses for Valentine's Day: 100,200,or 400 dozen roses.If the probability of selling 100 dozen roses is 0.2 and 200 dozen roses is 0.5,then the probability of selling 400 dozen roses is
(Multiple Choice)
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In a local mobile phone area,company A accounts for 60% of the mobile phone market,while company B accounts for the remaining 40% of the market.Of the mobile calls made with company A,1% of the calls will have some sort of interference,while 2% of the mobile calls with company B will have interference.If a mobile call is selected at random,the probability that it will not have interference is
(Multiple Choice)
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