Exam 21: Macro Policy in a Global Setting
Suppose the U.S wants to increase the value of the dollar relative to the Japanese yen.How might the U.S.achieve its goal without undertaking domestic policy changes,but rather by getting the Japanese to undertake some domestic policy?
If the U.S.can convince the Japanese to conduct an expansionary monetary policy,this will result in a decrease in the exchange rate values of the yen,which,from the perspective of the U.S.,means an increase in the exchange rate value of the dollar versus the yen.This is exactly what the U.S.wants to achieve.
What does internationalizing the debt mean? What is the potential problem with internationalizing the debt?
Internationalizing the debt occurs when foreigners buy the domestic debt at an existing interest rate.This foreign demand for domestic debt helps to keep domestic interest rates low.Crowding out occurs when financing the deficit by selling debt drives up the interest rate.However,this will not occur if foreigners buy up the debt at existing interest rates (internationalizing the debt).This avoids the immediate problem of increased interest rates,but it is not costless.Foreign ownership of debt means that the U.S.must make interest payments each year.To cover these payments,the U.S.must produce more than it consumes in the future.
What has happened to the U.S.trade balance and exchange rate over the past 30 years? What happened to the size of the trade deficits after 2000?
The U.S.exchange rate fluctuated significantly over the past 30 years.The dollar appreciated during the early 1980s,faced sharp depreciation during late 1980s,and then appreciated again during the 1990s.The U.S.trade balance,however,has had a deficit nearly every year since 1970.These trade deficits became much larger after 2000.
Why is there a significant debate about our international macroeconomic goals with respect to exchange rates and the trade deficit?
Imagine that Canada and the U.S.only trade internationally with each other.The Canadian government has recently undertaken an expansionary monetary policy.What impact will this have on the Canadian dollar exchange rate and Canada's trade balance? What impact will this have on the U.S.dollar exchange rate and U.S.trade balance? Briefly explain.
Is it desirable for countries to coordinate their monetary and fiscal policies,or does it work better to have each country decide its own policies independently? Explain.
For each of the following situations,state for each what aggregate demand policy the country was most likely following:
(a)The economy has been growing and experiencing inflation.At the same time interest rates have been declining while the trade deficit has worsened.
(b)The economy has been growing and experiencing inflation.At the same time interest rates have been rising while the trade deficit has worsened.In this case,rising interest rates failed to attract significant capital inflow.
(c)Inflation has subsided while the exchange rate has risen.
(d)The economy's competitiveness has eroded due to a rising exchange rate and domestic inflation and interest rates have risen.Still,the economy has been enjoying healthy growth.In this case,exchange rates have risen because rising interest rates attracted significant capital inflow.
Explain two different types of reasons domestic economic policy goals tend to get more attention than international economic policy goals.
Is it preferable for a country to have a high or a low exchange rate? Explain.
Explain the effect of an expansionary monetary policy on the trade balance.
An earlier chapter discussed the issue of crowding out.Crowding out refers to the idea that a budget deficit will add government borrowing to other demands for loans,driving up the interest rate,which will reduce private investment.How do international considerations (the possibility that the debt is purchased by foreigners)affect this issue? Is it possible to internationalize the debt? Does that mean that crowding out is not a problem in this case?
How will restoring U.S.competitiveness affect U.S.macro policy in the future?
Why do governments try to coordinate with each other before adopting their monetary and fiscal policies? Give an example in terms of Canada and the United States.
Define a trade deficit,and explain why there is debate over whether or not a trade deficit should be of concern to policy makers.
As special adviser for international economic policy,you have been called in to advise the President.For domestic reasons,the President has decided to attempt to stimulate the economy with a combination of increased deficit spending (expansionary fiscal policy)and loose money (expansionary monetary policy).Domestic considerations are the dominant factor in this decision,but your advice is sought as to the likely international consequences of this action.Of particular interest is the effect of this policy initiative on exchange rates and the trade balance.Give a complete explanation of the likely net effect of this policy.Include in your discussion the most important ways expansionary fiscal and monetary policy can affect exchange rates and the trade balance and also the separate net effects of expansionary fiscal and monetary policy respectively.
What effect does a high exchange rate have on a country's exports and imports?
Using a supply and demand diagram for British Pounds,demonstrate graphically and explain in words how Great Britain can decrease the exchange rate value of the Pound by influencing the private supply of its currency.
Under what macroeconomic conditions would a high exchange rate be better than a low exchange rate?
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