Exam 13: Risk Analysis and Project Evaluations

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Scenario analysis is the form of risk analysis

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C

Which of the following events might negatively affect a project's net present value?

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D

An important value driver for an automobile dealership would be

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A company that was most concerned about the impact of price changes in raw materials would use sensitivity analysis.

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List at least four typical value drivers that could seriously impact the outcome of a project.

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Sensitivity analysis is the form of risk analysis

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When evaluating projects with real options, businesses must consider the probability that the option will be exercised.

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Which of the following abilities are crucial for risk analysis?

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What is the expected free cash flow for the best case scenario?

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Most of the variables used in forecasting cash flows are known with certainty.

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Which of the following is a reason why risk analysis is an important part of capital budgeting?

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What is the expected NPV of the project with the option to expand?

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[blank] is a method of quantifying uncertainty without having to estimate probabilities.

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Bay Lake Enterprises has a large manufacturing facility in Mexico is particularly concerned that a tariff of unknown size will be imposed on goods reimported from that region.The type of risk analysis that accounts for various levels of tariff is [blank].

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[blank] is the risk of the project from the viewpoint of a well-diversified shareholder.

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The option to abandon a project before the end of its forecasted life may increase its NPV.

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Natick Nurseries has used scenario analysis to evaluate the purchase of a former dairy to use for nursery stock.The best case scenario produced a very favorable NPV of $4,000,000; the NPV of the most likely case was $2 000,000, but the worst case scenario resulted in an NPV of $3,000,000 which would bring the company close to bankruptcy.Natick could improve its decision by

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Which of the following results in a probability distribution for possible project outcomes rather than a dollar estimate?

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What is the expected NPV of the project if the option to abandon is not considered?

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Eagle Play sets estimates a 60% probability that sales of play sets in the summer of 2019 will be 45,000 units, about the same as in 2018.They believe there is a 20% probability that they will be more popular due to its new exclusive line, and potential sales would be 90,000 units.There is also a 20% probability that restrictive zoning ordinances will limit sales to 30,000 units.The expected unit sales of the play sets are

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