Deck 5: Probability
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Deck 5: Probability
1
The conditional probability of event B given event A is denoted by P ( A | B ).
False
2
The union of events A and B is the event that occurs when either A or B occurs but not both.
False
3
You think you have a 90% chance of passing your next advanced financial accounting exam. This is an example of subjective approach to probability.
True
4
If A and B are independent events with P ( A )= 0.35 and P ( B )= 0.55, then P ( A | B )is 0.35\0.55 = .64.
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5
If events A and B cannot occur at the same time, they are called mutually exclusive.
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6
If P ( A )= 0.4 and P ( B )= 0.6, then A and B must be mutually exclusive.
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7
The probability of the intersection is called a joint probability.
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8
P ( A )+ P ( B )= 1 for any events A and B that are mutually exclusive.
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9
Two or more events are said to be independent when the occurrence of one event has no effect on the probability that another will occur.
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10
If either event A or event B must occur, then A and B are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive events.
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11
The intersection of two events A and B is the event that occurs when both A and B occur.
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12
If A and B are independent events with P ( A )= .40 and P ( B )= .50, then P ( A and B )= .20.
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13
If either event A or event B must occur, they are called mutually exclusive.
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14
The collection of all the possible outcomes of a random experiment is called a sample space.
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15
Two events A and B are independent if P ( A and B )= 0.
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16
Two events A and B are said to be independent if P ( A | B )= P ( B ).
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17
The union of events A and B is the event that occurs when either A or B or both occur. It is denoted as ' A or B'.
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18
Predicting the outcome of a football game is using the subjective approach to probability.
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19
If P ( A )= 0.4 and P ( B )= 0.6, then A and B must be collectively exhaustive.
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20
The relative frequency approach to probability uses long term frequencies, often based on past data.
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21
Suppose the probability that a person owns both a cat and a dog is 0.10. Also suppose the probability that a person owns a cat but not a dog is 0.20. The marginal probability that someone owns a cat is 0.30.
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22
If P ( B )= .7 and P ( B|A )= .4, then P ( A and B )must be .28.
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23
If the event of interest is A , the probability that A will not occur is the complement of A .
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24
If P ( B )= .7 and P ( A|B )= .7, then P ( A and B )= 0.
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25
If P ( A and B )= 1, then A and B must be mutually exclusive.
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26
Assume that A and B are independent events with P ( A )= 0.30 and P ( B )= 0.50. The probability that both events will occur simultaneously is 0.80.
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27
Conditional probabilities are also called likelihood probabilities.
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28
Two events A and B are said to be independent if P ( A|B )= P ( B ).
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29
Two events A and B are said to be independent if P ( A|B )= P ( B|A ).
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30
If A and B are two independent events with P ( A )= 0.9 and P ( B | A )= 0.5, then P ( A and B )= 0.45.
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31
If P ( A )= .30, P ( B )= .60, and P ( A and B )= .20, then P ( A | B )= .40.
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32
Events A and B are either independent or mutually exclusive.
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33
When A and B are mutually exclusive, P ( A or B )can be found by adding P ( A )and P ( B ).
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34
Julius and Gabe go to a show during their Spring break and toss a balanced coin to see who will pay for the tickets. The probability that Gabe will pay three days in a row is 0.125.
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35
Posterior probability of an event is the revised probability of the event after new information is available.
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36
Two events A and B are said to be mutually exclusive if P ( A and B )= 1.0.
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37
Prior probability of an event is the probability of the event before any information affecting it is given.
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38
If A and B are independent, then P ( A | B )= P ( A )or P ( B | A )= P ( B ).
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39
The probability of the union of two mutually exclusive events A and B is 0.
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40
Two events A and B are said to be independent if P ( A )= P ( A|B ).
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41
Which of the following is an approach to assigning probabilities?
A)Classical approach
B)Relative frequency approach
C)Subjective approach
D)All of these choices are true.
A)Classical approach
B)Relative frequency approach
C)Subjective approach
D)All of these choices are true.
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42
Which of the following is a requirement of the probabilities assigned to outcome Oi ?
A)P ( Oi )£ 0 for each i
B)P ( Oi )³ 1 for each i
C)0 £ P ( Oi )£ 1 for each i
D)P ( Oi )= 1 for each i
A)P ( Oi )£ 0 for each i
B)P ( Oi )³ 1 for each i
C)0 £ P ( Oi )£ 1 for each i
D)P ( Oi )= 1 for each i
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43
A sample space of an experiment consists of the following outcomes: 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5. Which of the following is a simple event?
A)At least 3
B)At most 2
C)3
D)15
A)At least 3
B)At most 2
C)3
D)15
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44
Prior probability is also called likelihood probability.
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45
An approach of assigning probabilities which assumes that all outcomes of the experiment are equally likely is referred to as the:
A)subjective approach
B)objective approach
C)classical approach
D)relative frequency approach
A)subjective approach
B)objective approach
C)classical approach
D)relative frequency approach
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46
If joint, marginal, and conditional probabilities are available, only joint probabilities can be used to determine whether two events are dependent or independent.
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47
The collection of all possible outcomes of an experiment is called:
A)a simple event
B)a sample space
C)a sample
D)a population
A)a simple event
B)a sample space
C)a sample
D)a population
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48
In general, a posterior probability is calculated by adding the prior and likelihood probabilities.
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49
If you roll a balanced die 50 times, you should expect an even number to appear:
A)on every other roll.
B)exactly 50 times out of 100 rolls.
C)25 times on average, over the long term.
D)All of these choices are true.
A)on every other roll.
B)exactly 50 times out of 100 rolls.
C)25 times on average, over the long term.
D)All of these choices are true.
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50
Suppose we have two events A and B . We can apply the addition rule to compute the probability that at least one of these events occurs.
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51
Posterior probabilities can be calculated using the addition rule for mutually exclusive events.
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52
If A and B are mutually exclusive events with P ( A )= 0.75, then P ( B ):
A)can be any value between 0 and 1.
B)can be any value between 0 and 0.75.
C)cannot be larger than 0.25.
D)equals 0.25.
A)can be any value between 0 and 1.
B)can be any value between 0 and 0.75.
C)cannot be larger than 0.25.
D)equals 0.25.
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53
In problems where the joint probabilities are given, we can compute marginal probabilities by adding across rows and down columns.
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54
If two events are collectively exhaustive, what is the probability that one or the other occurs?
A)0.00
B)0.50
C)1.00
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
A)0.00
B)0.50
C)1.00
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
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55
If an experiment consists of five outcomes with P ( O 1)= 0.10, P ( O 2)= 0.20, P ( O 3)= 0.30, P ( O 4)= 0.25, then P ( O 5)is
A)0.75
B)0.15
C)0.50
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
A)0.75
B)0.15
C)0.50
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
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56
If two events are collectively exhaustive, what is the probability that both occur at the same time?
A)0.00
B)0.50
C)1.00
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
A)0.00
B)0.50
C)1.00
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
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57
We can apply the multiplication rule to compute the probability that two events occur at the same time.
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58
Prior probabilities can be calculated using the multiplication rule for mutually exclusive events.
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59
Of the last 500 customers entering a supermarket, 50 have purchased a wireless phone. If the relative frequency approach for assigning probabilities is used, the probability that the next customer will purchase a wireless phone is
A)0.10
B)0.90
C)0.50
D)None of these choices.
A)0.10
B)0.90
C)0.50
D)None of these choices.
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60
We can use the joint and marginal probabilities to compute conditional probabilities, for which a formula is available.
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61
The probability of the intersection of two events A and B is denoted by P ( A and B )and is called the:
A)marginal probability
B)joint probability
C)conditional probability of A given B
D)conditional probability of B given A
A)marginal probability
B)joint probability
C)conditional probability of A given B
D)conditional probability of B given A
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62
The collection of all possible events is called
A)an outcome
B)a sample space
C)an event
D)None of these choices.
A)an outcome
B)a sample space
C)an event
D)None of these choices.
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63
If two events are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, what is the probability that both occur?
A)0.00
B)0.50
C)1.00
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
A)0.00
B)0.50
C)1.00
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
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64
A and B are disjoint events, with P ( A )= 0.20 and P ( B )= 0.30. Then P ( A and B )is:
A)0.50
B)0.10
C)0.00
D)0.06
A)0.50
B)0.10
C)0.00
D)0.06
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65
If two equally likely events A and B are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, what is the probability that event A occurs?
A)0.00
B)0.50
C)1.00
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
A)0.00
B)0.50
C)1.00
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
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66
If two events are mutually exclusive, what is the probability that both occur at the same time?
A)0.00
B)0.50
C)1.00
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
A)0.00
B)0.50
C)1.00
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
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67
If the outcome of event A is not affected by event B , then events A and B are said to be
A)mutually exclusive
B)independent
C)collectively exhaustive
D)None of these choices.
A)mutually exclusive
B)independent
C)collectively exhaustive
D)None of these choices.
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68
If two events are independent, what is the probability that they both occur?
A)0
B)0.50
C)1.00
D)Cannot be determined from the information given
A)0
B)0.50
C)1.00
D)Cannot be determined from the information given
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69
Which of the following statements is correct if the events A and B have nonzero probabilities?
A)A and B cannot be both independent and disjoint
B)A and B can be both independent and disjoint
C)A and B are always independent
D)A and B are always disjoint
A)A and B cannot be both independent and disjoint
B)A and B can be both independent and disjoint
C)A and B are always independent
D)A and B are always disjoint
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70
Which of the following is equivalent to P ( A|B )?
A)P ( A and B )
B)P ( B | A )
C)P ( A )\ P ( B )
D)None of these choices.
A)P ( A and B )
B)P ( B | A )
C)P ( A )\ P ( B )
D)None of these choices.
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71
Which of the following best describes the concept of marginal probability?
A)It is a measure of the likelihood that a particular event will occur, regardless of whether another event occurs.
B)It is a measure of the likelihood that a particular event will occur, if another event has already occurred.
C)It is a measure of the likelihood of the simultaneous occurrence of two or more events.
D)None of these choices.
A)It is a measure of the likelihood that a particular event will occur, regardless of whether another event occurs.
B)It is a measure of the likelihood that a particular event will occur, if another event has already occurred.
C)It is a measure of the likelihood of the simultaneous occurrence of two or more events.
D)None of these choices.
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72
The probability of event A gives event B is denoted by
A)P ( A and B )
B)P ( A or B )
C)P ( A|B )
D)P ( B|A )
A)P ( A and B )
B)P ( A or B )
C)P ( A|B )
D)P ( B|A )
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73
If events A and B are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, what is the probability that event A occurs?
A)0.25
B)0.50
C)1.00
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
A)0.25
B)0.50
C)1.00
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
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74
If P ( A )= 0.65, P ( B )= 0.58, and P ( A and B )= 0.76, then P ( A or B )is:
A)1.23
B)0.47
C)0.18
D)0.11
A)1.23
B)0.47
C)0.18
D)0.11
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75
If event A and event B cannot occur at the same time, then A and B are said to be
A)mutually exclusive
B)independent
C)collectively exhaustive
D)None of these choices.
A)mutually exclusive
B)independent
C)collectively exhaustive
D)None of these choices.
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76
If the two events are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, what is the probability that one or the other occurs?
A)0.00
B)0.50
C)1.00
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
A)0.00
B)0.50
C)1.00
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
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77
If two events are mutually exclusive, what is the probability that one or the other occurs?
A)0.00
B)0.50
C)1.00
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
A)0.00
B)0.50
C)1.00
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
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78
Suppose P ( A )= 0.60, P ( B )= 0.85, and A and B are independent. The probability of the complement of the event ( A and B )is:
A).4 ×.15 = .060
B)0.40 + .15 = .55
C)1 - (.40 + .15)= .45
D)1 - (.6 ×.85)= .490
A).4 ×.15 = .060
B)0.40 + .15 = .55
C)1 - (.40 + .15)= .45
D)1 - (.6 ×.85)= .490
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79
The intersection of events A and B is the event that occurs when:
A)either A or B occurs but not both
B)neither A nor B occur
C)both A and B occur
D)All of these choices are true.
A)either A or B occurs but not both
B)neither A nor B occur
C)both A and B occur
D)All of these choices are true.
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80
If A and B are disjoint events with P ( A )= 0.70, then P ( B ):
A)can be any value between 0 and 1
B)can be any value between 0 and 0.70
C)cannot be larger than 0.30
D)cannot be determined with the information given
A)can be any value between 0 and 1
B)can be any value between 0 and 0.70
C)cannot be larger than 0.30
D)cannot be determined with the information given
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