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Roger Knows Someone Whose Brother Received a Very Lucrative Contract

Question 20

Multiple Choice

Roger knows someone whose brother received a very lucrative contract to play professional basketball for the National Basketball Association (NBA) .With this success story in mind,Roger ignores the statistics that indicate a very low probability that anyone will make it to the NBA and overestimates his own chances of making it.What concept does this scenario best illustrate?


A) the covariation principle
B) the base-rate fallacy
C) non-correspondent inferences
D) the actor-observer effect

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