Essay
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Take a time series of monthly exchange rates of a major currency relative to the U.S. dollar. Try to derive a technical analysis that would yield a profitable trading strategy over the period studied. For example, you could simulate various moving average strategies discussed in the text or simulate various filter strategies. Apply the strategy that seems most profitable for the previous exchange rate to other currencies. Perform the same exercise for nondollar exchange rates (for example, for the CHF/£ rate). What do you conclude?
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