You Are Evaluating Investment Alternatives for a Ski Resort If You Use the EMV Criterion, the Probability That the Four

Multiple Choice

You are evaluating investment alternatives for a ski resort.There are four alternative investments and their payoffs (in $10,000s) are shown in the following table, depending on the snow conditions for the next season. $\begin{array}{r}\text { Snow Conditions }\\\begin{array}{ccc}\text { Investment } & \text { Good } & \text { Bad } \\d_{1} & 3 & 1 \\d_{2} & 8 & 0 \\d_{3} & 12 & -4 \\d_{4} & 18 & -12\end{array}\end{array}$
If you use the EMV criterion, the probability that the snow conditions are good is p, and you decide investment d₃, what is the expected value of perfect information?

A) 12p + 3
B) 2p + 3
C) p + 35
D) p + 2
E) p + 1