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Refer to the Following:
a Firm Is Considering the Decision  The economy \text { The economy }

Question 22

Multiple Choice

Refer to the following:
A firm is considering the decision of investing in new plants. The following is the profit payoff matrix under three conditions: it does not expand, it builds two new plants, or it builds one new plant. Three possible states of nature can exist--no change in the economy, the economy contracts and the economy grows. The firm has no idea of the probability of each state.
 The economy \text { The economy }
 expands  contracts  unchanged  no new plants $20 million $3 million $4 million 1 new plant $30 million $6 million $6 million 2 new plants $40 million $12 million $8 million \begin{array}{lccc} & \text { expands } & \text { contracts } & \text { unchanged } \\\hline \text { no new plants } & \$ 20 \text { million } & -\$ 3 \text { million } & \$ 4 \text { million } \\1 \text { new plant } & \$ 30 \text { million } & -\$ 6 \text { million } & \$ 6 \text { million } \\2 \text { new plants } & \$ 40 \text { million } & -\$ 12 \text { million } & \$ 8 \text { million }\end{array}
-What decision would be made using the maximum expected value rule?


A) no new plants
B) one new plant
C) two new plants
D) not enough information to tell

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