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You Are Given the Following Payoff Table \mid S1) = 0 \mid

Question 46

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You are given the following payoff table.  You are given the following payoff table.   Assume the following probability information is given. P(S<sub>1</sub>) = 0.45 P(I<sub>1</sub> \mid S<sub>1</sub>) = 0.7 P(I<sub>2</sub> \mid S<sub>1</sub>) = 0.3 P(S<sub>2</sub>) = 0.55 P(I<sub>1</sub> \mid S<sub>2</sub>) = 0.6 P(I<sub>2</sub> \mid S<sub>2</sub>) = 0.4  a.Find the values of P(I<sub>1</sub>) and P(I<sub>2</sub>). b.Determine the values of P(S<sub>1</sub> \mid I<sub>1</sub>), P(S<sub>2</sub> \mid I<sub>1</sub>), P(S<sub>1</sub> \mid I<sub>2</sub>), and P(S<sub>2</sub> \mid I<sub>2</sub>). c.Use the decision tree approach and determine the optimal strategy. What is the expected value of your solution? Assume the following probability information is given.
P(S1) = 0.45
P(I1 \mid S1) = 0.7
P(I2 \mid S1) = 0.3
P(S2) = 0.55
P(I1 \mid S2) = 0.6
P(I2 \mid S2) = 0.4
a.Find the values of P(I1) and P(I2).
b.Determine the values of P(S1 \mid I1), P(S2 \mid I1), P(S1 \mid I2), and P(S2 \mid I2).
c.Use the decision tree approach and determine the optimal strategy. What is the expected value of your solution?

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a.0.645, 0.355
b.0.4...

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