Which of the Following Probabilities Would Most Likely Be Established

Multiple Choice

Which of the following probabilities would most likely be established by intuitive judgment?

A) the odds that a circulating dollar is more than three years old
B) the odds that a certain dog will live to be 15 years old
C) the odds that lightning will strike my house this week
D) the odds that cars will get 90 miles to the gallon by the year 2050
E) the odds that a randomly chosen person voted in the last election