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Suppose That the Stock Market for Any Given Year Can

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Suppose that the stock market for any given year can be characterized as being one of the following: 1) poor, 2) average, 3) good, or 4) excellent. If there are 1,800 people who randomly predict stock market performance for this and each of the next three years, how many people will have been right four years in a row?

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After each year, 25% of the people will ...

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