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The Intrade Predictions Market Trades Contracts Ranging in Value from $0

Question 202

Multiple Choice

The Intrade predictions market trades contracts ranging in value from $0 to $10 for a number of political, economic, and cultural events. A contract that pays $10 if Democrats win control of the United States Senate in the next election, currently trading at $6.26, means that the market predicts the probability of a democratically controlled Senate after the next election is:


A) 6.26%.
B) 62.6%.
C) 0%.
D) 10%.

Correct Answer:

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