SCENARIO 16-9 Given Below Are EXCEL Outputs for Various Estimated Autoregressive Models

Multiple Choice

SCENARIO 16-9
Given below are EXCEL outputs for various estimated autoregressive models for a company's real operating revenues (in billions of dollars) from 1989 to 2012.From the data,you also know that the real operating revenues for 2010,2011,and 2012 are 11.7909,11.7757 and 11.5537,respectively.
First-Order Autoregressive Model:
Second-Order Autoregressive Model:

-Referring to Scenario 16-9,if one decides to use the Third-Order Autoregressive model ,what will the predicted real operating revenue for the company be in 2014?

A) $11.55 billion
B) $11.62 billion
C) $12.47 billion
D) $11.71 billion