Identify Any Fallacies in the Following Passage Either by Naming

Essay

Identify any fallacies in the following passage either by naming them or, where they seem not to conform to any of the patterns described in the text, by giving a brief explanation of why the fallacious reasoning is irrelevant to the point at issue.
"Of course the Task Force on Crime is going to conclude that crime is on the way up. If they conclude it's on the way down, they'd have to disband the task force, wouldn't they?"