Solved

At the Track, a Gambler Bets on the Wrong Horse

Question 5

Multiple Choice

At the track, a gambler bets on the wrong horse in a 10-horse field nine times in a row.Later, when talking to a friend, he said he was confident that he would pick the winner the next time, because he was "due to pick a winner." Comment on his reasoning.


A) If he doesn't pick the winning horse next time, he will shortly after that.
B) When there are 10 horses in a race and he has chosen the wrong horse nine times in a row, he statistically should pick a winner the next time.
C) This is false reasoning because there is no "law of averages" for independent events.
D) This is false reasoning because he doesn't appear to be lucky.
E) None of the above apply.

Correct Answer:

verifed

Verified

Unlock this answer now
Get Access to more Verified Answers free of charge

Related Questions