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In January in a Certain City the Unconditional Probability of Rain

Question 72

Multiple Choice

In January in a certain city the unconditional probability of rain on any given day of the month is 0.400. But the probability of rain on a day that follows a rainy day is 0.600 and the probability of
Rain on a day following a nonrainy day is 0.250.
Find the probability that January 1st and January 2nd are rainy and that January 3rd and 4th are
Not rainy given that December 31st was clear all day.


A) 0.024
B) 0.038
C) 0.045
D) 0.072

Correct Answer:

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