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Urn 1 Contains 2 Blue Tokens and 8 Red Tokens;

Question 14

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Urn 1 contains 2 blue tokens and 8 red tokens; urn 2 contains 12 blue tokens and 3 red tokens. You pick an urn at random and draw out a token at random from that urn. Given that the token is blue, what is the probability that the token came from urn 1?

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