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If Asked, "Which Is More Probable? A

Question 268

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If asked, "Which is more probable? A.Snowboarder Shaun White will not be in the lead after the first run of a halfpipe competition but will win the competition, or B.Snowboarder Shaun White will not be in the lead after the first run of a halfpipe competition." Most people would answer A, although A is less likely to be true than B.According to Tversky and Kahneman, such faulty conclusions are based on


A) the framing effect.
B) convergent thinking.
C) divergent thinking.
D) the representativeness heuristic.

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