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    Basic Business Statistics
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    Exam 16: Time-Series Forecasting
  5. Question
    A Second-Order Autoregressive Model for Average Mortgage Rate Is
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A Second-Order Autoregressive Model for Average Mortgage Rate Is

Question 75

Question 75

Short Answer

A second-order autoregressive model for average mortgage rate is:
Rateᵢ = - 2.0 + 1.8(Rate)ᵢ₋₁ - 0.5 (Rate)ᵢ₋₂.
If the average mortgage rate in 2010 was 7.0, and in 2009 was 6.4, the forecast for 2012 is ________.

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