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Question 21

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Scenario: Buying Shares
Geordie is considering buying shares in two companies, Apple and Microsoft. If he invests $1,000 in Apple, there is a 40% probability that his investment will be worth only $800 and a 60% probability that it will be worth $1,200 at the end of a year. If he invests $500 in Apple, there is a 40% probability that his investment will be worth $400 and a 60% probability that it will be worth $600 at the end of a year. The corresponding numbers for investment in Microsoft are identical.
-(Scenario: Buying Shares) Look at the scenario Buying Shares. The probability that Geordie will make a gain is _____ if he invests $1,000 in either Apple or Microsoft. The probability that he will make a gain is _____ if he invests $500 apiece in Apple and in Microsoft.


A) 60%; 60%
B) 60%; 84%
C) 76%; 24%
D) 60%; 36%

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