Marcus Heard on the Radio That There Is a 50

Multiple Choice

Marcus heard on the radio that there is a 50% chance of rain today. Janis heard that there was 50% of clear skies. Who is more likely to believe that it will not rain today and why?

A) Marcus because of confirmation bias
B) Janis because of a belief bias effect
C) Janis because of a framing effect
D) Janis because of availability
E) Both equally because of inductive reasoning