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If I Flip a Coin 10 Times and Get Heads

Question 15

Multiple Choice

If I flip a coin 10 times and get heads 10 times, what is the probability that I will get tails on the next trial? It is still 50%. The fact that many people would argue higher illustrates the:


A) Representativeness heuristic.
B) False uniqueness effect.
C) Base rate fallacy.
D) Confirmation bias.

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