Suppose We Measure Canada's Net Capital Outflow by What Statistics

Essay

Suppose we measure Canada's net capital outflow by what Statistics Canada calls "net international investment position," and we approximate the real exchange rate of the dollar by the price of the Canadian dollar in terms of U.S.dollars.The following table gives some fictitious data on these two variables.
$$\begin{array} { | l | l | l | l | l | l | } \hline & 2009 & 2010 & 2011 & 2012 & 2013 \\\hline \begin{array} { l } \text { Net international } \\\text { investment p05ition } \\\text { (4nillians) }\end{array} & - 164,925 & - 90.884 & - 129.799 & - 30.787 & - 153.243 \\\hline \text { Exchange rate } & 0.825 & 0.882 & 0.931 & 0.937 & 0.876 \\\hline\end{array}$$
a. What does our open-economy macroeconomic model predict with regard to the relationship between net capital outflow and the real exchange rate?
b. Do you find evidence in the data to support the theory?
c. If you find discrepancies between the data and the theory, what could cause them?