After Watching the Winner of American Idol Tell Her Story

Multiple Choice

After watching the winner of American Idol tell her story of going from a simple girl to a famous singer,Sun was convinced that she too could be on the show and become famous.Sun's reaction demonstrates how people tend to ____. exaggerate the expected value of a future outcome

A) overestimate the probability of unlikely events
B) believe that future events in a random process will be affected by past events
C) ignore negative evidence when making a decision