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Use Bayes' Rule to Find the Indicated Probability

Question 24

Multiple Choice

Use Bayes' rule to find the indicated probability:
-In Cumberland County, 55% of registered voters are Democrats, 30% are Republicans and 15% are independent. During a recent election, 35% of the Democrats voted, 65% of the Republicans voted, and 75% of the independent voted. What is the probability that someone who voted is a Democrat?


A) 0.55
B) 0.615
C) 0.45
D) 0.385

Correct Answer:

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