All People Use Models in Their Everyday Lives,and I Am

Essay

All people use models in their everyday lives,and I am no exception in this regard.While meteorologists use extremely complex weather forecasting models,my model is much simpler.My model predicts that if it is cold in the morning,it will be cold in the afternoon.
a.Why do I need such a silly model,instead of using more reliable forecasts that are easily and freely available
b.What is the main assumption of my model
c.How did I choose the assumption underlying my model
d.Is my assumption (and,therefore,my model) realistic
e.Is my model useful
f.How can I improve the predictions of my model
g.What is your model of weather forecasting when deciding what to wear for the day
h.What other simple models of weather forecasting can you imagine